MLS
· Regular Season - 10
April 26, 2026 04:30
✓Model correct — prediction Chicago Fire
P. Zinckernagel
51'
P. Zinckernagel
65'
H. Cuypers
73'
M. Haile-Selassie
79'
H. Cuypers
90'+8
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chicago Fire a 65% win probability (draw 17%, Sporting Kansas City 17%). The final result was Chicago Fire 5–0 Sporting Kansas City. In 1 previous meetings, Chicago Fire have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sporting Kansas City.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
1
2.72
Actual xG
0.36
0
Saves
1
71%
Possession
29%
3
Corners
2
11
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
A. Gutman
10'
⚽H. Cuypers
(missed pen.)
51'
⚽P. Zinckernagel
51'
P. Dithejane
/ R. Lod
61'
⚽P. Zinckernagel
65'
⚽H. Cuypers
73'
74'
W. Meyer
/
I. James
75'
S. Afrifa
/
C. Harris
A. Saletros
/ S. Oregel
76'
P. Zinckernagel
/ J. Shokalook
76'
⚽M. Haile-Selassie
79'
A. Gutman
/ V. Radojevic
84'
D. D'Avilla
/ M. Pineda
84'
86'
J. Bartlett
/
Capita
⚽H. Cuypers
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
65.46%
Chicago ←
17.51%
X
17.03%
Sporting
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Chicago Fire)
65.46%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.50
2.72
-1.78
0.51
0.36
-0.15
Chicago Fire dominated by xG (2.72 vs 0.36).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
15
Andrew Gutman
84'
D
Andrew Gutman
84'
D
3
Jack Elliott
D
Jack Elliott
D
16
Joel Waterman
D
Joel Waterman
D
24
J. Dean
D
J. Dean
D
6
Anton Salétros
76'
M
Anton Salétros
76'
M
42
T. D'Avilla
84'
M
T. D'Avilla
84'
M
12
P. Dithejane
61'
M
P. Dithejane
61'
M
7
Maren Haile-Selassie
1 ⚽
M
Maren Haile-Selassie
1 ⚽
M
11
P. Zinckernagel
2 ⚽
76'
M
P. Zinckernagel
2 ⚽
76'
M
9
H. Cuypers
2 ⚽
F
H. Cuypers
2 ⚽
F
Bench
29
David Poreba
M
David Poreba
M
27
Dylan Borso
F
Dylan Borso
F
20
Jason Shokalook
14'
F
Jason Shokalook
14'
F
22
Mauricio Pineda
15'
D
Mauricio Pineda
15'
D
4
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D
17
Robin Lod
29'
M
Robin Lod
29'
M
35
S. Oregel
14'
M
14
Viktor Radojević
15'
D
Viktor Radojević
15'
D
1
G
15
D
23
Ethan Bartlow
D
Ethan Bartlow
D
2
Ian James
75'
D
Ian James
75'
D
20
M
6
Manu García
M
Manu García
M
4
M
8
Jacob Davis
M
Jacob Davis
M
7
Capita
86'
F
Capita
86'
F
9
Dejan Joveljić
F
Dejan Joveljić
F
11
Calvin Harris
75'
F
Calvin Harris
75'
F
Bench
16
Jacob Bartlett
13'
D
Jacob Bartlett
13'
D
99
Jayden Reid
D
Jayden Reid
D
14
Macielo Tschantret
M
Macielo Tschantret
M
93
Shapi Suleymanov
F
Shapi Suleymanov
F
19
Taylor Calheira
F
Taylor Calheira
F
Best on the pitch
P. Zinckernagel
M · Chicago
10.00
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 37 pass
Maren Haile-Selassie
M · Chicago
8.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 65 pass
Jack Elliott
D · Chicago
7.90
2 shots
· 99 pass
Anton Salétros
M · Chicago
7.70
· 82 pass
Joel Waterman
D · Chicago
7.60
· 103 pass
H. Cuypers
F · Chicago
7.30
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 16 pass
Chicago Fire — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| Andrew Gutman | D | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 49% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jack Elliott | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 99 | 93% | 1 | — | — |
| Joel Waterman | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 103 | 97% | — | — | — |
| J. Dean | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 49 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Anton Salétros | M | 76 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 82 | 77% | 2 | — | — |
| T. D'Avilla | M | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 68 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Dithejane | M | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Maren Haile-Selassie | M | 90 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 65 | 59% | — | — | — |
| P. Zinckernagel | M | 76 | 10.00 | 2 | — | 3 | 37 | 29% | — | — | — |
| H. Cuypers | F | 90 | 7.30 | 2 | — | 4 | 16 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Jason Shokalook | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Pineda | D | 15 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Robin Lod | M | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Oregel | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Viktor Radojević | D | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
Sporting Kansas City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 20% | 2 | — | — | |
| Ethan Bartlow | D | 90 | 5.50 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Ian James | D | 75 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 2 | — | — | |
| Manu García | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 2 | — | — | |
| Jacob Davis | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| Capita | F | 86 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 5% | 6 | — | — |
| Dejan Joveljić | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Calvin Harris | F | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Jacob Bartlett | D | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City?
The final score was Chicago Fire 5–0 Sporting Kansas City.
What did the model predict before Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Chicago Fire win, 17% to a draw, and 17% to an Sporting Kansas City win.