MLS
· Regular Season - 10
April 26, 2026 02:30
✓Model correct — prediction Chicago Fire
P. Zinckernagel
51'
P. Zinckernagel
65'
H. Cuypers
73'
M. Haile-Selassie
79'
H. Cuypers
90'+8
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chicago Fire a 65% win probability (draw 17%, Sporting Kansas City 17%). The final result was Chicago Fire 5–0 Sporting Kansas City. In 1 previous meetings, Chicago Fire have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sporting Kansas City.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
1
2.72
Actual xG
0.36
0
Saves
1
71%
Possession
29%
3
Corners
2
11
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
A. Gutman
10'
⚽H. Cuypers
(missed pen.)
51'
⚽P. Zinckernagel
51'
P. Dithejane
/ R. Lod
61'
⚽P. Zinckernagel
65'
⚽H. Cuypers
73'
74'
W. Meyer
/
I. James
75'
S. Afrifa
/
C. Harris
A. Saletros
/ S. Oregel
76'
P. Zinckernagel
/ J. Shokalook
76'
⚽M. Haile-Selassie
79'
A. Gutman
/ V. Radojevic
84'
D. D'Avilla
/ M. Pineda
84'
86'
J. Bartlett
/
Capita
⚽H. Cuypers
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
65.46%
Chicago ←
17.51%
X
17.03%
Sporting
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Chicago Fire)
65.46%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.50
2.72
-1.78
0.51
0.36
-0.15
Chicago Fire dominated by xG (2.72 vs 0.36).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
15
A. Gutman
84'
D
A. Gutman
84'
D
3
J. Elliott
D
J. Elliott
D
16
J. Waterman
D
J. Waterman
D
24
J. Dean
D
J. Dean
D
6
A. Salétros
76'
M
A. Salétros
76'
M
42
T. D'Avilla
84'
M
T. D'Avilla
84'
M
12
P. Dithejane
61'
M
P. Dithejane
61'
M
7
M. Haile-Selassie
1 ⚽
M
M. Haile-Selassie
1 ⚽
M
11
P. Zinckernagel
2 ⚽
76'
M
P. Zinckernagel
2 ⚽
76'
M
9
H. Cuypers
2 ⚽
F
H. Cuypers
2 ⚽
F
Bench
29
D. Poręba
M
D. Poręba
M
27
Dylan Borso
F
Dylan Borso
F
20
Jason Shokalook
14'
F
Jason Shokalook
14'
F
4
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D
22
M. Pineda
15'
D
M. Pineda
15'
D
17
R. Lod
29'
M
R. Lod
29'
M
35
S. Oregel
14'
M
S. Oregel
14'
M
14
V. Radojević
15'
D
V. Radojević
15'
D
1
G
15
D
23
E. Bartlow
D
2
Ian James
75'
D
Ian James
75'
D
20
M
6
Manu García
M
Manu García
M
4
M
8
Jacob Davis
M
Jacob Davis
M
7
Capita
86'
F
Capita
86'
F
9
D. Joveljić
F
D. Joveljić
F
11
C. Harris
75'
F
C. Harris
75'
F
Bench
16
J. Bartlett
13'
D
J. Bartlett
13'
D
99
J. Reid
D
J. Reid
D
14
Macielo Tschantret
M
Macielo Tschantret
M
93
M. Suleymanov
F
M. Suleymanov
F
19
T. Calheira
F
T. Calheira
F
Best on the pitch
P. Zinckernagel
M · Chicago
10.00
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 37 pass
M. Haile-Selassie
M · Chicago
8.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 65 pass
J. Elliott
D · Chicago
7.90
2 shots
· 99 pass
A. Salétros
M · Chicago
7.70
· 82 pass
J. Waterman
D · Chicago
7.60
· 103 pass
H. Cuypers
F · Chicago
7.30
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 16 pass
Chicago Fire — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| A. Gutman | D | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 49% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Elliott | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 99 | 93% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Waterman | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 103 | 97% | — | — | — |
| J. Dean | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 49 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Salétros | M | 76 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 82 | 77% | 2 | — | — |
| T. D'Avilla | M | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 68 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Dithejane | M | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| M. Haile-Selassie | M | 90 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 65 | 59% | — | — | — |
| P. Zinckernagel | M | 76 | 10.00 | 2 | — | 3 | 37 | 29% | — | — | — |
| H. Cuypers | F | 90 | 7.30 | 2 | — | 4 | 16 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Jason Shokalook | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Pineda | D | 15 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 23% | — | — | — |
| R. Lod | M | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Oregel | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Radojević | D | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
Sporting Kansas City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 20% | 2 | — | — | |
| E. Bartlow | D | 90 | 5.50 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Ian James | D | 75 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 2 | — | — | |
| Manu García | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 2 | — | — | |
| Jacob Davis | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| Capita | F | 86 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 5% | 6 | — | — |
| D. Joveljić | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| C. Harris | F | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bartlett | D | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City?
The final score was Chicago Fire 5–0 Sporting Kansas City.
What did the model predict before Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Chicago Fire win, 17% to a draw, and 17% to an Sporting Kansas City win.