Chicago Fire 5–0 Sporting Kansas City — pre-match prediction — MLS — April 26, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 10 April 26, 2026 02:30

Chicago Fire

#4 · 55 pts

5 – 0

Final score

Sporting Kansas City

#15 · 23 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Chicago Fire

P. Zinckernagel 51'

P. Zinckernagel 65'

H. Cuypers 73'

M. Haile-Selassie 79'

H. Cuypers 90'+8

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chicago Fire a 65% win probability (draw 17%, Sporting Kansas City 17%). The final result was Chicago Fire 5–0 Sporting Kansas City. In 1 previous meetings, Chicago Fire have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sporting Kansas City.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.72

Actual xG

0.36

Saves

71%

Possession

29%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

A. Gutman

10'

⚽H. Cuypers (missed pen.)

51'

⚽P. Zinckernagel

51'

↕ P. Dithejane / R. Lod

61'

⚽P. Zinckernagel

65'

⚽H. Cuypers

73'

74'

W. Meyer / I. James ↕

75'

S. Afrifa / C. Harris ↕

↕ A. Saletros / S. Oregel

76'

↕ P. Zinckernagel / J. Shokalook

76'

⚽M. Haile-Selassie

79'

↕ A. Gutman / V. Radojevic

84'

↕ D. D'Avilla / M. Pineda

84'

86'

J. Bartlett / Capita ↕

⚽H. Cuypers

90'+8

Pre-match prediction

65.46%

Chicago ←

17.51%

17.03%

Sporting

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Chicago Fire) 65.46% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Chicago

4.50

2.72

-1.78

Sporting

0.51

0.36

-0.15

Chicago Fire dominated by xG (2.72 vs 0.36). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	33	74
2	Inter Miami	33	59
3	New England Revolution	33	58
4	Chicago Fire	33	55
5	Charlotte	33	53
6	Philadelphia Union	33	47
7	FC Cincinnati	33	46
8	Columbus Crew	33	44
9	Orlando City SC	33	43
10	New York Red Bulls	33	39
11	New York City FC	33	39
12	Toronto FC	33	39
13	Atlanta United FC	33	33
14	DC United	33	33
15	CF Montreal	33	26

Lineups

Chicago Fire 4-2-3-1

G 6.60

A. Gutman 84' D 7.20

J. Elliott D 7.90

J. Waterman D 7.60

J. Dean D 6.60

A. Salétros 76' M 7.70

T. D'Avilla 84' M 7.20

P. Dithejane 61' M 6.50

M. Haile-Selassie 1 ⚽ M 8.70

P. Zinckernagel 2 ⚽ 76' M 10.00

H. Cuypers 2 ⚽ F 7.30

Bench

D. Poręba M

Dylan Borso F

Jason Shokalook 14' F 6.30

M. Mbokazi D

M. Pineda 15' D 7.00

R. Lod 29' M 6.30

S. Oregel 14' M 6.90

V. Radojević 15' D 6.60

Sporting Kansas City 3-4-3

G 5.60

D 5.70

E. Bartlow D 5.50

I. James 75' D 6.00

M 6.70

Manu García M 6.30

M 6.20

J. Davis M 6.30

Capita 86' F 7.00

D. Joveljić F 6.50

C. Harris 75' F 6.70

Bench

J. Bartlett 13' D 6.30

J. Reid D

M. Suleymanov F

M. Tschantret M

T. Calheira F

Best on the pitch

P. Zinckernagel

M · Chicago

10.00

2 ⚽

3 shots · 37 pass

M. Haile-Selassie

M · Chicago

8.70

1 ⚽

1 shots · 65 pass

J. Elliott

D · Chicago

7.90

2 shots · 99 pass

A. Salétros

M · Chicago

7.70

· 82 pass

J. Waterman

D · Chicago

7.60

· 103 pass

H. Cuypers

F · Chicago

7.30

2 ⚽

4 shots · 16 pass

Chicago Fire — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.60	—	—	—	28	26%	—	—	—
A. Gutman	D	84	7.20	—	—	—	57	49%	2	1	—
J. Elliott	D	90	7.90	—	—	2	99	93%	1	—	—
J. Waterman	D	90	7.60	—	—	—	103	97%	—	—	—
J. Dean	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	49	42%	1	—	—
A. Salétros	M	76	7.70	—	—	—	82	77%	2	—	—
T. D'Avilla	M	84	7.20	—	—	—	68	64%	1	—	—
P. Dithejane	M	61	6.50	—	—	—	22	17%	—	—	—
M. Haile-Selassie	M	90	8.70	1	—	1	65	59%	—	—	—
P. Zinckernagel	M	76	10.00	2	—	3	37	29%	—	—	—
H. Cuypers	F	90	7.30	2	—	4	16	15%	2	—	—
Jason Shokalook	F	14	6.30	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—
M. Pineda	D	15	7.00	—	—	—	24	23%	—	—	—
R. Lod	M	29	6.30	—	—	—	16	14%	1	—	—
S. Oregel	M	14	6.90	—	—	—	27	27%	1	—	—
V. Radojević	D	15	6.60	—	—	—	8	8%	—	—	—

Sporting Kansas City — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	5.60	—	—	—	24	15%	—	—	—
	D	90	5.70	—	—	1	29	20%	2	—	—
E. Bartlow	D	90	5.50	—	—	1	36	28%	—	—	—
I. James	D	75	6.00	—	—	—	21	15%	1	—	—
	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	30	25%	2	—	—
Manu García	M	90	6.30	—	—	1	44	33%	1	—	—
	M	90	6.20	—	—	—	37	31%	2	—	—
J. Davis	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	16	11%	4	—	—
Capita	F	86	7.00	—	—	2	10	5%	6	—	—
D. Joveljić	F	90	6.50	—	—	—	18	12%	—	—	—
C. Harris	F	75	6.70	—	—	1	4	3%	1	—	—
J. Bartlett	D	13	6.30	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City?

The final score was Chicago Fire 5–0 Sporting Kansas City.

What did the model predict before Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City?

The model assigned 65% probability to a Chicago Fire win, 17% to a draw, and 17% to an Sporting Kansas City win.