Liga MX
· Clausura - 16
April 22, 2026 03:00
J. Marquez
45'+2
(og)
9'
(ast. W. Ditta)
J. Marquez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruz Azul a 39% win probability (draw 29%, Club Queretaro 31%). The final result was Club Queretaro 1–1 Cruz Azul. In 1 previous meetings, Club Queretaro have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cruz Azul.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
13
1
Shots on target
4
0.32
Actual xG
1.89
3
Saves
1
31%
Possession
69%
2
Corners
7
13
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
5'
G. Piovi
9'
ast. W. Ditta ·
J. Marquez⚽
D. Parra
24'
F. Venegas
/ J. Cazares
29'
⚽J. Marquez
(og)
45'+2
45'+2
A. Palavecino
B. Duarte
45'+4
62'
L. Romero
/
A. Palavecino
62'
C. Ebere
/
J. Paradela
J. Unjanque
/ J. Gomez
63'
J. Cazares
/ F. Pena
63'
71'
A. Morales
/
C. Rotondi
B. Duarte
/ W. Madrid
78'
C. Garcia
/ B. Parra
78'
80'
A. Garcia
/
G. Piovi
80'
M. Levy
/
C. Rodriguez
Pre-match prediction
31.59%
Club
29.22%
X ←
39.19%
Cruz
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.22%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.04
0.32
-0.72
1.18
1.89
+0.71
Cruz Azul dominated by xG (1.89 vs 0.32).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
27
Daniel Parra
D
2
L. Abascia
D
9
D
22
Bayron Duarte
78'
D
17
F. Venegas
29'
M
4
C. Garcia
78'
M
6
S. Homenchenko
M
14
J. Unjanque
63'
M
37
M. Coronel
F
31
A. Avila
F
Bench
190
J. Cazares
34'
M
23
G
33
Gonzalo Piovi
80'
D
Gonzalo Piovi
80'
D
6
É. Lira
D
É. Lira
D
4
Willer Ditta
1 👟
D
Willer Ditta
1 👟
D
29
Carlos Rotondi
71'
M
Carlos Rotondi
71'
M
16
Jeremy Márquez
2 ⚽
80'
M
Jeremy Márquez
2 ⚽
80'
M
8
Agustín Palavecino
62'
M
Agustín Palavecino
62'
M
3
Omar Campos
M
Omar Campos
M
19
Carlos Rodríguez
F
Carlos Rodríguez
F
21
Gabriel Fernández
F
Gabriel Fernández
F
20
José Paradela
62'
F
José Paradela
62'
F
Bench
17
Amaury Garcia
10'
M
Amaury Garcia
10'
M
18
Luka Romero
28'
F
Luka Romero
28'
F
11
Osinachi Ebere
28'
F
Osinachi Ebere
28'
F
Best on the pitch
Luka Romero
F · Cruz
8.00
· 21 pass
L. Abascia
D · Club
7.50
· 30 pass
Gonzalo Piovi
D · Cruz
7.50
· 69 pass
G · Club
7.30
· 36 pass
Omar Campos
M · Cruz
7.30
· 44 pass
É. Lira
D · Cruz
7.20
· 76 pass
Club Queretaro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Daniel Parra | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Abascia | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — | |
| Bayron Duarte | D | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| F. Venegas | M | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| C. Garcia | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Homenchenko | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 27 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Unjanque | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Coronel | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Avila | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Cazares | M | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Cruz Azul — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — | |
| Gonzalo Piovi | D | 80 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 69 | 62% | 3 | 1 | — |
| É. Lira | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 76 | 65% | 3 | — | — |
| Willer Ditta | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 66 | 59% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Rotondi | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Jeremy Márquez | M | 80 | 6.60 | 2 | — | 1 | 52 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Agustín Palavecino | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| Omar Campos | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Rodríguez | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Fernández | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 5 | 36 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| José Paradela | F | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Amaury Garcia | M | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Luka Romero | F | 28 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Osinachi Ebere | F | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Club Queretaro vs Cruz Azul?
The final score was Club Queretaro 1–1 Cruz Azul.
What did the model predict before Club Queretaro vs Cruz Azul?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Club Queretaro win, 29% to a draw, and 39% to an Cruz Azul win.