Liga MX
· Clausura - 16
April 22, 2026 03:00
J. Marquez
45'+2
(og)
9'
(ast. W. Ditta)
J. Marquez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruz Azul a 39% win probability (draw 29%, Club Queretaro 31%). The final result was Club Queretaro 1–1 Cruz Azul. In 1 previous meetings, Club Queretaro have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cruz Azul.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
13
1
Shots on target
4
0.32
Actual xG
1.89
3
Saves
1
31%
Possession
69%
2
Corners
7
13
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
5'
G. Piovi
9'
ast. W. Ditta ·
J. Marquez⚽
D. Parra
24'
F. Venegas
/ J. Cazares
29'
⚽J. Marquez
(og)
45'+2
45'+2
A. Palavecino
B. Duarte
45'+4
62'
L. Romero
/
A. Palavecino
62'
C. Ebere
/
J. Paradela
J. Unjanque
/ J. Gomez
63'
J. Cazares
/ F. Pena
63'
71'
A. Morales
/
C. Rotondi
B. Duarte
/ W. Madrid
78'
C. Garcia
/ B. Parra
78'
80'
A. Garcia
/
G. Piovi
80'
M. Levy
/
C. Rodriguez
Pre-match prediction
31.59%
Club
29.22%
X ←
39.19%
Cruz
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.22%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.04
0.32
-0.72
1.18
1.89
+0.71
Cruz Azul dominated by xG (1.89 vs 0.32).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
27
Daniel Parra
D
Daniel Parra
D
2
Lucas Abascia
D
Lucas Abascia
D
9
D
22
Bayron Duarte
78'
D
Bayron Duarte
78'
D
17
Francisco Venegas
29'
M
4
Carlo Adriano García
78'
M
Carlo Adriano García
78'
M
6
Santiago Homenchenko
M
Santiago Homenchenko
M
14
Jean Unjanque
63'
M
Jean Unjanque
63'
M
37
Mateo Coronel
F
Mateo Coronel
F
31
Ali Ávila
F
Ali Ávila
F
Bench
190
Juan Pablo Cázares
34'
M
Juan Pablo Cázares
34'
M
23
G
33
G. Piovi
80'
D
G. Piovi
80'
D
6
Erik Lira
D
Erik Lira
D
4
W. Ditta
1 👟
D
W. Ditta
1 👟
D
29
C. Rotondi
71'
M
C. Rotondi
71'
M
16
Jeremy Márquez
2 ⚽
80'
M
Jeremy Márquez
2 ⚽
80'
M
8
A. Palavecino
62'
M
A. Palavecino
62'
M
3
O. Campos
M
O. Campos
M
19
Carlos Rodríguez
F
Carlos Rodríguez
F
21
G. Fernández
F
G. Fernández
F
20
J. Paradela
62'
F
J. Paradela
62'
F
Bench
17
Amaury Garcia
10'
M
Amaury Garcia
10'
M
11
C. Ebere
28'
F
C. Ebere
28'
F
18
L. Romero
28'
F
L. Romero
28'
F
Best on the pitch
L. Romero
F · Cruz
8.00
· 21 pass
Lucas Abascia
D · Club
7.50
· 30 pass
G. Piovi
D · Cruz
7.50
· 69 pass
O. Campos
M · Cruz
7.30
· 44 pass
G · Club
7.30
· 36 pass
G · Cruz
7.20
· 39 pass
Club Queretaro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Daniel Parra | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Abascia | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — | |
| Bayron Duarte | D | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Francisco Venegas | M | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Carlo Adriano García | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Santiago Homenchenko | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 27 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Jean Unjanque | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateo Coronel | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Ali Ávila | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Juan Pablo Cázares | M | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Cruz Azul — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — | |
| G. Piovi | D | 80 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 69 | 62% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Erik Lira | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 76 | 65% | 3 | — | — |
| W. Ditta | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 66 | 59% | — | — | — |
| C. Rotondi | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Jeremy Márquez | M | 80 | 6.60 | 2 | — | 1 | 52 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Palavecino | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| O. Campos | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Rodríguez | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 46% | — | — | — |
| G. Fernández | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 5 | 36 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Paradela | F | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Amaury Garcia | M | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| C. Ebere | F | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| L. Romero | F | 28 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Club Queretaro vs Cruz Azul?
The final score was Club Queretaro 1–1 Cruz Azul.
What did the model predict before Club Queretaro vs Cruz Azul?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Club Queretaro win, 29% to a draw, and 39% to an Cruz Azul win.