MLS
· Regular Season - 7
April 12, 2026 05:30
K. Thompson
(ast. D. Sealy)
5'
J. Atencio
(ast. Rafael Navarro)
17'
K. Thompson
53'
Rafael Navarro
(ast. G. Minoungou)
74'
Felipe Andrade
90'+1
(og)
Rafael Navarro
90'+5
(pen.)
69'
(ast. Guilherme)
L. Ennali
90'+3
Guilherme
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Colorado Rapids a 47% win probability (draw 26%, Houston Dynamo 25%). The final result was Colorado Rapids 6–2 Houston Dynamo. In 1 previous meetings, Colorado Rapids have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Houston Dynamo.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
18
8
Shots on target
8
2.73
Actual xG
2.21
6
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
2
Corners
4
23
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽K. Thompson
· ast. D. Sealy
5'
⚽J. Atencio
· ast. Rafael Navarro
17'
⚽K. Thompson
53'
H. Ojediran
/ K. Rosenberry
56'
60'
I. Aliyu
/
D. Holmes
60'
H. Herrera
/
A. Bouzat
D. Yapi
/ G. Minoungou
68'
69'
ast. Guilherme ·
L. Ennali⚽
72'
A. Resch
/
E. Sviatchenko
K. Thompson
/ N. Cobb
72'
D. Sealy
/ A. Manyoma
72'
⚽Rafael Navarro
· ast. G. Minoungou
74'
77'
A. Resch
85'
N. Markanich
/
M. Bogusz
85'
O. Lingr
/
E. Ponce
J. Atencio
89'
⚽Felipe Andrade
(og)
90'+1
90'+3
Guilherme⚽
⚽Rafael Navarro
(pen.)
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
47.99%
Colorado ←
26.03%
X
25.98%
Houston
we assigned to the actual result (Colorado Rapids)
47.99%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.53
2.73
-0.8
1.22
2.21
+0.99
Colorado Rapids dominated by xG (2.73 vs 2.21).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Z. Steffen
G
13
Wayne Frederick
D
Wayne Frederick
D
22
Lucas Herrington
D
Lucas Herrington
D
6
Rob Holding
D
Rob Holding
D
33
Kosi Thompson
2 ⚽
72'
D
Kosi Thompson
2 ⚽
72'
D
12
J. Atencio
1 ⚽
M
8
Hamzat Ojediran
56'
M
Hamzat Ojediran
56'
M
7
Dante Sealy
1 👟
72'
M
Dante Sealy
1 👟
72'
M
10
Paxten Aaronson
M
Paxten Aaronson
M
77
Darren Yapi
68'
M
Darren Yapi
68'
M
9
Rafael Navarro
2 ⚽
1 👟
F
Rafael Navarro
2 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
11
Alexis Manyoma
18'
M
Alexis Manyoma
18'
M
93
Georgi Minoungou
1 👟
22'
F
Georgi Minoungou
1 👟
22'
F
2
Keegan Rosenberry
34'
D
Keegan Rosenberry
34'
D
41
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
G
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
G
24
Noah Cobb
18'
D
Noah Cobb
18'
D
31
Jonathan Bond
G
Jonathan Bond
G
36
Felipe Andrade
1 ⚽
D
Felipe Andrade
1 ⚽
D
3
D
28
Erik Sviatchenko
72'
D
Erik Sviatchenko
72'
D
11
Lawrence Ennali
1 ⚽
M
Lawrence Ennali
1 ⚽
M
18
Diadié Samassékou
M
Diadié Samassékou
M
30
Agustín Bouzat
60'
M
Agustín Bouzat
60'
M
14
Duane Holmes
60'
M
Duane Holmes
60'
M
20
Guilherme
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Guilherme
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
10
Ezequiel Ponce
85'
F
Ezequiel Ponce
85'
F
19
Mateusz Bogusz
85'
F
Mateusz Bogusz
85'
F
Bench
34
Agustin Resch
18'
D
Agustin Resch
18'
D
21
Franco Negri
D
Franco Negri
D
16
Héctor Herrera
30'
M
Héctor Herrera
30'
M
24
Ibrahim Aliyu
30'
F
Ibrahim Aliyu
30'
F
1
J. Maurer
G
17
Nick Markanich
11'
F
Nick Markanich
11'
F
9
Ondrej Lingr
11'
M
Ondrej Lingr
11'
M
13
Sam Vines
D
Sam Vines
D
Best on the pitch
Guilherme
F · Houston
9.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots
· 50 pass
Kosi Thompson
D · Colorado
9.20
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 23 pass
Rafael Navarro
F · Colorado
8.20
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 31 pass
J. Atencio
M · Colorado
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 62 pass
Paxten Aaronson
M · Colorado
7.90
1 shots
· 37 pass
Lawrence Ennali
M · Houston
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 19 pass
Colorado Rapids — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Steffen | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Wayne Frederick | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Lucas Herrington | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 72 | 71% | 3 | — | — |
| Rob Holding | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 53 | 48% | 3 | — | — |
| Kosi Thompson | D | 72 | 9.20 | 2 | — | 2 | 23 | 22% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Atencio | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 62 | 57% | — | 1 | — |
| Hamzat Ojediran | M | 56 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 35% | 4 | — | — |
| Dante Sealy | M | 72 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 3 | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Paxten Aaronson | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Darren Yapi | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Navarro | F | 90 | 8.20 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Alexis Manyoma | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Georgi Minoungou | F | 22 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Keegan Rosenberry | D | 34 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Noah Cobb | D | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
Houston Dynamo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bond | G | 90 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Andrade | D | 90 | 4.70 | 1 | — | — | 42 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 5.20 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 46% | 2 | — | — | |
| Erik Sviatchenko | D | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Lawrence Ennali | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Diadié Samassékou | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Agustín Bouzat | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Duane Holmes | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Guilherme | F | 90 | 9.50 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 50 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Ezequiel Ponce | F | 85 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Mateusz Bogusz | F | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | 5 | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Agustin Resch | D | 18 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 22% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Héctor Herrera | M | 30 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Aliyu | F | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Nick Markanich | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ondrej Lingr | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs Houston Dynamo?
The final score was Colorado Rapids 6–2 Houston Dynamo.
What did the model predict before Colorado Rapids vs Houston Dynamo?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Colorado Rapids win, 26% to a draw, and 25% to an Houston Dynamo win.