Colorado Rapids 6–2 Houston Dynamo — pre-match prediction — MLS — April 12, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 7 April 12, 2026 03:30 Gradski Stadion, Podgorica

Colorado Rapids

#8 · 36 pts

6 – 2

Final score

Houston Dynamo

#5 · 44 pts

K. Thompson (ast. D. Sealy) 5'

J. Atencio (ast. Rafael Navarro) 17'

K. Thompson 53'

Rafael Navarro (ast. G. Minoungou) 74'

Felipe Andrade 90'+1 (og)

Rafael Navarro 90'+5 (pen.)

69' (ast. Guilherme) L. Ennali

90'+3 Guilherme

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Colorado Rapids a 47% win probability (draw 26%, Houston Dynamo 25%). The final result was Colorado Rapids 6–2 Houston Dynamo. In 1 previous meetings, Colorado Rapids have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Houston Dynamo.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.73

Actual xG

2.21

Saves

51%

Possession

49%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽K. Thompson · ast. D. Sealy

⚽J. Atencio · ast. Rafael Navarro

17'

⚽K. Thompson

53'

↕ H. Ojediran / K. Rosenberry

56'

60'

I. Aliyu / D. Holmes ↕

60'

H. Herrera / A. Bouzat ↕

↕ D. Yapi / G. Minoungou

68'

69'

ast. Guilherme · L. Ennali⚽

72'

A. Resch / E. Sviatchenko ↕

↕ K. Thompson / N. Cobb

72'

↕ D. Sealy / A. Manyoma

72'

⚽Rafael Navarro · ast. G. Minoungou

74'

77'

A. Resch

85'

N. Markanich / M. Bogusz ↕

85'

O. Lingr / E. Ponce ↕

J. Atencio

89'

⚽Felipe Andrade (og)

90'+1

90'+3

Guilherme⚽

⚽Rafael Navarro (pen.)

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

47.99%

Colorado ←

26.03%

25.98%

Houston

we assigned to the actual result (Colorado Rapids) 47.99% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Colorado

3.53

2.73

-0.8

Houston

1.22

2.21

+0.99

Colorado Rapids dominated by xG (2.73 vs 2.21). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	26	50
2	St. Louis City	27	47
3	FC Dallas	27	47
4	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
5	Houston Dynamo	27	44
6	Los Angeles FC	28	41
7	Seattle Sounders	27	38
8	Colorado Rapids	27	36
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
10	Portland Timbers	27	32
11	Real Salt Lake	27	32
12	San Diego	27	32
13	Austin	27	31
14	Minnesota United FC	27	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	27	21

Lineups

Colorado Rapids 4-2-3-1

Z. Steffen G 6.30

W. Frederick II D 6.90

Lucas Herrington D 6.60

R. Holding D 6.60

K. Thompson 2 ⚽ 72' D 9.20

J. Atencio 1 ⚽ M 7.90

H. Ojediran 56' M 7.20

D. Sealy 1 👟 72' M 7.00

P. Aaronson M 7.90

D. Yapi 68' M 6.90

Rafael Navarro 2 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.20

Bench

A. Castillo Manyoma 18' M 6.70

G. Minoungou 1 👟 22' F 6.90

K. Rosenberry 34' D 6.20

N. Cobb 18' D 6.30

N. Defreitas G

Houston Dynamo 3-4-3

J. Bond G 5.50

Felipe Andrade 1 ⚽ D 4.70

D 5.20

E. Sviatchenko 72' D 6.20

L. Ennali 1 ⚽ M 7.30

D. Samassékou M 6.20

A. Bouzat 60' M 6.20

D. Holmes 60' M 6.30

Guilherme 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 9.50

E. Ponce 85' F 6.00

M. Bogusz 85' F 6.20

Bench

A. Ibrahim 30' F 6.60

A. Resch 18' D 5.90

F. Negri D

H. Herrera 30' M 6.00

J. Maurer G

N. Markanich 11' F 6.30

O. Lingr 11' M 6.50

S. Vines D

Best on the pitch

Guilherme

F · Houston

9.50

1 ⚽ 1 👟

5 shots · 50 pass

K. Thompson

D · Colorado

9.20

2 ⚽

2 shots · 23 pass

Rafael Navarro

F · Colorado

8.20

2 ⚽ 1 👟

4 shots · 31 pass

J. Atencio

M · Colorado

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 62 pass

P. Aaronson

M · Colorado

7.90

1 shots · 37 pass

L. Ennali

M · Houston

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 19 pass

Colorado Rapids — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Z. Steffen	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	33	30%	—	—	—
W. Frederick II	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	42	32%	3	—	—
Lucas Herrington	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	72	71%	3	—	—
R. Holding	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	53	48%	3	—	—
K. Thompson	D	72	9.20	2	—	2	23	22%	5	—	—
J. Atencio	M	90	7.90	1	—	1	62	57%	—	1	—
H. Ojediran	M	56	7.20	—	—	—	35	35%	4	—	—
D. Sealy	M	72	7.00	—	1	3	18	14%	1	—	—
P. Aaronson	M	90	7.90	—	—	1	37	34%	2	—	—
D. Yapi	M	68	6.90	—	—	1	11	8%	1	—	—
Rafael Navarro	F	90	8.20	2	1	4	31	20%	—	—	—
A. Castillo Manyoma	M	18	6.70	—	—	—	5	3%	1	—	—
G. Minoungou	F	22	6.90	—	1	1	5	4%	—	—	—
K. Rosenberry	D	34	6.20	—	—	—	14	12%	—	—	—
N. Cobb	D	18	6.30	—	—	—	6	3%	—	—	—

Houston Dynamo — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
J. Bond	G	90	5.50	—	—	—	35	26%	—	—	—
Felipe Andrade	D	90	4.70	1	—	—	42	34%	2	—	—
	D	90	5.20	—	—	1	53	46%	2	—	—
E. Sviatchenko	D	72	6.20	—	—	1	28	23%	—	—	—
L. Ennali	M	90	7.30	1	—	2	19	15%	1	—	—
D. Samassékou	M	90	6.20	—	—	—	43	38%	2	—	—
A. Bouzat	M	60	6.20	—	—	1	25	22%	1	—	—
D. Holmes	M	60	6.30	—	—	2	21	14%	2	—	—
Guilherme	F	90	9.50	1	1	5	50	44%	—	—	—
E. Ponce	F	85	6.00	—	—	1	12	10%	—	—	—
M. Bogusz	F	85	6.20	—	—	5	18	16%	—	—	—
A. Ibrahim	F	30	6.60	—	—	—	14	11%	1	—	—
A. Resch	D	18	5.90	—	—	—	22	22%	3	1	—
H. Herrera	M	30	6.00	—	—	—	37	34%	1	—	—
N. Markanich	F	11	6.30	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—
O. Lingr	M	11	6.50	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs Houston Dynamo?

The final score was Colorado Rapids 6–2 Houston Dynamo.

What did the model predict before Colorado Rapids vs Houston Dynamo?

The model assigned 47% probability to a Colorado Rapids win, 26% to a draw, and 25% to an Houston Dynamo win.