MLS
· Regular Season - 8
April 19, 2026 00:30
Rafael Navarro
(ast. Wayne Frederick)
58'
Darren Yapi
(ast. Lucas Herrington)
62'
(pen.)
18'
Lionel Messi
45'+5
(ast. Mateo Silvetti)
Germán Berterame
79'
(ast. Rodrigo De Paul)
Lionel Messi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Colorado Rapids a 45% win probability (draw 25%, Inter Miami 28%). The final result was Colorado Rapids 2–3 Inter Miami.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
3
1.60
Actual xG
1.24
0
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
3
Corners
2
12
Tackles
14
4
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
16'
Josh Atencio
17'
18'
(pen.)
Lionel Messi⚽
22'
Rodrigo De Paul
29'
Micael
45'+5
ast. Mateo Silvetti ·
Germán Berterame⚽
45'+5
Germán Berterame
⚽Rafael Navarro
· ast. Wayne Frederick
58'
Hamzat Ojediran
/ Darren Yapi
61'
⚽Darren Yapi
· ast. Lucas Herrington
62'
Wayne Frederick
64'
70'
Daniel Pinter
/
Gonzalo Luján
70'
Noah Allen
/
Mateo Silvetti
Lucas Herrington
75'
79'
ast. Rodrigo De Paul ·
Lionel Messi⚽
Paxten Aaronson
/ Dante Sealy
83'
86'
Telasco Segovia
87'
Yannick Bright
90'+2
Lionel Messi
Jackson Travis
90'+3
Josh Atencio
/ Alex Harris
90'
90'
Ezequiel Abadia-Reda
/
Germán Berterame
90'
Alexander Shaw
/
Telasco Segovia
Pre-match prediction
45.55%
Colorado
25.98%
X
28.47%
Inter ←
we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami)
28.47%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.74
1.60
-1.15
1.66
1.24
-0.42
Colorado Rapids dominated by xG (1.60 vs 1.24).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Z. Steffen
G
99
Jackson Travis
D
Jackson Travis
D
22
Lucas Herrington
1 👟
D
Lucas Herrington
1 👟
D
6
Rob Holding
D
Rob Holding
D
33
Kosi Thompson
D
Kosi Thompson
D
8
Hamzat Ojediran
61'
M
Hamzat Ojediran
61'
M
12
J. Atencio
89'
M
93
Georgi Minoungou
M
Georgi Minoungou
M
13
Wayne Frederick
1 👟
M
Wayne Frederick
1 👟
M
10
Paxten Aaronson
83'
M
Paxten Aaronson
83'
M
9
Rafael Navarro
1 ⚽
F
Rafael Navarro
1 ⚽
F
Bench
11
Alexis Manyoma
M
Alexis Manyoma
M
7
Dante Sealy
15'
F
Dante Sealy
15'
F
77
Darren Yapi
1 ⚽
29'
F
Darren Yapi
1 ⚽
29'
F
2
Keegan Rosenberry
D
Keegan Rosenberry
D
41
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
G
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
G
24
Noah Cobb
D
Noah Cobb
D
97
Dayne St. Clair
G
Dayne St. Clair
G
4
Facundo Mura
D
Facundo Mura
D
16
Micael
D
Micael
D
37
Maximiliano Falcón
D
Maximiliano Falcón
D
2
Gonzalo Luján
70'
D
Gonzalo Luján
70'
D
8
Telasco Segovia
89'
M
Telasco Segovia
89'
M
42
Yannick Bright
87'
M
Yannick Bright
87'
M
7
Rodrigo De Paul
1 👟
M
Rodrigo De Paul
1 👟
M
24
Mateo Silvetti
1 👟
70'
M
Mateo Silvetti
1 👟
70'
M
19
G. Berterame
1 ⚽
89'
F
G. Berterame
1 ⚽
89'
F
10
Lionel Messi
2 ⚽
F
Lionel Messi
2 ⚽
F
Bench
56
Daniel Pinter
20'
F
Daniel Pinter
20'
F
41
David Ruíz
M
David Ruíz
M
17
Ian Fray
D
Ian Fray
D
9
Luis Suárez
F
Luis Suárez
F
32
N. Allen
20'
D
21
T. Allende
F
Best on the pitch
Lionel Messi
F · Inter
8.30
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 19 pass
Darren Yapi
F · Colorado
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 6 pass
Rafael Navarro
F · Colorado
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 21 pass
G. Berterame
F · Inter
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
Dante Sealy
F · Colorado
7.20
· 5 pass
Lucas Herrington
D · Colorado
6.90
1 👟
· 75 pass
Colorado Rapids — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Steffen | G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Jackson Travis | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Herrington | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 75 | 69% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rob Holding | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 71 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Kosi Thompson | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Hamzat Ojediran | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Atencio | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 56% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Georgi Minoungou | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Wayne Frederick | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 33 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Paxten Aaronson | M | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Navarro | F | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Dante Sealy | F | 15 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Darren Yapi | F | 29 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Inter Miami — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayne St. Clair | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Facundo Mura | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Micael | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Maximiliano Falcón | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Luján | D | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Telasco Segovia | M | 89 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 23% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Yannick Bright | M | 87 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | 4 | — | 1 |
| Rodrigo De Paul | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mateo Silvetti | M | 70 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Berterame | F | 89 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lionel Messi | F | 90 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 3 | 19 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Daniel Pinter | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| N. Allen | D | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs Inter Miami?
The final score was Colorado Rapids 2–3 Inter Miami.
What did the model predict before Colorado Rapids vs Inter Miami?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Colorado Rapids win, 25% to a draw, and 28% to an Inter Miami win.