Colorado Rapids 2–3 Inter Miami — pre-match prediction — MLS — April 18, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 8 April 18, 2026 22:30

Colorado Rapids

#8 · 36 pts

2 – 3

Final score

Inter Miami

#3 · 46 pts

Rafael Navarro (ast. Wayne Frederick) 58'

Darren Yapi (ast. Lucas Herrington) 62'

(pen.) 18' Lionel Messi

45'+5 (ast. Mateo Silvetti) Germán Berterame

79' (ast. Rodrigo De Paul) Lionel Messi

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Colorado Rapids a 45% win probability (draw 25%, Inter Miami 28%). The final result was Colorado Rapids 2–3 Inter Miami.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.60

Actual xG

1.24

Saves

62%

Possession

38%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

16'

Josh Atencio

17'

18'

(pen.) Lionel Messi⚽

22'

Rodrigo De Paul

29'

Micael

45'+5

ast. Mateo Silvetti · Germán Berterame⚽

45'+5

Germán Berterame

⚽Rafael Navarro · ast. Wayne Frederick

58'

↕ Hamzat Ojediran / Darren Yapi

61'

⚽Darren Yapi · ast. Lucas Herrington

62'

Wayne Frederick

64'

70'

Daniel Pinter / Gonzalo Luján ↕

70'

Noah Allen / Mateo Silvetti ↕

Lucas Herrington

75'

79'

ast. Rodrigo De Paul · Lionel Messi⚽

↕ Paxten Aaronson / Dante Sealy

83'

86'

Telasco Segovia

87'

Yannick Bright

90'+2

Lionel Messi

Jackson Travis

90'+3

↕ Josh Atencio / Alex Harris

90'

Ezequiel Abadia-Reda / Germán Berterame ↕

90'

Alexander Shaw / Telasco Segovia ↕

Pre-match prediction

45.55%

Colorado

25.98%

28.47%

Inter ←

we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami) 28.47% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Colorado

2.74

1.60

-1.15

Inter

1.66

1.24

-0.42

Colorado Rapids dominated by xG (1.60 vs 1.24). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	26	50
2	St. Louis City	27	47
3	FC Dallas	27	47
4	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
5	Houston Dynamo	27	44
6	Los Angeles FC	28	41
7	Seattle Sounders	27	38
8	Colorado Rapids	27	36
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
10	Portland Timbers	27	32
11	Real Salt Lake	27	32
12	San Diego	27	32
13	Austin	27	31
14	Minnesota United FC	27	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	27	21

Lineups

Colorado Rapids 4-2-3-1

Z. Steffen G 6.00

J. Travis D 6.30

Lucas Herrington 1 👟 D 6.90

R. Holding D 6.20

K. Thompson D 6.30

H. Ojediran 61' M 6.70

J. Atencio 89' M 6.30

G. Minoungou M 6.30

W. Frederick II 1 👟 M 6.30

P. Aaronson 83' M 6.50

Rafael Navarro 1 ⚽ F 7.90

Bench

A. Castillo Manyoma M

D. Sealy 15' F 7.20

D. Yapi 1 ⚽ 29' F 7.90

K. Rosenberry D

N. Cobb D

N. Defreitas G

Inter Miami 4-4-2

Dayne St. Clair G 5.90

F. Mura D 6.20

Micael D 6.50

M. Falcón D 6.70

G. Luján 70' D 6.30

T. Segovia 89' M 5.90

Y. Bright 87' M 6.90

R. De Paul 1 👟 M 6.90

Mateo Silvetti 1 👟 70' M 6.60

Germán Berterame 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.30

L. Messi 2 ⚽ F 8.30

Bench

Daniel Pinter 20' F 6.30

D. Ruíz M

I. Fray D

L. Suárez F

N. Allen 20' D 6.60

T. Allende F

Best on the pitch

L. Messi

F · Inter

8.30

2 ⚽

3 shots · 19 pass

D. Yapi

F · Colorado

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 6 pass

Rafael Navarro

F · Colorado

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 21 pass

Germán Berterame

F · Inter

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 13 pass

D. Sealy

F · Colorado

7.20

· 5 pass

Lucas Herrington

D · Colorado

6.90

1 👟

· 75 pass

Colorado Rapids — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Z. Steffen	G	90	6.00	—	—	—	43	35%	—	—	—
J. Travis	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	30	27%	3	1	—
Lucas Herrington	D	90	6.90	—	1	—	75	69%	1	1	—
R. Holding	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	71	59%	1	—	—
K. Thompson	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	34	31%	—	—	—
H. Ojediran	M	61	6.70	—	—	1	50	49%	1	—	—
J. Atencio	M	89	6.30	—	—	1	60	56%	2	1	—
G. Minoungou	M	90	6.30	—	—	1	19	14%	1	—	—
W. Frederick II	M	90	6.30	—	1	2	33	30%	2	1	—
P. Aaronson	M	83	6.50	—	—	2	25	20%	—	—	—
Rafael Navarro	F	90	7.90	1	—	1	21	18%	1	—	—
D. Sealy	F	15	7.20	—	—	—	5	5%	—	—	—
D. Yapi	F	29	7.90	1	—	2	6	5%	—	—	—

Inter Miami — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Dayne St. Clair	G	90	5.90	—	—	—	48	23%	—	—	—
F. Mura	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	28	21%	1	—	—
Micael	D	90	6.50	—	—	1	28	24%	1	1	—
M. Falcón	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	42	31%	1	—	—
G. Luján	D	70	6.30	—	—	—	19	13%	1	—	—
T. Segovia	M	89	5.90	—	—	—	24	23%	2	1	—
Y. Bright	M	87	6.90	—	—	—	23	21%	4	—	1
R. De Paul	M	90	6.90	—	1	—	29	25%	1	1	—
Mateo Silvetti	M	70	6.60	—	1	—	7	5%	1	—	—
Germán Berterame	F	89	7.30	1	—	2	13	10%	1	1	—
L. Messi	F	90	8.30	2	—	3	19	16%	—	1	—
Daniel Pinter	F	20	6.30	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
N. Allen	D	20	6.60	—	—	—	7	3%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs Inter Miami?

The final score was Colorado Rapids 2–3 Inter Miami.

What did the model predict before Colorado Rapids vs Inter Miami?

The model assigned 45% probability to a Colorado Rapids win, 25% to a draw, and 28% to an Inter Miami win.