MLS
· Regular Season - 13
May 10, 2026 03:30
26'
(ast. S. Becher)
S. Jeong
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Colorado Rapids a 41% win probability (draw 31%, St. Louis City 26%). The final result was Colorado Rapids 0–1 St. Louis City.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
1
1.15
Actual xG
1.87
0
Saves
2
55%
Possession
45%
11
Corners
1
10
Tackles
19
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
H. Ojediran
19'
26'
ast. S. Becher ·
S. Jeong⚽
M. Navarro
44'
46'
B. McSorley
/
S. Jeong
R. Holding
52'
D. Yapi
55'
D. Yapi
/ J. Travis
57'
D. Sealy
/ C. Ronan
57'
58'
B. McSorley
K. Thompson
/ K. Rosenberry
63'
67'
C. Wallem
76'
L. MacNaughton
/
S. Becher
76'
E. Lowen
/
C. Wallem
H. Ojediran
/ A. Harris
76'
86'
C. Durkin
88'
C. Durkin
88'
C. Durkin
K. Rosenberry
89'
90'+4
M. Perez
90'
F. Fall
/
J. Orozco
90'
M. Perez
/
B. McSorley
Pre-match prediction
41.39%
Colorado
31.87%
X
26.75%
St. ←
we assigned to the actual result (St. Louis City)
26.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.39
1.15
-0.24
0.95
1.87
+0.92
St. Louis City dominated by xG (1.87 vs 1.15).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
41
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
G
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
G
29
Miguel Navarro
D
Miguel Navarro
D
22
Lucas Herrington
D
Lucas Herrington
D
6
Rob Holding
51'
D
Rob Holding
51'
D
33
Kosi Thompson
63'
D
Kosi Thompson
63'
D
93
Georgi Minoungou
M
Georgi Minoungou
M
8
Hamzat Ojediran
76'
M
Hamzat Ojediran
76'
M
10
Paxten Aaronson
M
Paxten Aaronson
M
7
Dante Sealy
57'
M
Dante Sealy
57'
M
9
Rafael Navarro
F
Rafael Navarro
F
77
Darren Yapi
57'
F
Darren Yapi
57'
F
Bench
16
Alex Harris
20'
F
Alex Harris
20'
F
11
Alexis Manyoma
M
Alexis Manyoma
M
20
Connor Ronan
39'
M
Connor Ronan
39'
M
99
Jackson Travis
39'
D
Jackson Travis
39'
D
2
Keegan Rosenberry
33'
D
Keegan Rosenberry
33'
D
26
Mamadou Billo Diop
F
Mamadou Billo Diop
F
24
Noah Cobb
D
Noah Cobb
D
47
Sydney Wathuta
F
Sydney Wathuta
F
51
Zackory Campagnolo
G
Zackory Campagnolo
G
1
Roman Bürki
G
Roman Bürki
G
21
Dante Polvara
D
Dante Polvara
D
32
Timo Baumgartl
D
Timo Baumgartl
D
99
Jaziel Orozco
D
Jaziel Orozco
D
14
Tomas Totland
M
Tomas Totland
M
24
Daniel Edelman
M
Daniel Edelman
M
8
Christopher Durkin
87'
M
Christopher Durkin
87'
M
6
Conrad Wallem
76'
M
Conrad Wallem
76'
M
17
Marcel Hartel
F
Marcel Hartel
F
77
Jeong Sang-bin
1 ⚽
45'
F
Jeong Sang-bin
1 ⚽
45'
F
11
Simon Becher
1 👟
76'
F
Simon Becher
1 👟
76'
F
Bench
39
Benjamin Lundt
G
Benjamin Lundt
G
80
Brendan McSorley
45'
F
Brendan McSorley
45'
F
10
Eduard Löwen
20'
M
Eduard Löwen
20'
M
27
Fallou Fall
6'
D
Fallou Fall
6'
D
5
Lukas MacNaughton
20'
D
Lukas MacNaughton
20'
D
28
Miguel Perez
6'
M
Miguel Perez
6'
M
59
Mykhi Joyner
M
Mykhi Joyner
M
20
Rafael Santos
D
Rafael Santos
D
Best on the pitch
Jaziel Orozco
D · St.
8.00
· 40 pass
Jeong Sang-bin
F · St.
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
Keegan Rosenberry
D · Colorado
7.70
· 19 pass
Dante Polvara
D · St.
7.70
· 39 pass
Daniel Edelman
M · St.
7.50
· 41 pass
Lucas Herrington
D · Colorado
7.20
1 shots
· 67 pass
Colorado Rapids — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen | G | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Navarro | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 62 | 54% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Herrington | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Rob Holding | D | 51 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | 1 |
| Kosi Thompson | D | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Georgi Minoungou | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Hamzat Ojediran | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Paxten Aaronson | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| Dante Sealy | M | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Navarro | F | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Darren Yapi | F | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Alex Harris | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Connor Ronan | M | 39 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Jackson Travis | D | 39 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Keegan Rosenberry | D | 33 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
St. Louis City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Bürki | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Dante Polvara | D | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 39 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Timo Baumgartl | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Jaziel Orozco | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | 6 | — | — |
| Tomas Totland | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Edelman | M | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 41 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Christopher Durkin | M | 87 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | — | 2 | 1 |
| Conrad Wallem | M | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Marcel Hartel | F | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Jeong Sang-bin | F | 45 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Simon Becher | F | 76 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Brendan McSorley | F | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Eduard Löwen | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Fallou Fall | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Lukas MacNaughton | D | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Perez | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City?
The final score was Colorado Rapids 0–1 St. Louis City.
What did the model predict before Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Colorado Rapids win, 31% to a draw, and 26% to an St. Louis City win.