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MLS · Regular Season - 12 May 10, 2026 03:30 Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata
Colorado Rapids
#7 · 32 pts
0 – 1
Final score
St. Louis City
#6 · 38 pts
26' (ast. S. Becher) S. Jeong
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Colorado Rapids a 41% win probability (draw 31%, St. Louis City 26%). The final result was Colorado Rapids 0–1 St. Louis City. In 1 previous meetings, Colorado Rapids have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for St. Louis City.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
1
1.15
Actual xG
1.87
0
Saves
2
55%
Possession
45%
11
Corners
1
10
Tackles
19
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
H. Ojediran
19'
26'
ast. S. Becher · S. Jeong⚽
M. Navarro
44'
46'
B. McSorley / S. Jeong ↕
R. Holding
52'
D. Yapi
55'
↕ D. Yapi / J. Travis
57'
↕ D. Sealy / C. Ronan
57'
58'
B. McSorley
↕ K. Thompson / K. Rosenberry
63'
67'
C. Wallem
76'
L. MacNaughton / S. Becher ↕
76'
E. Lowen / C. Wallem ↕
↕ H. Ojediran / A. Harris
76'
86'
C. Durkin
88'
C. Durkin
88'
C. Durkin
K. Rosenberry
89'
90'+4
M. Perez
90'
F. Fall / J. Orozco ↕
90'
M. Perez / B. McSorley ↕
Pre-match prediction
41.39%
Colorado
31.87%
X
26.75%
St. ←
we assigned to the actual result (St. Louis City) 26.75% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Colorado
1.39
1.15
-0.24
St.
0.95
1.87
+0.92
St. Louis City dominated by xG (1.87 vs 1.15). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 23 46
2 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 24 43
3 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 25 40
4 FC Dallas FC Dallas 24 40
5 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 24 38
6 St. Louis City St. Louis City 24 38
7 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 24 32
8 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 24 32
9 San Diego San Diego 24 30
10 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 23 29
11 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 24 29
12 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 25 29
13 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 22 27
14 Austin Austin 24 26
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 23 15
Lineups
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 4-4-2
41 N. Defreitas N. Defreitas G 6.70
29 M. Navarro M. Navarro D 7.00
22 L. Herrington L. Herrington D 7.20
6 R. Holding R. Holding 51' D 5.50
33 K. Thompson K. Thompson 63' D 6.30
93 G. Minoungou G. Minoungou M 6.60
8 H. Ojediran H. Ojediran 76' M 6.30
10 P. Aaronson P. Aaronson M 7.00
7 D. Sealy D. Sealy 57' M 6.30
9 Rafael Navarro Rafael Navarro F 6.20
77 D. Yapi D. Yapi 57' F 6.30
Bench
11 A. Castillo Manyoma A. Castillo Manyoma M
16 A. Harris A. Harris 20' F 6.30
20 C. Ronan C. Ronan 39' M 6.60
99 J. Travis J. Travis 39' D 6.60
2 K. Rosenberry K. Rosenberry 33' D 7.70
26 Mamadou Billo Diop Mamadou Billo Diop F
24 N. Cobb N. Cobb D
47 Sydney Wathuta Sydney Wathuta F
51 Zackory Campagnolo Zackory Campagnolo G
St. Louis City St. Louis City 3-4-2-1
1 R. Bürki R. Bürki G 6.90
21 D. Polvara D. Polvara D 7.70
32 T. Baumgartl T. Baumgartl D 6.90
99 J. Orozco J. Orozco D 8.00
14 T. Totland T. Totland M 6.90
24 D. Edelman D. Edelman M 7.50
8 C. Durkin C. Durkin 87' M 6.00
6 C. Wallem C. Wallem 76' M 6.50
17 M. Hartel M. Hartel F 7.20
77 Jeong Sang-Bin Jeong Sang-Bin 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.90
11 S. Becher S. Becher 1 👟 76' F 6.70
Bench
39 B. Lundt B. Lundt G
80 Brendan McSorley Brendan McSorley 45' F 6.00
10 E. Löwen E. Löwen 20' M 6.30
27 F. Fall F. Fall 6' D
5 L. MacNaughton L. MacNaughton 20' D 6.50
59 M. Joyner M. Joyner M
28 M. Perez M. Perez 6' M
20 Rafael Santos Rafael Santos D
Best on the pitch
J. Orozco
J. Orozco
D · St.
8.00
· 40 pass
Jeong Sang-Bin
Jeong Sang-Bin
F · St.
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 11 pass
K. Rosenberry
K. Rosenberry
D · Colorado
7.70
· 19 pass
D. Polvara
D. Polvara
D · St.
7.70
· 39 pass
D. Edelman
D. Edelman
M · St.
7.50
· 41 pass
L. Herrington
L. Herrington
D · Colorado
7.20
1 shots · 67 pass
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Defreitas G 96 6.70 — — — 33 31% — — —
M. Navarro D 96 7.00 — — — 62 54% 1 1 —
L. Herrington D 96 7.20 — — 1 67 59% 1 — —
R. Holding D 51 5.50 — — — 26 22% — — 1
K. Thompson D 63 6.30 — — — 22 16% 1 — —
G. Minoungou M 96 6.60 — — 2 21 11% — — —
H. Ojediran M 76 6.30 — — — 38 33% 2 1 —
P. Aaronson M 96 7.00 — — 1 28 25% 3 — —
D. Sealy M 57 6.30 — — — 10 8% — — —
Rafael Navarro F 96 6.20 — — 1 17 13% 1 1 —
D. Yapi F 57 6.30 — — 1 8 7% — — —
A. Harris F 20 6.30 — — — 3 1% — — —
C. Ronan M 39 6.60 — — — 30 25% 1 — —
J. Travis D 39 6.60 — — — 22 19% — — —
K. Rosenberry D 33 7.70 — — — 19 18% — — —
St. Louis City St. Louis City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Bürki G 96 6.90 — — — 37 22% — — —
D. Polvara D 96 7.70 — — — 39 29% 1 — —
T. Baumgartl D 96 6.90 — — — 47 43% 1 — —
J. Orozco D 90 8.00 — — — 40 36% 6 — —
T. Totland M 96 6.90 — — — 25 22% 2 — —
D. Edelman M 96 7.50 — — — 41 38% 2 — —
C. Durkin M 87 6.00 — — 1 22 16% — 2 1
C. Wallem M 76 6.50 — — — 28 21% 5 1 —
M. Hartel F 96 7.20 — — 2 34 27% 1 — —
Jeong Sang-Bin F 45 7.90 1 — 1 11 7% — — —
S. Becher F 76 6.70 — 1 1 14 11% 1 — —
Brendan McSorley F 45 6.00 — — 1 5 3% — 1 —
E. Löwen M 20 6.30 — — 1 5 4% — — —
F. Fall D 6 — — — — 1 1% — — —
L. MacNaughton D 20 6.50 — — — 2 1% — — —
M. Perez M 6 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City?
The final score was Colorado Rapids 0–1 St. Louis City.
What did the model predict before Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Colorado Rapids win, 31% to a draw, and 26% to an St. Louis City win.