MLS
· Regular Season - 7
April 13, 2026 03:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Columbus Crew, result Pareggio
D. Rossi
(ast. T. Habroune)
80'
14'
(ast. Tiago)
M. Pasalic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Columbus Crew a 53% win probability (draw 23%, Orlando City SC 23%). The final result was Columbus Crew 1–1 Orlando City SC.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
3
7
Shots on target
1
1.18
Actual xG
0.61
0
Saves
6
65%
Possession
35%
8
Corners
1
18
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
14'
ast. Tiago ·
M. Pasalic⚽
W. Abou Ali
/ T. Habroune
35'
41'
Iago Teodoro
43'
D. Brekalo
S. Moreira
55'
A. Gomes
/ J. Thiare
61'
A. Herrera
/ H. Picard
61'
64'
Luis Otavio
/
E. Atuesta
68'
Z. Taifi
/
G. Dorsey
75'
A. Gomez
/
Iago Teodoro
78'
T. Reid-Brown
/
R. Jansson
⚽D. Rossi
· ast. T. Habroune
80'
82'
A. Gomez
D. Chambost
/ S. Bangoura
83'
S. Moreira
/ D. Gazdag
83'
86'
M. Pasalic
Pre-match prediction
53.43%
Columbus
23.46%
X ←
23.11%
Orlando
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.46%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.40
1.18
-2.22
0.67
0.61
-0.06
Columbus Crew dominated by xG (1.18 vs 0.61).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
28
G
18
M. Amundsen
D
25
D
4
Rudy Camacho
D
Rudy Camacho
D
31
Steven Moreira
83'
D
Steven Moreira
83'
D
27
Maximilian Arfsten
M
Maximilian Arfsten
M
20
André Gomes
61'
M
André Gomes
61'
M
7
Dylan Chambost
83'
M
Dylan Chambost
83'
M
2
Andres Herrera
61'
M
Andres Herrera
61'
M
9
W. Abou Ali
35'
F
10
Diego Rossi
1 ⚽
F
Diego Rossi
1 ⚽
F
Bench
8
Dániel Gazdag
19'
M
Dániel Gazdag
19'
M
30
Hugo Picard
41'
M
Hugo Picard
41'
M
19
J. Thiare
41'
F
17
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
19'
M
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
19'
M
16
Taha Habroune
1 👟
67'
M
Taha Habroune
1 👟
67'
M
71
Maxime Crépeau
G
Maxime Crépeau
G
4
David Brekalo
D
David Brekalo
D
6
Robin Jansson
78'
D
Robin Jansson
78'
D
57
Iago Silva
75'
D
Iago Silva
75'
D
77
Iván Angulo
M
Iván Angulo
M
10
Martín Ojeda
M
Martín Ojeda
M
8
Braian Ojeda
M
Braian Ojeda
M
20
Eduard Atuesta
64'
M
Eduard Atuesta
64'
M
24
Griffin Dorsey
68'
M
Griffin Dorsey
68'
M
11
Tiago Souza
1 👟
F
Tiago Souza
1 👟
F
87
Marco Pašalić
1 ⚽
F
Marco Pašalić
1 ⚽
F
Bench
25
C. Guske
M
22
Justin Ellis
F
Justin Ellis
F
5
Luis Otávio
38'
M
Luis Otávio
38'
M
29
Tahir Reid-Brown
24'
D
Tahir Reid-Brown
24'
D
14
Tyrese Spicer
F
Tyrese Spicer
F
34
Y. Tsukada
F
19
Zakaria Taifi
34'
M
Zakaria Taifi
34'
M
Best on the pitch
Diego Rossi
F · Columbus
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 52 pass
Rudy Camacho
D · Columbus
7.50
1 shots
· 78 pass
Taha Habroune
M · Columbus
7.50
1 👟
· 41 pass
Marco Pašalić
F · Orlando
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 22 pass
Dylan Chambost
M · Columbus
7.30
· 78 pass
Maxime Crépeau
G · Orlando
7.30
· 25 pass
Columbus Crew — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 102 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| M. Amundsen | D | 102 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 66 | 61% | 5 | — | — |
| D | 102 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 75 | 71% | — | — | — | |
| Rudy Camacho | D | 102 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 78 | 73% | 1 | — | — |
| Steven Moreira | D | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 68 | 62% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Maximilian Arfsten | M | 102 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| André Gomes | M | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 52 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Dylan Chambost | M | 83 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 78 | 66% | — | — | — |
| Andres Herrera | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| W. Abou Ali | F | 35 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Diego Rossi | F | 102 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 52 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Dániel Gazdag | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Picard | M | 41 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Thiare | F | 41 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Sekou Tidiany Bangoura | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Taha Habroune | M | 67 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 41 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
Orlando City SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxime Crépeau | G | 102 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 12% | — | — | — |
| David Brekalo | D | 102 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Robin Jansson | D | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Iago Silva | D | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Iván Angulo | M | 102 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| Martín Ojeda | M | 102 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Braian Ojeda | M | 102 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Eduard Atuesta | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Griffin Dorsey | M | 68 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Tiago Souza | F | 102 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 20 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Marco Pašalić | F | 102 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Luis Otávio | M | 38 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Tahir Reid-Brown | D | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Zakaria Taifi | M | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Orlando City SC?
The final score was Columbus Crew 1–1 Orlando City SC.
What did the model predict before Columbus Crew vs Orlando City SC?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Columbus Crew win, 23% to a draw, and 23% to an Orlando City SC win.