MLS
· Regular Season - 7
April 13, 2026 01:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Columbus Crew, result Draw
D. Rossi
(ast. T. Habroune)
80'
14'
(ast. Tiago)
M. Pasalic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Columbus Crew a 53% win probability (draw 23%, Orlando City SC 23%). The final result was Columbus Crew 1–1 Orlando City SC.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
3
7
Shots on target
1
1.18
Actual xG
0.61
0
Saves
6
65%
Possession
35%
8
Corners
1
18
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
14'
ast. Tiago ·
M. Pasalic⚽
W. Abou Ali
/ T. Habroune
35'
41'
Iago Teodoro
43'
D. Brekalo
S. Moreira
55'
A. Gomes
/ J. Thiare
61'
A. Herrera
/ H. Picard
61'
64'
Luis Otavio
/
E. Atuesta
68'
Z. Taifi
/
G. Dorsey
75'
A. Gomez
/
Iago Teodoro
78'
T. Reid-Brown
/
R. Jansson
⚽D. Rossi
· ast. T. Habroune
80'
82'
A. Gomez
D. Chambost
/ S. Bangoura
83'
S. Moreira
/ D. Gazdag
83'
86'
M. Pasalic
Pre-match prediction
53.43%
Columbus
23.46%
X ←
23.11%
Orlando
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.46%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.40
1.18
-2.22
0.67
0.61
-0.06
Columbus Crew dominated by xG (1.18 vs 0.61).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
28
G
18
M. Amundsen
D
M. Amundsen
D
25
D
4
R. Camacho
D
R. Camacho
D
31
S. Moreira
83'
D
S. Moreira
83'
D
27
M. Arfsten
M
M. Arfsten
M
20
André Gomes
61'
M
André Gomes
61'
M
7
D. Chambost
83'
M
D. Chambost
83'
M
2
M. Herrera
61'
M
M. Herrera
61'
M
9
W. Abou Ali
35'
F
10
D. Rossi
1 ⚽
F
D. Rossi
1 ⚽
F
Bench
8
D. Gazdag
19'
M
D. Gazdag
19'
M
30
H. Picard
41'
M
H. Picard
41'
M
19
J. Thiaré
41'
F
J. Thiaré
41'
F
17
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
19'
M
16
T. Habroune
1 👟
67'
M
T. Habroune
1 👟
67'
M
71
M. Crépeau
G
M. Crépeau
G
4
D. Brekalo
D
D. Brekalo
D
6
R. Jansson
78'
D
R. Jansson
78'
D
57
Iago
75'
D
Iago
75'
D
77
I. Angulo
M
I. Angulo
M
10
M. Ojeda
M
M. Ojeda
M
8
Braian Ojeda
M
Braian Ojeda
M
20
E. Atuesta
64'
M
E. Atuesta
64'
M
24
G. Dorsey
68'
M
G. Dorsey
68'
M
11
Tiago
1 👟
F
Tiago
1 👟
F
87
Marco Pasalic
1 ⚽
F
Marco Pasalic
1 ⚽
F
Bench
25
Colin Guske
M
Colin Guske
M
22
Justin Ellis
F
Justin Ellis
F
5
Luis Otávio
38'
M
Luis Otávio
38'
M
29
Tahir Reid-Brown
24'
D
Tahir Reid-Brown
24'
D
14
T. Spicer
F
T. Spicer
F
34
Y. Tsukada
F
19
Z. Taifi
34'
M
Z. Taifi
34'
M
Best on the pitch
D. Rossi
F · Columbus
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 52 pass
R. Camacho
D · Columbus
7.50
1 shots
· 78 pass
T. Habroune
M · Columbus
7.50
1 👟
· 41 pass
Marco Pasalic
F · Orlando
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 22 pass
D. Chambost
M · Columbus
7.30
· 78 pass
M. Crépeau
G · Orlando
7.30
· 25 pass
Columbus Crew — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 102 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| M. Amundsen | D | 102 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 66 | 61% | 5 | — | — |
| D | 102 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 75 | 71% | — | — | — | |
| R. Camacho | D | 102 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 78 | 73% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Moreira | D | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 68 | 62% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Arfsten | M | 102 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| André Gomes | M | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 52 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Chambost | M | 83 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 78 | 66% | — | — | — |
| M. Herrera | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| W. Abou Ali | F | 35 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| D. Rossi | F | 102 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 52 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Gazdag | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Picard | M | 41 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Thiaré | F | 41 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Sekou Tidiany Bangoura | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
| T. Habroune | M | 67 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 41 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
Orlando City SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Crépeau | G | 102 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 12% | — | — | — |
| D. Brekalo | D | 102 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 3 | 1 | — |
| R. Jansson | D | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Iago | D | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Angulo | M | 102 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Ojeda | M | 102 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Braian Ojeda | M | 102 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| E. Atuesta | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Dorsey | M | 68 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Tiago | F | 102 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 20 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Marco Pasalic | F | 102 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Luis Otávio | M | 38 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Tahir Reid-Brown | D | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Z. Taifi | M | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Orlando City SC?
The final score was Columbus Crew 1–1 Orlando City SC.
What did the model predict before Columbus Crew vs Orlando City SC?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Columbus Crew win, 23% to a draw, and 23% to an Orlando City SC win.