Columbus Crew 1–1 Orlando City SC — pre-match prediction — MLS — April 13, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 7 April 13, 2026 01:00

Columbus Crew

#8 · 44 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Orlando City SC

#9 · 43 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Columbus Crew, result Draw

D. Rossi (ast. T. Habroune) 80'

14' (ast. Tiago) M. Pasalic

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Columbus Crew a 53% win probability (draw 23%, Orlando City SC 23%). The final result was Columbus Crew 1–1 Orlando City SC. In 2 previous meetings, Columbus Crew have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Orlando City SC.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.18

Actual xG

0.61

Saves

65%

Possession

35%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

14'

ast. Tiago · M. Pasalic⚽

↕ W. Abou Ali / T. Habroune

35'

41'

Iago Teodoro

43'

D. Brekalo

S. Moreira

55'

↕ A. Gomes / J. Thiare

61'

↕ A. Herrera / H. Picard

61'

64'

Luis Otavio / E. Atuesta ↕

68'

Z. Taifi / G. Dorsey ↕

75'

A. Gomez / Iago Teodoro ↕

78'

T. Reid-Brown / R. Jansson ↕

⚽D. Rossi · ast. T. Habroune

80'

82'

A. Gomez

↕ D. Chambost / S. Bangoura

83'

↕ S. Moreira / D. Gazdag

83'

86'

M. Pasalic

Pre-match prediction

53.43%

Columbus

23.46%

X ←

23.11%

Orlando

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.46% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Columbus

3.40

1.18

-2.22

Orlando

0.67

0.61

-0.06

Columbus Crew dominated by xG (1.18 vs 0.61). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	33	74
2	Inter Miami	33	59
3	New England Revolution	33	58
4	Chicago Fire	33	55
5	Charlotte	33	53
6	Philadelphia Union	33	47
7	FC Cincinnati	33	46
8	Columbus Crew	33	44
9	Orlando City SC	33	43
10	New York Red Bulls	33	39
11	New York City FC	33	39
12	Toronto FC	33	39
13	Atlanta United FC	33	33
14	DC United	33	33
15	CF Montreal	33	26

Lineups

Columbus Crew 4-4-2

G 6.50

M. Amundsen D 7.00

D 6.90

R. Camacho D 7.50

S. Moreira 83' D 6.60

M. Arfsten M 6.50

André Gomes 61' M 7.00

D. Chambost 83' M 7.30

M. Herrera 61' M 6.30

W. Abou Ali 35' F 6.70

D. Rossi 1 ⚽ F 8.00

Bench

D. Gazdag 19' M 6.70

H. Picard 41' M 6.90

J. Thiaré 41' F 6.50

S. Bangoura 19' M 6.30

T. Habroune 1 👟 67' M 7.50

Orlando City SC 3-5-2

M. Crépeau G 7.30

D. Brekalo D 6.90

R. Jansson 78' D 7.20

Iago 75' D 7.20

I. Angulo M 6.90

M. Ojeda M 7.00

B. Ojeda M 6.70

E. Atuesta 64' M 6.90

G. Dorsey 68' M 7.00

Tiago 1 👟 F 6.90

Marco Pasalic 1 ⚽ F 7.50

Bench

Colin Guske M

Justin Ellis F

Luis Otávio 38' M 6.70

Tahir Reid-Brown 24' D 6.30

T. Spicer F

Y. Tsukada F

Z. Taifi 34' M 6.70

Best on the pitch

D. Rossi

F · Columbus

8.00

1 ⚽

2 shots · 52 pass

R. Camacho

D · Columbus

7.50

1 shots · 78 pass

T. Habroune

M · Columbus

7.50

1 👟

· 41 pass

Marco Pasalic

F · Orlando

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 22 pass

D. Chambost

M · Columbus

7.30

· 78 pass

M. Crépeau

G · Orlando

7.30

· 25 pass

Columbus Crew — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	102	6.50	—	—	—	21	18%	—	—	—
M. Amundsen	D	102	7.00	—	—	2	66	61%	5	—	—
	D	102	6.90	—	—	—	75	71%	—	—	—
R. Camacho	D	102	7.50	—	—	1	78	73%	1	—	—
S. Moreira	D	83	6.60	—	—	2	68	62%	1	1	—
M. Arfsten	M	102	6.50	—	—	1	60	50%	1	—	—
André Gomes	M	61	7.00	—	—	—	52	52%	1	—	—
D. Chambost	M	83	7.30	—	—	—	78	66%	—	—	—
M. Herrera	M	61	6.30	—	—	1	18	16%	3	—	—
W. Abou Ali	F	35	6.70	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—
D. Rossi	F	102	8.00	1	—	2	52	45%	1	—	—
D. Gazdag	M	19	6.70	—	—	2	9	9%	1	—	—
H. Picard	M	41	6.90	—	—	—	17	14%	2	—	—
J. Thiaré	F	41	6.50	—	—	—	8	6%	—	—	—
S. Bangoura	M	19	6.30	—	—	1	14	14%	—	—	—
T. Habroune	M	67	7.50	—	1	—	41	35%	2	—	—

Orlando City SC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Crépeau	G	102	7.30	—	—	—	25	12%	—	—	—
D. Brekalo	D	102	6.90	—	—	—	43	39%	3	1	—
R. Jansson	D	78	7.20	—	—	—	35	30%	—	—	—
Iago	D	75	7.20	—	—	—	28	28%	1	1	—
I. Angulo	M	102	6.90	—	—	—	51	43%	3	—	—
M. Ojeda	M	102	7.00	—	—	—	30	23%	—	—	—
B. Ojeda	M	102	6.70	—	—	—	34	30%	—	—	—
E. Atuesta	M	64	6.90	—	—	—	26	23%	2	—	—
G. Dorsey	M	68	7.00	—	—	—	18	15%	2	—	—
Tiago	F	102	6.90	—	1	2	20	10%	1	—	—
Marco Pasalic	F	102	7.50	1	—	1	22	15%	—	1	—
Luis Otávio	M	38	6.70	—	—	—	10	6%	1	—	—
Tahir Reid-Brown	D	24	6.30	—	—	—	4	3%	1	—	—
Z. Taifi	M	34	6.70	—	—	—	9	3%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Orlando City SC?

The final score was Columbus Crew 1–1 Orlando City SC.

What did the model predict before Columbus Crew vs Orlando City SC?

The model assigned 53% probability to a Columbus Crew win, 23% to a draw, and 23% to an Orlando City SC win.