Como 3–4 Inter — pre-match prediction — Serie A — April 12, 2026

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Serie A · Regular Season - 32 April 12, 2026 22:45

Como

#6 · 65 pts

3 – 4

Final score

Inter

#1 · 85 pts

A. Valle 36'

N. Paz (ast. J. Butez) 45'

L. Da Cunha 89' (pen.)

45' (ast. N. Barella) M. Thuram

49' M. Thuram

58' (ast. H. Calhanoglu) D. Dumfries

72' D. Dumfries

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter a 39% win probability (draw 23%, Como 37%). The final result was Como 3–4 Inter. In 3 previous meetings, Como have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Inter.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

3.12

Actual xG

0.88

Saves

60%

Possession

40%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

Álex Valle

24'

⚽A. Valle

36'

⚽N. Paz · ast. J. Butez

45'

ast. N. Barella · M. Thuram⚽

↕ S. Roberto / L. Da Cunha

46'

↕ Diego Carlos / J. Ramon

46'

Carlos Augusto / A. Bastoni ↕

49'

M. Thuram⚽

53'

Piotr Zieliński

Assane Diao

55'

56'

P. Sucic / P. Zielinski ↕

56'

Luis Henrique / F. Dimarco ↕

56'

A. Bonny / F. Esposito ↕

58'

ast. H. Calhanoglu · D. Dumfries⚽

↕ I. Van der Brempt / I. Smolcic

67'

69'

Hakan Çalhanoğlu

72'

D. Dumfries⚽

77'

Petar Sučić

78'

H. Mkhitaryan / N. Barella ↕

79'

Francesco Acerbi

↕ A. Diao / A. Morata

79'

↕ A. Valle / A. Moreno

80'

83'

Carlos Augusto

87'

Ange-Yoan Bonny

88'

⚽L. Da Cunha (pen.)

89'

Jacobo Ramón

90'+1

Manuel Akanji

Pre-match prediction

37.7%

Como

23.11%

39.19%

Inter ←

we assigned to the actual result (Inter) 39.19% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Como

1.55

3.12

+1.57

Inter

1.71

0.88

-0.83

Como dominated by xG (3.12 vs 0.88). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Inter	36	85
2	Napoli	36	70
3	Juventus	36	68
4	AC Milan	36	67
5	AS Roma	36	67
6	Como	36	65
7	Atalanta	36	58
8	Bologna	36	52
9	Lazio	36	51
10	Udinese	36	50
11	Sassuolo	36	49
12	Torino	36	44
13	Parma	36	42
14	Genoa	36	41
15	Fiorentina	36	38
16	Cagliari	36	37
17	Lecce	36	32
18	Cremonese	36	31
19	Hellas Verona	36	20
20	Pisa	36	18

Lineups

Como 4-2-3-1

1 👟 G 6.50

Álex Valle 1 ⚽ 80' D 5.90

Marc Kempf D 5.20

Diego Carlos 45' D 6.30

I. Van der Brempt 67' D 5.90

M. Perrone M 6.30

Sergi Roberto 45' M 6.50

M. Baturina M 7.20

N. Paz 1 ⚽ M 8.90

Assane Diao 79' M 6.50

T. Douvikas F 6.50

Bench

Alberto Moreno 10' D 6.60

Álvaro Morata 11' F 6.90

I. Smolčić 23' D 6.50

Jacobo Ramón Naveros 45' D 6.00

L. da Cunha 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.50

M. Caqueret M

Mërgim Vojvoda D

Inter 3-5-2

G 7.30

Alessandro Bastoni 45' D 6.20

Francesco Acerbi D 6.20

Manuel Akanji D 5.90

Federico Dimarco 56' M 6.20

Piotr Zieliński 56' M 6.60

H. Çalhanoğlu 1 👟 M 6.90

Nicolò Barella 1 👟 78' M 7.30

D. Dumfries 2 ⚽ M 8.50

M. Thuram 2 ⚽ F 8.90

F. Esposito 56' F 6.30

Bench

A. Bonny 34' F 5.90

A. Diouf M

Carlos Augusto 45' D 6.60

D. Frattesi M

Henrikh Mkhitaryan 12' M 6.50

Lautaro Martínez F

Luís Henrique 34' F 6.60

Matteo Darmian D

P. Sučić 34' M 6.50

Best on the pitch

N. Paz

M · Como

8.90

1 ⚽

6 shots · 35 pass

M. Thuram

F · Inter

8.90

2 ⚽

2 shots · 13 pass

D. Dumfries

M · Inter

8.50

2 ⚽

2 shots · 19 pass

L. da Cunha

M · Como

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 39 pass

G · Inter

7.30

· 39 pass

Nicolò Barella

M · Inter

7.30

1 👟

· 35 pass

Como — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.50	—	1	—	32	26%	—	—	—
Álex Valle	D	80	5.90	1	—	1	27	20%	1	1	—
Marc Kempf	D	90	5.20	—	—	1	60	50%	—	—	—
Diego Carlos	D	45	6.30	—	—	—	29	27%	1	—	—
I. Van der Brempt	D	67	5.90	—	—	—	38	33%	—	—	—
M. Perrone	M	90	6.30	—	—	1	62	56%	—	—	—
Sergi Roberto	M	45	6.50	—	—	—	24	22%	—	—	—
M. Baturina	M	90	7.20	—	—	3	47	41%	—	—	—
N. Paz	M	90	8.90	1	—	6	35	29%	2	—	—
Assane Diao	M	79	6.50	—	—	—	22	19%	—	1	—
T. Douvikas	F	90	6.50	—	—	—	10	10%	1	—	—
Alberto Moreno	D	10	6.60	—	—	2	9	7%	2	—	—
Álvaro Morata	F	11	6.90	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—
I. Smolčić	D	23	6.50	—	—	—	14	13%	—	—	—
Jacobo Ramón Naveros	D	45	6.00	—	—	2	33	28%	—	1	—
L. da Cunha	M	45	7.50	1	—	1	39	38%	—	—	—

Inter — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	39	25%	—	—	—
Alessandro Bastoni	D	45	6.20	—	—	—	22	18%	1	—	—
Francesco Acerbi	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	47	45%	—	1	—
Manuel Akanji	D	90	5.90	—	—	—	46	38%	1	1	—
Federico Dimarco	M	56	6.20	—	—	—	13	8%	1	—	—
Piotr Zieliński	M	56	6.60	—	—	—	23	20%	2	1	—
H. Çalhanoğlu	M	90	6.90	—	1	1	37	32%	4	1	—
Nicolò Barella	M	78	7.30	—	1	—	35	28%	3	—	—
D. Dumfries	M	90	8.50	2	—	2	19	15%	—	—	—
M. Thuram	F	90	8.90	2	—	2	13	11%	1	—	—
F. Esposito	F	56	6.30	—	—	—	5	4%	1	—	—
A. Bonny	F	34	5.90	—	—	—	8	4%	1	1	—
Carlos Augusto	D	45	6.60	—	—	—	6	4%	1	1	—
Henrikh Mkhitaryan	M	12	6.50	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
Luís Henrique	F	34	6.60	—	—	1	5	3%	1	—	—
P. Sučić	M	34	6.50	—	—	—	4	4%	—	1	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Como vs Inter?

The final score was Como 3–4 Inter.

What did the model predict before Como vs Inter?

The model assigned 37% probability to a Como win, 23% to a draw, and 39% to an Inter win.