A. Valle
36'
N. Paz
(ast. J. Butez)
45'
L. Da Cunha
89'
(pen.)
45'
(ast. N. Barella)
M. Thuram
49'
M. Thuram
58'
(ast. H. Calhanoglu)
D. Dumfries
72'
D. Dumfries
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter a 39% win probability (draw 23%, Como 37%). The final result was Como 3–4 Inter. In 3 previous meetings, Como have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Inter.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
6
8
Shots on target
5
3.12
Actual xG
0.88
2
Saves
5
60%
Possession
40%
1
Corners
1
7
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
7
Match Events
Álex Valle
24'
⚽A. Valle
36'
⚽N. Paz
· ast. J. Butez
45'
45'
ast. N. Barella ·
M. Thuram⚽
S. Roberto
/ L. Da Cunha
46'
Diego Carlos
/ J. Ramon
46'
46'
Carlos Augusto
/
A. Bastoni
49'
M. Thuram⚽
53'
Piotr Zieliński
Assane Diao
55'
56'
P. Sucic
/
P. Zielinski
56'
Luis Henrique
/
F. Dimarco
56'
A. Bonny
/
F. Esposito
58'
ast. H. Calhanoglu ·
D. Dumfries⚽
I. Van der Brempt
/ I. Smolcic
67'
69'
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
72'
D. Dumfries⚽
77'
Petar Sučić
78'
H. Mkhitaryan
/
N. Barella
79'
Francesco Acerbi
A. Diao
/ A. Morata
79'
A. Valle
/ A. Moreno
80'
83'
Carlos Augusto
87'
Ange-Yoan Bonny
88'
⚽L. Da Cunha
(pen.)
89'
Jacobo Ramón
90'+1
90'+1
Manuel Akanji
Pre-match prediction
37.7%
Como
23.11%
X
39.19%
Inter ←
we assigned to the actual result (Inter)
39.19%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.55
3.12
+1.57
1.71
0.88
-0.83
Como dominated by xG (3.12 vs 0.88).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
1 👟
G
3
Álex Valle
1 ⚽
80'
D
Álex Valle
1 ⚽
80'
D
2
Marc Kempf
D
Marc Kempf
D
34
Diego Carlos
45'
D
Diego Carlos
45'
D
77
Ignace Van der Brempt
67'
D
Ignace Van der Brempt
67'
D
23
M. Perrone
M
M. Perrone
M
8
Sergi Roberto
45'
M
Sergi Roberto
45'
M
20
M. Baturina
M
M. Baturina
M
10
N. Paz
1 ⚽
M
N. Paz
1 ⚽
M
38
Assane Diao
79'
M
Assane Diao
79'
M
11
T. Douvikas
F
T. Douvikas
F
Bench
18
Alberto Moreno
10'
D
Alberto Moreno
10'
D
7
Álvaro Morata
11'
F
Álvaro Morata
11'
F
28
Ivan Smolčić
23'
D
Ivan Smolčić
23'
D
14
Jacobo Ramón Naveros
45'
D
Jacobo Ramón Naveros
45'
D
33
L. da Cunha
1 ⚽
45'
M
L. da Cunha
1 ⚽
45'
M
6
M. Caqueret
M
M. Caqueret
M
31
M. Vojvoda
D
M. Vojvoda
D
1
G
95
A. Bastoni
45'
D
A. Bastoni
45'
D
15
Francesco Acerbi
D
25
Manuel Akanji
D
Manuel Akanji
D
32
F. Dimarco
56'
M
F. Dimarco
56'
M
7
P. Zieliński
56'
M
P. Zieliński
56'
M
20
H. Çalhanoğlu
1 👟
M
H. Çalhanoğlu
1 👟
M
23
N. Barella
1 👟
78'
M
N. Barella
1 👟
78'
M
2
D. Dumfries
2 ⚽
M
D. Dumfries
2 ⚽
M
9
M. Thuram
2 ⚽
F
M. Thuram
2 ⚽
F
94
F. Esposito
56'
F
F. Esposito
56'
F
Bench
14
A. Bonny
34'
F
A. Bonny
34'
F
17
A. Diouf
M
A. Diouf
M
30
Carlos Augusto
45'
D
16
D. Frattesi
M
D. Frattesi
M
22
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
12'
M
10
Lautaro Martínez
F
Lautaro Martínez
F
11
Luís Henrique
34'
F
36
Matteo Darmian
D
8
P. Sučić
34'
M
P. Sučić
34'
M
Best on the pitch
N. Paz
M · Como
8.90
1 ⚽
6 shots
· 35 pass
M. Thuram
F · Inter
8.90
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
D. Dumfries
M · Inter
8.50
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 19 pass
L. da Cunha
M · Como
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 39 pass
G · Inter
7.30
· 39 pass
N. Barella
M · Inter
7.30
1 👟
· 35 pass
Como — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 32 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| Álex Valle | D | 80 | 5.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Marc Kempf | D | 90 | 5.20 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Diego Carlos | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Ignace Van der Brempt | D | 67 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | — | — | — |
| M. Perrone | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Sergi Roberto | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| M. Baturina | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 47 | 41% | — | — | — |
| N. Paz | M | 90 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 6 | 35 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Assane Diao | M | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Douvikas | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Alberto Moreno | D | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Álvaro Morata | F | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Ivan Smolčić | D | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Jacobo Ramón Naveros | D | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| L. da Cunha | M | 45 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 38% | — | — | — |
Inter — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| A. Bastoni | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Francesco Acerbi | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 45% | — | 1 | — |
| Manuel Akanji | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Dimarco | M | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Zieliński | M | 56 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| H. Çalhanoğlu | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 37 | 32% | 4 | 1 | — |
| N. Barella | M | 78 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 35 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Dumfries | M | 90 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 2 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Thuram | F | 90 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Esposito | F | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bonny | F | 34 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Carlos Augusto | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Henrikh Mkhitaryan | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Luís Henrique | F | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Sučić | M | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Como vs Inter?
The final score was Como 3–4 Inter.
What did the model predict before Como vs Inter?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Como win, 23% to a draw, and 39% to an Inter win.