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Serie A · Regular Season - 32 April 12, 2026 20:45 Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
Como
#5 · 7 pts
3 – 4
Final score
Inter
#3 · 9 pts
A. Valle 36'
N. Paz (ast. J. Butez) 45'
L. Da Cunha 89' (pen.)
45' (ast. N. Barella) M. Thuram
49' M. Thuram
58' (ast. H. Calhanoglu) D. Dumfries
72' D. Dumfries
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter a 39% win probability (draw 23%, Como 37%). The final result was Como 3–4 Inter. In 3 previous meetings, Como have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Inter.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
6
8
Shots on target
5
3.12
Actual xG
0.88
2
Saves
5
60%
Possession
40%
1
Corners
1
7
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
7
Match Events
Álex Valle
24'
⚽A. Valle
36'
⚽N. Paz · ast. J. Butez
45'
45'
ast. N. Barella · M. Thuram⚽
↕ S. Roberto / L. Da Cunha
46'
↕ Diego Carlos / J. Ramon
46'
46'
Carlos Augusto / A. Bastoni ↕
49'
M. Thuram⚽
53'
Piotr Zieliński
Assane Diao
55'
56'
P. Sucic / P. Zielinski ↕
56'
Luis Henrique / F. Dimarco ↕
56'
A. Bonny / F. Esposito ↕
58'
ast. H. Calhanoglu · D. Dumfries⚽
↕ I. Van der Brempt / I. Smolcic
67'
69'
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
72'
D. Dumfries⚽
77'
Petar Sučić
78'
H. Mkhitaryan / N. Barella ↕
79'
Francesco Acerbi
↕ A. Diao / A. Morata
79'
↕ A. Valle / A. Moreno
80'
83'
Carlos Augusto
87'
Ange-Yoan Bonny
88'
⚽L. Da Cunha (pen.)
89'
Jacobo Ramón
90'+1
90'+1
Manuel Akanji
Pre-match prediction
37.7%
Como
23.11%
X
39.19%
Inter ←
we assigned to the actual result (Inter) 39.19% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Como
1.55
3.12
+1.57
Inter
1.71
0.88
-0.83
Como dominated by xG (3.12 vs 0.88). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 4 10
2 AS Roma AS Roma 3 9
3 Inter Inter 3 9
4 AC Milan AC Milan 4 8
5 Como Como 3 7
6 Juventus Juventus 3 7
7 Frosinone Frosinone 4 7
8 Atalanta Atalanta 3 6
9 Cagliari Cagliari 3 6
10 Sassuolo Sassuolo 3 4
11 Udinese Udinese 3 4
12 Napoli Napoli 3 3
13 Torino Torino 3 3
14 Lecce Lecce 3 3
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 4 3
16 Bologna Bologna 3 1
17 Parma Parma 3 1
18 Monza Monza 3 1
19 Genoa Genoa 4 1
20 Venezia Venezia 4 0
Lineups
Como Como 4-2-3-1
1
1 👟 G 6.50
3 Álex Valle Álex Valle 1 ⚽ 80' D 5.90
2 M. Kempf M. Kempf D 5.20
34 Diego Carlos Diego Carlos 45' D 6.30
77 I. Van der Brempt I. Van der Brempt 67' D 5.90
23 M. Perrone M. Perrone M 6.30
8 Sergi Roberto Sergi Roberto 45' M 6.50
20 M. Baturina M. Baturina M 7.20
10 N. Paz N. Paz 1 ⚽ M 8.90
38 Assane Diao Assane Diao 79' M 6.50
11 T. Douvikas T. Douvikas F 6.50
Bench
18 Alberto Moreno Alberto Moreno 10' D 6.60
7 Álvaro Morata Álvaro Morata 11' F 6.90
28 I. Smolčić I. Smolčić 23' D 6.50
14 Jacobo Ramón Naveros Jacobo Ramón Naveros 45' D 6.00
33 L. da Cunha L. da Cunha 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.50
6 M. Caqueret M. Caqueret M
31 M. Vojvoda M. Vojvoda D
Inter Inter 3-5-2
1
G 7.30
95 A. Bastoni A. Bastoni 45' D 6.20
15
Francesco Acerbi D 6.20
25 M. Akanji M. Akanji D 5.90
32 F. Dimarco F. Dimarco 56' M 6.20
7 P. Zieliński P. Zieliński 56' M 6.60
20 H. Çalhanoğlu H. Çalhanoğlu 1 👟 M 6.90
23 N. Barella N. Barella 1 👟 78' M 7.30
2 D. Dumfries D. Dumfries 2 ⚽ M 8.50
9 M. Thuram M. Thuram 2 ⚽ F 8.90
94 F. Esposito F. Esposito 56' F 6.30
Bench
14 A. Bonny A. Bonny 34' F 5.90
17 A. Diouf A. Diouf M
30 Carlos Augusto Carlos Augusto 45' D 6.60
16 Davide Frattesi Davide Frattesi M
22 H. Mkhitaryan H. Mkhitaryan 12' M 6.50
10 Lautaro Martínez Lautaro Martínez F
11 Luis Henrique Luis Henrique 34' F 6.60
36
Matteo Darmian D
8 P. Sučić P. Sučić 34' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
N. Paz
N. Paz
M · Como
8.90
1 ⚽
6 shots · 35 pass
M. Thuram
M. Thuram
F · Inter
8.90
2 ⚽
2 shots · 13 pass
D. Dumfries
D. Dumfries
M · Inter
8.50
2 ⚽
2 shots · 19 pass
L. da Cunha
L. da Cunha
M · Como
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 39 pass
G · Inter
7.30
· 39 pass
N. Barella
N. Barella
M · Inter
7.30
1 👟
· 35 pass
Como Como — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.50 — 1 — 32 26% — — —
Álex Valle D 80 5.90 1 — 1 27 20% 1 1 —
M. Kempf D 90 5.20 — — 1 60 50% — — —
Diego Carlos D 45 6.30 — — — 29 27% 1 — —
I. Van der Brempt D 67 5.90 — — — 38 33% — — —
M. Perrone M 90 6.30 — — 1 62 56% — — —
Sergi Roberto M 45 6.50 — — — 24 22% — — —
M. Baturina M 90 7.20 — — 3 47 41% — — —
N. Paz M 90 8.90 1 — 6 35 29% 2 — —
Assane Diao M 79 6.50 — — — 22 19% — 1 —
T. Douvikas F 90 6.50 — — — 10 10% 1 — —
Alberto Moreno D 10 6.60 — — 2 9 7% 2 — —
Álvaro Morata F 11 6.90 — — — 4 2% — — —
I. Smolčić D 23 6.50 — — — 14 13% — — —
Jacobo Ramón Naveros D 45 6.00 — — 2 33 28% — 1 —
L. da Cunha M 45 7.50 1 — 1 39 38% — — —
Inter Inter — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 39 25% — — —
A. Bastoni D 45 6.20 — — — 22 18% 1 — —
Francesco Acerbi D 90 6.20 — — — 47 45% — 1 —
M. Akanji D 90 5.90 — — — 46 38% 1 1 —
F. Dimarco M 56 6.20 — — — 13 8% 1 — —
P. Zieliński M 56 6.60 — — — 23 20% 2 1 —
H. Çalhanoğlu M 90 6.90 — 1 1 37 32% 4 1 —
N. Barella M 78 7.30 — 1 — 35 28% 3 — —
D. Dumfries M 90 8.50 2 — 2 19 15% — — —
M. Thuram F 90 8.90 2 — 2 13 11% 1 — —
F. Esposito F 56 6.30 — — — 5 4% 1 — —
A. Bonny F 34 5.90 — — — 8 4% 1 1 —
Carlos Augusto D 45 6.60 — — — 6 4% 1 1 —
H. Mkhitaryan M 12 6.50 — — — 3 2% — — —
Luis Henrique F 34 6.60 — — 1 5 3% 1 — —
P. Sučić M 34 6.50 — — — 4 4% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Como vs Inter?
The final score was Como 3–4 Inter.
What did the model predict before Como vs Inter?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Como win, 23% to a draw, and 39% to an Inter win.