Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 8
March 23, 2026 01:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Flamengo a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Corinthians 32%). The final result was Corinthians 1–1 Flamengo.
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
2
1.31
Actual xG
0.36
54%
Possession
46%
6
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
32.62%
Corinthians
32.19%
X ←
35.18%
Flamengo
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.19%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.85
1.31
+0.46
1.14
0.36
-0.78
Corinthians dominated by xG (1.31 vs 0.36).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Flamengo?
The final score was Corinthians 1–1 Flamengo.
What did the model predict before Corinthians vs Flamengo?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Corinthians win, 32% to a draw, and 35% to an Flamengo win.