Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 8 March 23, 2026 00:30

Corinthians

#17 · 37 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Flamengo

#1 · 76 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Flamengo a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Corinthians 32%). The final result was Corinthians 1–1 Flamengo. In 1 previous meetings, Corinthians have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Flamengo.

Match statistics

2

Shots on target

2

1.31

Actual xG

0.36

54%

Possession

46%

6

Corners

2

Pre-match prediction

32.62%

Corinthians

32.19%

X ←

35.18%

Flamengo

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 32.19% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Corinthians

0.85

1.31

+0.46

Flamengo

1.14

0.36

-0.78

Corinthians dominated by xG (1.31 vs 0.36). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Flamengo	34	76
2	Palmeiras	34	73
3	Cruzeiro	34	60
4	Fluminense	33	54
5	Atletico Paranaense	34	54
6	Bahia	34	53
7	Atletico-MG	34	50
8	RB Bragantino	34	47
9	Santos	34	47
10	Sao Paulo	34	44
11	Botafogo	34	42
12	Coritiba	34	42
13	Vasco DA Gama	33	41
14	Mirassol	34	40
15	Vitoria	33	38
16	Internacional	34	38
17	Corinthians	34	37
18	Gremio	34	37
19	Remo	34	29
20	Chapecoense-sc	33	21