← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 10 April 05, 2026 03:30
Coritiba
#9 · 20 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Fluminense
#3 · 27 pts
Tiago Coser (ast. Josue) 74'
81' (ast. Ignacio) John Kennedy

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fluminense a 36% win probability (draw 29%, Coritiba 34%). The final result was Coritiba 1–1 Fluminense.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
4
0.68
Actual xG
0.90
3
Saves
3
32%
Possession
68%
3
Corners
10
18
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
18'
↕ Felipe Jonatan / Breno Lopes
56'
↕ Joao Pedro Chermont / Tinga
57'
↕ Jacy / Tiago Coser
57'
64'
Otavio / Martinelli ↕
71'
Alisson / Hercules ↕
71'
J. Savarino / PH Ganso ↕
⚽Tiago Coser · ast. Josue
74'
↕ Lucas Ronier / Wallisson
77'
79'
John Kennedy / R. Castillo ↕
79'
G. Cano / K. Serna ↕
Sebastian Gomez
81'
81'
ast. Ignacio · John Kennedy⚽
↕ S. Gomez / Fabinho
83'
Pre-match prediction
34.54%
Coritiba
29.07%
X ←
36.39%
Fluminense
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 29.07% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Coritiba
1.24
0.68
-0.56
Fluminense
1.38
0.90
-0.48
xG dominance was balanced (0.68 – 0.90). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 15 34
2 Flamengo Flamengo 14 30
3 Fluminense Fluminense 15 27
4 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 15 24
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 15 23
6 Bahia Bahia 14 22
7 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 15 20
8 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 15 20
9 Coritiba Coritiba 15 20
10 Vitoria Vitoria 14 19
11 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 15 19
12 Botafogo Botafogo 14 18
13 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 15 18
14 Internacional Internacional 15 18
15 Santos Santos 15 18
16 Corinthians Corinthians 15 18
17 Gremio Gremio 15 17
18 Mirassol Mirassol 14 13
19 Remo Remo 15 12
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 14 9
Lineups
Coritiba Coritiba 3-4-2-1
22 Pedro Rangel Pedro Rangel G 7.30
26 Bruno Melo Bruno Melo D 7.20
3
Maicon D 6.90
55 Jacy Maranhão Jacy Maranhão 57' D 7.20
6 Felipe Jonatan Felipe Jonatan 56' M 6.60
19 Sebastian Gomez Sebastian Gomez 83' M 6.20
36 Vini Paulista Vini Paulista M 7.30
44 João Pedro Chermont João Pedro Chermont 57' M 6.50
11 Lucas Ronier Lucas Ronier 77' F 6.60
10 Josué Josué 1 👟 F 7.90
32 Pedro Rocha Pedro Rocha F 6.30
Bench
77
Breno Lopes 34' F 6.30
78 Renato Marques Renato Marques F
21
Thiago Santos M
23
Tiago Coser 1 ⚽ 33' D 7.30
2 Tinga Tinga 33' D 6.30
8 Wallisson Luiz Wallisson Luiz 13' M 6.60
29 Willian Oliveira Willian Oliveira M
Fluminense Fluminense 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.30
13 Guilherme Arana Guilherme Arana D 7.00
22
D 6.90
4 Ignácio Ignácio 1 👟 D 6.90
23 Guga Guga D 6.60
8
Martinelli 64' M 6.90
35 Hércules Hércules 71' M 6.60
7 Y. Soteldo Y. Soteldo M 7.50
10
PH Ganso 71' M 6.90
90 Kevin Serna Kevin Serna 79' M 6.90
19 Rodrigo Castillo Rodrigo Castillo 79' F 5.60
Bench
25 Alisson Alisson 19' M 6.70
3
Jemmes D
9 John Kennedy John Kennedy 1 ⚽ 11' F 7.60
11 J. Savarino J. Savarino 19' F 6.60
94 Otávio Otávio 26' M 6.70
6 Renê Renê D
34
Wesley Nata
Best on the pitch
Josué
Josué
F · Coritiba
7.90
1 👟
· 46 pass
John Kennedy
John Kennedy
F · Fluminense
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 5 pass
Y. Soteldo
Y. Soteldo
M · Fluminense
7.50
2 shots · 43 pass
Tiago Coser
D · Coritiba
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 9 pass
Vini Paulista
Vini Paulista
M · Coritiba
7.30
· 23 pass
Pedro Rangel
Pedro Rangel
G · Coritiba
7.30
· 28 pass
Coritiba Coritiba — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Pedro Rangel G 90 7.30 — — — 28 19% — — —
Bruno Melo D 90 7.20 — — — 25 20% 6 — —
Maicon D 90 6.90 — — — 22 20% — — —
Jacy Maranhão D 57 7.20 — — — 15 13% 2 — —
Felipe Jonatan M 56 6.60 — — 1 12 9% 1 — —
Sebastian Gomez M 83 6.20 — — 2 11 9% 1 1 —
Vini Paulista M 90 7.30 — — — 23 20% 3 — —
João Pedro Chermont M 57 6.50 — — 1 8 5% — — —
Lucas Ronier F 77 6.60 — — 2 25 22% 2 — —
Josué F 90 7.90 — 1 — 46 38% — — —
Pedro Rocha F 90 6.30 — — — 13 8% — — —
Breno Lopes F 34 6.30 — — — 4 3% 1 — —
Tiago Coser D 33 7.30 1 — 2 9 5% — — —
Tinga D 33 6.30 — — — 12 9% 1 — —
Wallisson Luiz M 13 6.60 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
Fluminense Fluminense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 15 14% — — —
Guilherme Arana D 90 7.00 — — 2 77 73% 2 — —
D 90 6.90 — — — 75 67% — — —
Ignácio D 90 6.90 — 1 1 61 53% — — —
Guga D 90 6.60 — — — 60 56% 1 — —
Martinelli M 64 6.90 — — — 45 42% 2 — —
Hércules M 71 6.60 — — — 35 33% 1 — —
Y. Soteldo M 90 7.50 — — 2 43 36% — — —
PH Ganso M 71 6.90 — — — 37 34% 2 — —
Kevin Serna M 79 6.90 — — — 23 19% 2 — —
Rodrigo Castillo F 79 5.60 — — — 18 14% 1 — —
Alisson M 19 6.70 — — — 18 17% — — —
John Kennedy F 11 7.60 1 — 2 5 4% — — —
J. Savarino F 19 6.60 — — — 11 10% 2 — —
Otávio M 26 6.70 — — — 28 27% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Coritiba vs Fluminense?
The final score was Coritiba 1–1 Fluminense.
What did the model predict before Coritiba vs Fluminense?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Coritiba win, 29% to a draw, and 36% to an Fluminense win.