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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 10 April 05, 2026 01:30
Coritiba
#9 · 38 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Fluminense
#4 · 48 pts
Tiago Coser (ast. Josue) 74'
81' (ast. Ignacio) John Kennedy
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fluminense a 36% win probability (draw 29%, Coritiba 34%). The final result was Coritiba 1–1 Fluminense.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
4
0.68
Actual xG
0.90
3
Saves
3
32%
Possession
68%
3
Corners
10
18
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
18'
↕ Felipe Jonatan / Breno Lopes
56'
↕ Joao Pedro Chermont / Tinga
57'
↕ Jacy / Tiago Coser
57'
64'
Otavio / Martinelli ↕
71'
Alisson / Hercules ↕
71'
J. Savarino / PH Ganso ↕
⚽Tiago Coser · ast. Josue
74'
↕ Lucas Ronier / Wallisson
77'
79'
John Kennedy / R. Castillo ↕
79'
G. Cano / K. Serna ↕
Sebastian Gomez
81'
81'
ast. Ignacio · John Kennedy⚽
↕ S. Gomez / Fabinho
83'
Pre-match prediction
34.54%
Coritiba
29.07%
X ←
36.39%
Fluminense
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 29.07% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Coritiba
1.24
0.68
-0.56
Fluminense
1.38
0.90
-0.48
xG dominance was balanced (0.68 – 0.90). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 28 60
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 28 57
3 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense Fluminense 28 48
5 Bahia Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 28 45
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 27 40
8 Santos Santos 27 38
9 Coritiba Coritiba 28 38
10 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 27 36
12 Botafogo Botafogo 28 35
13 Vitoria Vitoria 28 33
14 Corinthians Corinthians 28 32
15 Mirassol Mirassol 28 32
16 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 27 31
17 Gremio Gremio 28 29
18 Internacional Internacional 28 28
19 Remo Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 27 18
Lineups
Coritiba Coritiba 3-4-2-1
22 Pedro Rangel Pedro Rangel G 7.30
26 Bruno Melo Bruno Melo D 7.20
3 Maicon Maicon D 6.90
55 Jacy Jacy 57' D 7.20
6 Felipe Jonatan Felipe Jonatan 56' M 6.60
19 S. Gómez S. Gómez 83' M 6.20
36 Vini Paulista Vini Paulista M 7.30
44 João Pedro Chermont João Pedro Chermont 57' M 6.50
11 Lucas Ronier Lucas Ronier 77' F 6.60
10 Josué Josué 1 👟 F 7.90
32 Pedro Rocha Pedro Rocha F 6.30
Bench
77 Breno Lopes Breno Lopes 34' F 6.30
78 Renato Marques Renato Marques F
21 Thiago Santos Thiago Santos M
23 Tiago Cóser Tiago Cóser 1 ⚽ 33' D 7.30
2 Tinga Tinga 33' D 6.30
8 Wallisson Wallisson 13' M 6.60
29 Willian Oliveira Willian Oliveira M
Fluminense Fluminense 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.30
13 Guilherme Arana Guilherme Arana D 7.00
22
D 6.90
4 Ignacio Ignacio 1 👟 D 6.90
23 Guga Guga D 6.60
8 Martinelli Martinelli 64' M 6.90
35 Hércules Hércules 71' M 6.60
7 Y. Soteldo Y. Soteldo M 7.50
10 PH Ganso PH Ganso 71' M 6.90
90 K. Serna K. Serna 79' M 6.90
19 R. Castillo R. Castillo 79' F 5.60
Bench
25 Alisson Alisson 19' M 6.70
3 Jemmes Jemmes D
9 John Kennedy John Kennedy 1 ⚽ 11' F 7.60
11 J. Savarino J. Savarino 19' F 6.60
94 Otávio Otávio 26' M 6.70
6 Renê Renê D
34 Wesley Nata Wesley Nata
Best on the pitch
Josué
Josué
F · Coritiba
7.90
1 👟
· 46 pass
John Kennedy
John Kennedy
F · Fluminense
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 5 pass
Y. Soteldo
Y. Soteldo
M · Fluminense
7.50
2 shots · 43 pass
Tiago Cóser
Tiago Cóser
D · Coritiba
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 9 pass
Vini Paulista
Vini Paulista
M · Coritiba
7.30
· 23 pass
Pedro Rangel
Pedro Rangel
G · Coritiba
7.30
· 28 pass
Coritiba Coritiba — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Pedro Rangel G 90 7.30 — — — 28 19% — — —
Bruno Melo D 90 7.20 — — — 25 20% 6 — —
Maicon D 90 6.90 — — — 22 20% — — —
Jacy D 57 7.20 — — — 15 13% 2 — —
Felipe Jonatan M 56 6.60 — — 1 12 9% 1 — —
S. Gómez M 83 6.20 — — 2 11 9% 1 1 —
Vini Paulista M 90 7.30 — — — 23 20% 3 — —
João Pedro Chermont M 57 6.50 — — 1 8 5% — — —
Lucas Ronier F 77 6.60 — — 2 25 22% 2 — —
Josué F 90 7.90 — 1 — 46 38% — — —
Pedro Rocha F 90 6.30 — — — 13 8% — — —
Breno Lopes F 34 6.30 — — — 4 3% 1 — —
Tiago Cóser D 33 7.30 1 — 2 9 5% — — —
Tinga D 33 6.30 — — — 12 9% 1 — —
Wallisson M 13 6.60 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
Fluminense Fluminense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 15 14% — — —
Guilherme Arana D 90 7.00 — — 2 77 73% 2 — —
D 90 6.90 — — — 75 67% — — —
Ignacio D 90 6.90 — 1 1 61 53% — — —
Guga D 90 6.60 — — — 60 56% 1 — —
Martinelli M 64 6.90 — — — 45 42% 2 — —
Hércules M 71 6.60 — — — 35 33% 1 — —
Y. Soteldo M 90 7.50 — — 2 43 36% — — —
PH Ganso M 71 6.90 — — — 37 34% 2 — —
K. Serna M 79 6.90 — — — 23 19% 2 — —
R. Castillo F 79 5.60 — — — 18 14% 1 — —
Alisson M 19 6.70 — — — 18 17% — — —
John Kennedy F 11 7.60 1 — 2 5 4% — — —
J. Savarino F 19 6.60 — — — 11 10% 2 — —
Otávio M 26 6.70 — — — 28 27% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Coritiba vs Fluminense?
The final score was Coritiba 1–1 Fluminense.
What did the model predict before Coritiba vs Fluminense?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Coritiba win, 29% to a draw, and 36% to an Fluminense win.