← Championship
Championship · Regular Season - 44 April 21, 2026 20:45
Coventry
#1 · 95 pts
5 – 1
Final score
Portsmouth
#18 · 55 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Coventry
H. Wright (ast. J. Rudoni) 12'
E. Mason-Clark 47'
R. Poole 50' (og)
E. Mason-Clark (ast. V. Torp) 76'
K. Kesler-Hayden 90'+1
69' A. Segecic

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Coventry a 65% win probability (draw 21%, Portsmouth 13%). The final result was Coventry 5–1 Portsmouth. In 1 previous meetings, Coventry have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Portsmouth.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
2
2.96
Actual xG
0.10
1
Saves
1
72%
Possession
28%
2
Corners
1
10
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽H. Wright · ast. J. Rudoni
12'
35'
M. Dia
46'
C. Shaughnessy / M. Dia ↕
⚽E. Mason-Clark
47'
⚽R. Poole (og)
50'
62'
L. Le Roux / E. Adams ↕
62'
J. Murphy / M. Alli ↕
↕ J. Dasilva / J. Bidwell
64'
↕ R. Esse / B. Thomas-Asante
64'
↕ F. Onyeka / V. Torp
64'
69'
A. Segecic⚽
↕ M. van Ewijk / K. Kesler-Hayden
75'
↕ H. Wright / E. Simms
75'
⚽E. Mason-Clark · ast. V. Torp
76'
77'
H. Blair / C. Chaplin ↕
84'
J. Brown / C. Bishop ↕
⚽K. Kesler-Hayden
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
65.03%
Coventry ←
21.5%
X
13.46%
Portsmouth
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Coventry) 65.03% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Coventry
1.99
2.96
+0.97
Portsmouth
0.71
0.10
-0.61
Coventry dominated by xG (2.96 vs 0.10). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
Coventry Coventry 4-2-3-1
19
G 6.70
3
J. Dasilva 64' D 6.90
15
D 6.60
4
B. Thomas D 7.30
27 M. van Ewijk M. van Ewijk 75' D 6.50
6
Matt Grimes M 7.60
16
F. Onyeka 64' M 6.90
10 E. Mason-Clark E. Mason-Clark 2 ⚽ M 8.30
5
J. Rudoni 1 👟 M 7.20
14
R. Esse 64' M 6.90
11 H. Wright H. Wright 1 ⚽ 75' F 7.20
Bench
23 B. Thomas-Asante B. Thomas-Asante 26' F 6.60
9 E. Simms E. Simms 15' F 6.50
28
J. Eccles M
22
J. Latibeaudiere D
20
K. Kesler-Hayden 1 ⚽ 15' D 7.90
29 V. Torp V. Torp 1 👟 26' M 7.30
Portsmouth Portsmouth 4-2-3-1
1
G 4.30
3
C. Ogilvie D 5.30
55
M. Dia 45' D 6.60
5
R. Poole 1 ⚽ D 4.60
2
J. Williams D 5.50
21
A. Dozzell M 6.20
38
E. Adams 62' M 6.30
27
M. Alli 62' M 6.20
36
C. Chaplin 77' M 6.30
10
A. Segecic 1 ⚽ M 7.20
9
C. Bishop 84' F 6.70
Bench
6
C. Shaughnessy 45' D 6.20
29
H. Blair 13' F 6.20
17
I. Bowat D
40
Jacob Brown 12' F 6.50
26
J. Bursik G
8
J. Swift M
16
L. Le Roux 28' M 6.50
7 M. Pack M. Pack M
Best on the pitch
E. Mason-Clark
E. Mason-Clark
M · Coventry
8.30
2 ⚽
3 shots · 30 pass
K. Kesler-Hayden
D · Coventry
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 6 pass
Matt Grimes
M · Coventry
7.60
· 97 pass
V. Torp
V. Torp
M · Coventry
7.30
1 👟
· 26 pass
B. Thomas
D · Coventry
7.30
1 shots · 82 pass
A. Segecic
M · Portsmouth
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 12 pass
Coventry Coventry — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 — — — 51 38% — — —
J. Dasilva D 64 6.90 — — — 51 46% — — —
D 90 6.60 — — — 81 73% 1 — —
B. Thomas D 90 7.30 — — 1 82 71% 3 — —
M. van Ewijk D 75 6.50 — — — 44 35% — — —
Matt Grimes M 90 7.60 — — — 97 88% — — —
F. Onyeka M 64 6.90 — — — 31 28% — — —
E. Mason-Clark M 90 8.30 2 — 3 30 22% — — —
J. Rudoni M 90 7.20 — 1 1 49 41% 1 — —
R. Esse M 64 6.90 — — — 16 12% 3 — —
H. Wright F 75 7.20 1 — 5 9 7% 1 — —
B. Thomas-Asante F 26 6.60 — — 1 4 3% — — —
E. Simms F 15 6.50 — — 1 1 1% — — —
K. Kesler-Hayden D 15 7.90 1 — 1 6 4% — — —
V. Torp M 26 7.30 — 1 — 26 22% 1 — —
Portsmouth Portsmouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 4.30 — — — 36 13% — — —
C. Ogilvie D 90 5.30 — — — 23 18% — — —
M. Dia D 45 6.60 — — — 17 13% 3 1 —
R. Poole D 90 4.60 1 — — 20 14% 1 — —
J. Williams D 90 5.50 — — — 21 13% 3 — —
A. Dozzell M 90 6.20 — — — 20 19% 3 — —
E. Adams M 62 6.30 — — — 14 10% 4 — —
M. Alli M 62 6.20 — — — 6 3% — — —
C. Chaplin M 77 6.30 — — 1 24 15% — — —
A. Segecic M 90 7.20 1 — 1 12 8% 1 — —
C. Bishop F 84 6.70 — — — 20 13% — — —
C. Shaughnessy D 45 6.20 — — — 11 11% — — —
H. Blair F 13 6.20 — — 1 — — — — —
Jacob Brown F 12 6.50 — — — — — — — —
L. Le Roux M 28 6.50 — — — 9 7% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Coventry vs Portsmouth?
The final score was Coventry 5–1 Portsmouth.
What did the model predict before Coventry vs Portsmouth?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Coventry win, 21% to a draw, and 13% to an Portsmouth win.