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Championship · Regular Season - 44 April 21, 2026 20:45
Coventry
5 – 1
Final score
Portsmouth
#6 · 0 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Coventry
H. Wright (ast. J. Rudoni) 12'
E. Mason-Clark 47'
R. Poole 50' (og)
E. Mason-Clark (ast. V. Torp) 76'
K. Kesler-Hayden 90'+1
69' A. Segecic
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Coventry a 65% win probability (draw 21%, Portsmouth 13%). The final result was Coventry 5–1 Portsmouth. In 1 previous meetings, Coventry have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Portsmouth.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
2
2.96
Actual xG
0.10
1
Saves
1
72%
Possession
28%
2
Corners
1
10
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽H. Wright · ast. J. Rudoni
12'
35'
M. Dia
46'
C. Shaughnessy / M. Dia ↕
⚽E. Mason-Clark
47'
⚽R. Poole (og)
50'
62'
L. Le Roux / E. Adams ↕
62'
J. Murphy / M. Alli ↕
↕ J. Dasilva / J. Bidwell
64'
↕ R. Esse / B. Thomas-Asante
64'
↕ F. Onyeka / V. Torp
64'
69'
A. Segecic⚽
↕ M. van Ewijk / K. Kesler-Hayden
75'
↕ H. Wright / E. Simms
75'
⚽E. Mason-Clark · ast. V. Torp
76'
77'
H. Blair / C. Chaplin ↕
84'
J. Brown / C. Bishop ↕
⚽K. Kesler-Hayden
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
65.03%
Coventry ←
21.5%
X
13.46%
Portsmouth
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Coventry) 65.03% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Coventry
1.99
2.96
+0.97
Portsmouth
0.71
0.10
-0.61
Coventry dominated by xG (2.96 vs 0.10). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Birmingham Birmingham 0 0
2 Blackburn Blackburn 0 0
3 Bolton Bolton 0 0
4 Derby Derby 0 0
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0 0
6 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0 0
7 West Ham West Ham 0 0
8 Bristol City Bristol City 0 0
9 Burnley Burnley 0 0
10 Cardiff Cardiff 0 0
11 Charlton Charlton 0 0
12 Norwich Norwich 0 0
13 Preston Preston 0 0
14 QPR QPR 0 0
15 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 0 0
16 Stoke City Stoke City 0 0
17 Watford Watford 0 0
18 West Brom West Brom 0 0
19 Wolves Wolves 0 0
20 Millwall Millwall 0 0
21 Swansea Swansea 0 0
22 Lincoln Lincoln 0 0
23 Wrexham Wrexham 0 0
24 Southampton Southampton 0 0
Lineups
Coventry Coventry 4-2-3-1
19
G 6.70
3 J. Dasilva J. Dasilva 64' D 6.90
15
D 6.60
4 B. Thomas B. Thomas D 7.30
27 M. van Ewijk M. van Ewijk 75' D 6.50
6
Matt Grimes M 7.60
16 Frank Onyeka Frank Onyeka 64' M 6.90
10 E. Mason-Clark E. Mason-Clark 2 ⚽ M 8.30
5
J. Rudoni 1 👟 M 7.20
14
R. Esse 64' M 6.90
11 H. Wright H. Wright 1 ⚽ 75' F 7.20
Bench
23 Brandon Thomas-Asante Brandon Thomas-Asante 26' F 6.60
9 E. Simms E. Simms 15' F 6.50
28
J. Eccles M
22
J. Latibeaudiere D
20
K. Kesler-Hayden 1 ⚽ 15' D 7.90
29 V. Torp V. Torp 1 👟 26' M 7.30
Portsmouth Portsmouth 4-2-3-1
1
G 4.30
3 C. Ogilvie C. Ogilvie D 5.30
55
M. Dia 45' D 6.60
5
R. Poole 1 ⚽ D 4.60
2
J. Williams D 5.50
21
A. Dozzell M 6.20
38 E. Adams E. Adams 62' M 6.30
27 Millenic Alli Millenic Alli 62' M 6.20
36
C. Chaplin 77' M 6.30
10
A. Segecic 1 ⚽ M 7.20
9
C. Bishop 84' F 6.70
Bench
6
C. Shaughnessy 45' D 6.20
29
H. Blair 13' F 6.20
17
I. Bowat D
40
Jacob Brown 12' F 6.50
26
J. Bursik G
8
J. Swift M
16
L. Le Roux 28' M 6.50
7 M. Pack M. Pack M
Best on the pitch
E. Mason-Clark
E. Mason-Clark
M · Coventry
8.30
2 ⚽
3 shots · 30 pass
K. Kesler-Hayden
D · Coventry
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 6 pass
Matt Grimes
M · Coventry
7.60
· 97 pass
V. Torp
V. Torp
M · Coventry
7.30
1 👟
· 26 pass
B. Thomas
B. Thomas
D · Coventry
7.30
1 shots · 82 pass
A. Segecic
M · Portsmouth
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 12 pass
Coventry Coventry — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 — — — 51 38% — — —
J. Dasilva D 64 6.90 — — — 51 46% — — —
D 90 6.60 — — — 81 73% 1 — —
B. Thomas D 90 7.30 — — 1 82 71% 3 — —
M. van Ewijk D 75 6.50 — — — 44 35% — — —
Matt Grimes M 90 7.60 — — — 97 88% — — —
Frank Onyeka M 64 6.90 — — — 31 28% — — —
E. Mason-Clark M 90 8.30 2 — 3 30 22% — — —
J. Rudoni M 90 7.20 — 1 1 49 41% 1 — —
R. Esse M 64 6.90 — — — 16 12% 3 — —
H. Wright F 75 7.20 1 — 5 9 7% 1 — —
Brandon Thomas-Asante F 26 6.60 — — 1 4 3% — — —
E. Simms F 15 6.50 — — 1 1 1% — — —
K. Kesler-Hayden D 15 7.90 1 — 1 6 4% — — —
V. Torp M 26 7.30 — 1 — 26 22% 1 — —
Portsmouth Portsmouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 4.30 — — — 36 13% — — —
C. Ogilvie D 90 5.30 — — — 23 18% — — —
M. Dia D 45 6.60 — — — 17 13% 3 1 —
R. Poole D 90 4.60 1 — — 20 14% 1 — —
J. Williams D 90 5.50 — — — 21 13% 3 — —
A. Dozzell M 90 6.20 — — — 20 19% 3 — —
E. Adams M 62 6.30 — — — 14 10% 4 — —
Millenic Alli M 62 6.20 — — — 6 3% — — —
C. Chaplin M 77 6.30 — — 1 24 15% — — —
A. Segecic M 90 7.20 1 — 1 12 8% 1 — —
C. Bishop F 84 6.70 — — — 20 13% — — —
C. Shaughnessy D 45 6.20 — — — 11 11% — — —
H. Blair F 13 6.20 — — 1 — — — — —
Jacob Brown F 12 6.50 — — — — — — — —
L. Le Roux M 28 6.50 — — — 9 7% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Coventry vs Portsmouth?
The final score was Coventry 5–1 Portsmouth.
What did the model predict before Coventry vs Portsmouth?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Coventry win, 21% to a draw, and 13% to an Portsmouth win.