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Championship · Regular Season - 44 April 21, 2026 20:45
Coventry
5 – 1
Final score
Portsmouth
#18 · 6 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Coventry
H. Wright (ast. J. Rudoni) 12'
E. Mason-Clark 47'
R. Poole 50' (og)
E. Mason-Clark (ast. V. Torp) 76'
K. Kesler-Hayden 90'+1
69' A. Segecic
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Coventry a 65% win probability (draw 21%, Portsmouth 13%). The final result was Coventry 5–1 Portsmouth. In 1 previous meetings, Coventry have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Portsmouth.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
2
2.96
Actual xG
0.10
1
Saves
1
72%
Possession
28%
2
Corners
1
10
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽H. Wright · ast. J. Rudoni
12'
35'
M. Dia
46'
C. Shaughnessy / M. Dia ↕
⚽E. Mason-Clark
47'
⚽R. Poole (og)
50'
62'
L. Le Roux / E. Adams ↕
62'
J. Murphy / M. Alli ↕
↕ J. Dasilva / J. Bidwell
64'
↕ R. Esse / B. Thomas-Asante
64'
↕ F. Onyeka / V. Torp
64'
69'
A. Segecic⚽
↕ M. van Ewijk / K. Kesler-Hayden
75'
↕ H. Wright / E. Simms
75'
⚽E. Mason-Clark · ast. V. Torp
76'
77'
H. Blair / C. Chaplin ↕
84'
J. Brown / C. Bishop ↕
⚽K. Kesler-Hayden
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
65.03%
Coventry ←
21.5%
X
13.46%
Portsmouth
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Coventry) 65.03% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Coventry
1.99
2.96
+0.97
Portsmouth
0.71
0.10
-0.61
Coventry dominated by xG (2.96 vs 0.10). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 West Ham West Ham 7 14
2 West Brom West Brom 7 14
3 QPR QPR 7 12
4 Swansea Swansea 6 11
5 Charlton Charlton 6 11
6 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 5 10
7 Bristol City Bristol City 5 10
8 Birmingham Birmingham 7 10
9 Millwall Millwall 5 9
10 Norwich Norwich 6 9
11 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 6 9
12 Wolves Wolves 5 8
13 Watford Watford 6 8
14 Southampton Southampton 6 7
15 Stoke City Stoke City 6 7
16 Wrexham Wrexham 7 7
17 Bolton Bolton 7 7
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 5 6
19 Blackburn Blackburn 6 5
20 Lincoln Lincoln 5 5
21 Cardiff Cardiff 7 4
22 Derby Derby 7 4
23 Burnley Burnley 6 3
24 Preston Preston 6 3
Lineups
Coventry Coventry 4-2-3-1
19
G 6.70
3 J. Dasilva J. Dasilva 64' D 6.90
15
D 6.60
4 B. Thomas B. Thomas D 7.30
27 M. van Ewijk M. van Ewijk 75' D 6.50
6 M. Grimes M. Grimes M 7.60
16 F. Onyeka F. Onyeka 64' M 6.90
10 E. Mason-Clark E. Mason-Clark 2 ⚽ M 8.30
5 J. Rudoni J. Rudoni 1 👟 M 7.20
14 R. Esse R. Esse 64' M 6.90
11 Haji Wright Haji Wright 1 ⚽ 75' F 7.20
Bench
23 B. Thomas-Asante B. Thomas-Asante 26' F 6.60
9 E. Simms E. Simms 15' F 6.50
22 J. Latibeaudiere J. Latibeaudiere D
28 Josh Eccles Josh Eccles M
20
K. Kesler-Hayden 1 ⚽ 15' D 7.90
29 V. Torp V. Torp 1 👟 26' M 7.30
Portsmouth Portsmouth 4-2-3-1
1
G 4.30
3 C. Ogilvie C. Ogilvie D 5.30
55 M. Dia M. Dia 45' D 6.60
5 R. Poole R. Poole 1 ⚽ D 4.60
2 J. Williams J. Williams D 5.50
21 A. Dozzell A. Dozzell M 6.20
38 E. Adams E. Adams 62' M 6.30
27 M. Alli M. Alli 62' M 6.20
36 C. Chaplin C. Chaplin 77' M 6.30
10 A. Segecic A. Segecic 1 ⚽ M 7.20
9 C. Bishop C. Bishop 84' F 6.70
Bench
6 C. Shaughnessy C. Shaughnessy 45' D 6.20
29 H. Blair H. Blair 13' F 6.20
17 I. Bowat I. Bowat D
40 J. Brown J. Brown 12' F 6.50
26 J. Bursik J. Bursik G
8 J. Swift J. Swift M
16 Luke Le Roux Luke Le Roux 28' M 6.50
7 M. Pack M. Pack M
Best on the pitch
E. Mason-Clark
E. Mason-Clark
M · Coventry
8.30
2 ⚽
3 shots · 30 pass
K. Kesler-Hayden
D · Coventry
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 6 pass
M. Grimes
M. Grimes
M · Coventry
7.60
· 97 pass
V. Torp
V. Torp
M · Coventry
7.30
1 👟
· 26 pass
B. Thomas
B. Thomas
D · Coventry
7.30
1 shots · 82 pass
A. Segecic
A. Segecic
M · Portsmouth
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 12 pass
Coventry Coventry — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 — — — 51 38% — — —
J. Dasilva D 64 6.90 — — — 51 46% — — —
D 90 6.60 — — — 81 73% 1 — —
B. Thomas D 90 7.30 — — 1 82 71% 3 — —
M. van Ewijk D 75 6.50 — — — 44 35% — — —
M. Grimes M 90 7.60 — — — 97 88% — — —
F. Onyeka M 64 6.90 — — — 31 28% — — —
E. Mason-Clark M 90 8.30 2 — 3 30 22% — — —
J. Rudoni M 90 7.20 — 1 1 49 41% 1 — —
R. Esse M 64 6.90 — — — 16 12% 3 — —
Haji Wright F 75 7.20 1 — 5 9 7% 1 — —
B. Thomas-Asante F 26 6.60 — — 1 4 3% — — —
E. Simms F 15 6.50 — — 1 1 1% — — —
K. Kesler-Hayden D 15 7.90 1 — 1 6 4% — — —
V. Torp M 26 7.30 — 1 — 26 22% 1 — —
Portsmouth Portsmouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 4.30 — — — 36 13% — — —
C. Ogilvie D 90 5.30 — — — 23 18% — — —
M. Dia D 45 6.60 — — — 17 13% 3 1 —
R. Poole D 90 4.60 1 — — 20 14% 1 — —
J. Williams D 90 5.50 — — — 21 13% 3 — —
A. Dozzell M 90 6.20 — — — 20 19% 3 — —
E. Adams M 62 6.30 — — — 14 10% 4 — —
M. Alli M 62 6.20 — — — 6 3% — — —
C. Chaplin M 77 6.30 — — 1 24 15% — — —
A. Segecic M 90 7.20 1 — 1 12 8% 1 — —
C. Bishop F 84 6.70 — — — 20 13% — — —
C. Shaughnessy D 45 6.20 — — — 11 11% — — —
H. Blair F 13 6.20 — — 1 — — — — —
J. Brown F 12 6.50 — — — — — — — —
Luke Le Roux M 28 6.50 — — — 9 7% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Coventry vs Portsmouth?
The final score was Coventry 5–1 Portsmouth.
What did the model predict before Coventry vs Portsmouth?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Coventry win, 21% to a draw, and 13% to an Portsmouth win.