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← Championship
5 – 1
Final score
#10 · 22 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Coventry
H. Wright (ast. J. Rudoni) 12'
E. Mason-Clark 47'
R. Poole 50' (og)
E. Mason-Clark (ast. V. Torp) 76'
K. Kesler-Hayden 90'+1
69' A. Segecic
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Coventry a 65% win probability (draw 21%, Portsmouth 13%). The final result was Coventry 5–1 Portsmouth. In 1 previous meetings, Coventry have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Portsmouth.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
2
2.96
Actual xG
0.10
1
Saves
1
72%
Possession
28%
2
Corners
1
10
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽H. Wright · ast. J. Rudoni
12'
35'
M. Dia
46'
C. Shaughnessy / M. Dia ↕
⚽E. Mason-Clark
47'
⚽R. Poole (og)
50'
62'
L. Le Roux / E. Adams ↕
62'
J. Murphy / M. Alli ↕
↕ J. Dasilva / J. Bidwell
64'
↕ R. Esse / B. Thomas-Asante
64'
↕ F. Onyeka / V. Torp
64'
69'
A. Segecic⚽
↕ M. van Ewijk / K. Kesler-Hayden
75'
↕ H. Wright / E. Simms
75'
⚽E. Mason-Clark · ast. V. Torp
76'
77'
H. Blair / C. Chaplin ↕
84'
J. Brown / C. Bishop ↕
⚽K. Kesler-Hayden
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
65.03%
Coventry ←
21.5%
X
13.46%
Portsmouth
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Coventry) 65.03% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Coventry
1.99
2.96
+0.97
Portsmouth
0.71
0.10
-0.61
Coventry dominated by xG (2.96 vs 0.10). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 14 28
2 Wolves Wolves 14 27
3 Birmingham Birmingham 14 26
4 Stoke City Stoke City 14 26
5 Swansea Swansea 14 26
6 West Brom West Brom 14 25
7 Southampton Southampton 14 24
8 West Ham West Ham 14 23
9 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 14 22
10 Portsmouth Portsmouth 14 22
11 QPR QPR 14 21
12 Norwich Norwich 14 18
13 Millwall Millwall 14 18
14 Blackburn Blackburn 14 18
15 Bristol City Bristol City 14 18
16 Wrexham Wrexham 14 17
17 Bolton Bolton 15 17
18 Cardiff Cardiff 14 15
19 Lincoln Lincoln 14 15
20 Watford Watford 14 14
21 Charlton Charlton 14 14
22 Burnley Burnley 14 10
23 Derby Derby 15 10
24 Preston Preston 14 5
Lineups
Coventry Coventry 4-2-3-1
19
G 6.70
3 J. Dasilva J. Dasilva 64' D 6.90
15
D 6.60
4 B. Thomas B. Thomas D 7.30
27 M. van Ewijk M. van Ewijk 75' D 6.50
6 M. Grimes M. Grimes M 7.60
16 F. Onyeka F. Onyeka 64' M 6.90
10 E. Mason-Clark E. Mason-Clark 2 ⚽ M 8.30
5 J. Rudoni J. Rudoni 1 👟 M 7.20
14 R. Esse R. Esse 64' M 6.90
11 Haji Wright Haji Wright 1 ⚽ 75' F 7.20
Bench
23 B. Thomas-Asante B. Thomas-Asante 26' F 6.60
9 E. Simms E. Simms 15' F 6.50
22 J. Latibeaudiere J. Latibeaudiere D
28 Josh Eccles Josh Eccles M
20 K. Kesler-Hayden K. Kesler-Hayden 1 ⚽ 15' D 7.90
29 V. Torp V. Torp 1 👟 26' M 7.30
Portsmouth Portsmouth 4-2-3-1
1
G 4.30
3 C. Ogilvie C. Ogilvie D 5.30
55 M. Dia M. Dia 45' D 6.60
5 R. Poole R. Poole 1 ⚽ D 4.60
2 J. Williams J. Williams D 5.50
21 A. Dozzell A. Dozzell M 6.20
38 E. Adams E. Adams 62' M 6.30
27 M. Alli M. Alli 62' M 6.20
36 C. Chaplin C. Chaplin 77' M 6.30
10 A. Segecic A. Segecic 1 ⚽ M 7.20
9 C. Bishop C. Bishop 84' F 6.70
Bench
6 C. Shaughnessy C. Shaughnessy 45' D 6.20
29 H. Blair H. Blair 13' F 6.20
17 I. Bowat I. Bowat D
40 J. Brown J. Brown 12' F 6.50
26 J. Bursik J. Bursik G
8 J. Swift J. Swift M
16 Luke Le Roux Luke Le Roux 28' M 6.50
7 M. Pack M. Pack M
Best on the pitch
E. Mason-Clark
E. Mason-Clark
M · Coventry
8.30
2 ⚽
3 shots · 30 pass
K. Kesler-Hayden
K. Kesler-Hayden
D · Coventry
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 6 pass
M. Grimes
M. Grimes
M · Coventry
7.60
· 97 pass
V. Torp
V. Torp
M · Coventry
7.30
1 👟
· 26 pass
B. Thomas
B. Thomas
D · Coventry
7.30
1 shots · 82 pass
A. Segecic
A. Segecic
M · Portsmouth
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 12 pass
Coventry Coventry — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 — — — 51 38% — — —
J. Dasilva D 64 6.90 — — — 51 46% — — —
D 90 6.60 — — — 81 73% 1 — —
B. Thomas D 90 7.30 — — 1 82 71% 3 — —
M. van Ewijk D 75 6.50 — — — 44 35% — — —
M. Grimes M 90 7.60 — — — 97 88% — — —
F. Onyeka M 64 6.90 — — — 31 28% — — —
E. Mason-Clark M 90 8.30 2 — 3 30 22% — — —
J. Rudoni M 90 7.20 — 1 1 49 41% 1 — —
R. Esse M 64 6.90 — — — 16 12% 3 — —
Haji Wright F 75 7.20 1 — 5 9 7% 1 — —
B. Thomas-Asante F 26 6.60 — — 1 4 3% — — —
E. Simms F 15 6.50 — — 1 1 1% — — —
K. Kesler-Hayden D 15 7.90 1 — 1 6 4% — — —
V. Torp M 26 7.30 — 1 — 26 22% 1 — —
Portsmouth Portsmouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 4.30 — — — 36 13% — — —
C. Ogilvie D 90 5.30 — — — 23 18% — — —
M. Dia D 45 6.60 — — — 17 13% 3 1 —
R. Poole D 90 4.60 1 — — 20 14% 1 — —
J. Williams D 90 5.50 — — — 21 13% 3 — —
A. Dozzell M 90 6.20 — — — 20 19% 3 — —
E. Adams M 62 6.30 — — — 14 10% 4 — —
M. Alli M 62 6.20 — — — 6 3% — — —
C. Chaplin M 77 6.30 — — 1 24 15% — — —
A. Segecic M 90 7.20 1 — 1 12 8% 1 — —
C. Bishop F 84 6.70 — — — 20 13% — — —
C. Shaughnessy D 45 6.20 — — — 11 11% — — —
H. Blair F 13 6.20 — — 1 — — — — —
J. Brown F 12 6.50 — — — — — — — —
Luke Le Roux M 28 6.50 — — — 9 7% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Coventry vs Portsmouth?
The final score was Coventry 5–1 Portsmouth.
What did the model predict before Coventry vs Portsmouth?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Coventry win, 21% to a draw, and 13% to an Portsmouth win.