Serie A
· Regular Season - 31
April 05, 2026 17:00
F. Bonazzoli
90'
(pen.)
3'
(ast. J. Miranda)
Joao Mario
16'
(ast. J. Miranda)
J. Rowe
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bologna a 41% win probability (draw 30%, Cremonese 27%). The final result was Cremonese 1–2 Bologna. In 1 previous meetings, Cremonese have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bologna.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
12
3
Shots on target
7
1.42
Actual xG
1.11
5
Saves
2
37%
Possession
63%
2
Corners
4
13
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
3'
ast. J. Miranda ·
Joao Mario⚽
16'
ast. J. Miranda ·
J. Rowe⚽
Youssef Maleh
45'
M. Djuric
/ D. Okereke
46'
J. Vandeputte
/ M. Thorsby
46'
A. Grassi
/ W. Bondo
46'
/ M. Payero
53'
61'
R. Orsolini
/
F. Bernardeschi
75'
Federico Ravaglia
78'
L. Ferguson
/
S. Sohm
78'
N. Cambiaghi
/
J. Rowe
82'
N. Zortea
/
Joao Mario
82'
T. Pobega
/
N. Moro
A. Zerbin
/ R. Floriani
85'
90'+3
Youssef Maleh
90'+4
Martín Payero
90'+5
90'+5
Lewis Ferguson
90'+6
Lewis Ferguson
90'+6
Lewis Ferguson
⚽F. Bonazzoli
(pen.)
90'
Pre-match prediction
27.64%
Cremonese
30.79%
X
41.57%
Bologna ←
we assigned to the actual result (Bologna)
41.57%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.79
1.42
+0.63
1.14
1.11
-0.03
Cremonese dominated by xG (1.42 vs 1.11).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
3
D
5
Sebastiano Luperto
D
Sebastiano Luperto
D
15
D
24
Filippo Terracciano
D
Filippo Terracciano
D
33
Alberto Grassi
45'
M
Alberto Grassi
45'
M
29
Youssef Maleh
M
Youssef Maleh
M
27
Jari Vandeputte
45'
M
Jari Vandeputte
45'
M
7
Alessio Zerbin
85'
M
Alessio Zerbin
85'
M
9
Milan Đurić
45'
F
Milan Đurić
45'
F
90
F. Bonazzoli
1 ⚽
F
F. Bonazzoli
1 ⚽
F
Bench
77
David Okereke
54'
F
David Okereke
54'
F
6
F. Baschirotto
D
2
Morten Thorsby
8'
M
Morten Thorsby
8'
M
32
M. Payero
46'
M
M. Payero
46'
M
22
R. Floriani
14'
D
4
Tommaso Barbieri
D
Tommaso Barbieri
D
38
Warren Bondo
54'
M
Warren Bondo
54'
M
13
Federico Ravaglia
G
Federico Ravaglia
G
33
Juan Miranda
2 👟
D
Juan Miranda
2 👟
D
26
Jhon Lucumí
D
Jhon Lucumí
D
41
D
17
João Mário
1 ⚽
82'
D
João Mário
1 ⚽
82'
D
8
R. Freuler
M
R. Freuler
M
11
J. Rowe
1 ⚽
78'
M
J. Rowe
1 ⚽
78'
M
23
Simon Sohm
78'
M
Simon Sohm
78'
M
6
Nikola Moro
82'
M
Nikola Moro
82'
M
10
F. Bernardeschi
61'
M
F. Bernardeschi
61'
M
9
S. Castro
F
S. Castro
F
Bench
5
Eivind Helland
D
Eivind Helland
D
19
Lewis Ferguson
18'
M
Lewis Ferguson
18'
M
29
Lorenzo De Silvestri
D
Lorenzo De Silvestri
D
20
Nadir Zortea
17'
D
Nadir Zortea
17'
D
28
N. Cambiaghi
21'
F
16
N. Casale
D
7
Riccardo Orsolini
38'
F
Riccardo Orsolini
38'
F
4
Tommaso Pobega
17'
M
Tommaso Pobega
17'
M
Best on the pitch
João Mário
D · Bologna
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 50 pass
F. Bonazzoli
F · Cremonese
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 19 pass
Juan Miranda
D · Bologna
7.50
2 👟
· 38 pass
Nikola Moro
M · Bologna
7.30
1 shots
· 65 pass
R. Freuler
M · Bologna
7.30
· 95 pass
D · Bologna
7.30
1 shots
· 71 pass
Cremonese — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 33% | — | — | — | |
| D | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 3 | — | — | |
| Sebastiano Luperto | D | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | — | — | — | |
| Filippo Terracciano | D | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| Alberto Grassi | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Youssef Maleh | M | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Jari Vandeputte | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Alessio Zerbin | M | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Milan Đurić | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 4% | — | — | — |
| F. Bonazzoli | F | 99 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| David Okereke | F | 54 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Morten Thorsby | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Payero | M | 46 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Floriani | D | 14 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Warren Bondo | M | 54 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
Bologna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federico Ravaglia | G | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | — | 1 | — |
| Juan Miranda | D | 99 | 7.50 | — | 2 | — | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhon Lucumí | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 77 | 73% | — | — | — |
| D | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 65% | 4 | — | — | |
| João Mário | D | 82 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 50 | 43% | — | — | — |
| R. Freuler | M | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 95 | 93% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rowe | M | 78 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Simon Sohm | M | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Nikola Moro | M | 82 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Bernardeschi | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Castro | F | 99 | 5.60 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Lewis Ferguson | M | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | 2 | 1 |
| Nadir Zortea | D | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| N. Cambiaghi | F | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Riccardo Orsolini | F | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Tommaso Pobega | M | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cremonese vs Bologna?
The final score was Cremonese 1–2 Bologna.
What did the model predict before Cremonese vs Bologna?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Cremonese win, 30% to a draw, and 41% to an Bologna win.