F. Bonazzoli
90'
(pen.)
3'
(ast. J. Miranda)
Joao Mario
16'
(ast. J. Miranda)
J. Rowe
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bologna a 41% win probability (draw 30%, Cremonese 27%). The final result was Cremonese 1–2 Bologna. In 1 previous meetings, Cremonese have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bologna.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
12
3
Shots on target
7
1.42
Actual xG
1.11
5
Saves
2
37%
Possession
63%
2
Corners
4
13
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
3'
ast. J. Miranda ·
Joao Mario⚽
16'
ast. J. Miranda ·
J. Rowe⚽
Youssef Maleh
45'
M. Djuric
/ D. Okereke
46'
J. Vandeputte
/ M. Thorsby
46'
A. Grassi
/ W. Bondo
46'
/ M. Payero
53'
61'
R. Orsolini
/
F. Bernardeschi
75'
Federico Ravaglia
78'
L. Ferguson
/
S. Sohm
78'
N. Cambiaghi
/
J. Rowe
82'
N. Zortea
/
Joao Mario
82'
T. Pobega
/
N. Moro
A. Zerbin
/ R. Floriani
85'
90'+3
Youssef Maleh
90'+4
Martín Payero
90'+5
90'+5
Lewis Ferguson
90'+6
Lewis Ferguson
90'+6
Lewis Ferguson
⚽F. Bonazzoli
(pen.)
90'
Pre-match prediction
27.64%
Cremonese
30.79%
X
41.57%
Bologna ←
we assigned to the actual result (Bologna)
41.57%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.79
1.42
+0.63
1.14
1.11
-0.03
Cremonese dominated by xG (1.42 vs 1.11).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
3
D
5
S. Luperto
D
S. Luperto
D
15
D
24
Filippo Terracciano
D
Filippo Terracciano
D
33
A. Grassi
45'
M
A. Grassi
45'
M
29
Youssef Maleh
M
Youssef Maleh
M
27
J. Vandeputte
45'
M
J. Vandeputte
45'
M
7
Alessio Zerbin
85'
M
Alessio Zerbin
85'
M
9
M. Đurić
45'
F
M. Đurić
45'
F
90
F. Bonazzoli
1 ⚽
F
F. Bonazzoli
1 ⚽
F
Bench
77
D. Okereke
54'
F
D. Okereke
54'
F
6
F. Baschirotto
D
F. Baschirotto
D
32
M. Payero
46'
M
M. Payero
46'
M
2
M. Thorsby
8'
M
M. Thorsby
8'
M
22
Romano Floriani Mussolini
14'
D
Romano Floriani Mussolini
14'
D
4
Tommaso Barbieri
D
Tommaso Barbieri
D
38
Warren Bondo
54'
M
Warren Bondo
54'
M
13
F. Ravaglia
G
F. Ravaglia
G
33
Juan Miranda
2 👟
D
Juan Miranda
2 👟
D
26
Jhon Lucumí
D
Jhon Lucumí
D
41
D
17
João Mário
1 ⚽
82'
D
João Mário
1 ⚽
82'
D
8
R. Freuler
M
R. Freuler
M
11
J. Rowe
1 ⚽
78'
M
J. Rowe
1 ⚽
78'
M
23
S. Sohm
78'
M
S. Sohm
78'
M
6
N. Moro
82'
M
N. Moro
82'
M
10
Federico Bernardeschi
61'
M
Federico Bernardeschi
61'
M
9
Santiago Castro
F
Santiago Castro
F
Bench
5
Eivind Helland
D
Eivind Helland
D
19
L. Ferguson
18'
M
L. Ferguson
18'
M
29
Lorenzo De Silvestri
D
Lorenzo De Silvestri
D
20
Nadir Zortea
17'
D
Nadir Zortea
17'
D
28
N. Cambiaghi
21'
F
N. Cambiaghi
21'
F
16
Nicolò Casale
D
Nicolò Casale
D
7
R. Orsolini
38'
F
R. Orsolini
38'
F
4
T. Pobega
17'
M
T. Pobega
17'
M
Best on the pitch
João Mário
D · Bologna
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 50 pass
F. Bonazzoli
F · Cremonese
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 19 pass
Juan Miranda
D · Bologna
7.50
2 👟
· 38 pass
N. Moro
M · Bologna
7.30
1 shots
· 65 pass
R. Freuler
M · Bologna
7.30
· 95 pass
D · Bologna
7.30
1 shots
· 71 pass
Cremonese — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 33% | — | — | — | |
| D | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 3 | — | — | |
| S. Luperto | D | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | — | — | — | |
| Filippo Terracciano | D | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Grassi | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Youssef Maleh | M | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| J. Vandeputte | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Alessio Zerbin | M | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Đurić | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 4% | — | — | — |
| F. Bonazzoli | F | 99 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Okereke | F | 54 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| M. Payero | M | 46 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Thorsby | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Romano Floriani Mussolini | D | 14 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Warren Bondo | M | 54 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
Bologna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Ravaglia | G | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | — | 1 | — |
| Juan Miranda | D | 99 | 7.50 | — | 2 | — | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhon Lucumí | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 77 | 73% | — | — | — |
| D | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 65% | 4 | — | — | |
| João Mário | D | 82 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 50 | 43% | — | — | — |
| R. Freuler | M | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 95 | 93% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rowe | M | 78 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| S. Sohm | M | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | — | — | — |
| N. Moro | M | 82 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Federico Bernardeschi | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Santiago Castro | F | 99 | 5.60 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| L. Ferguson | M | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | 2 | 1 |
| Nadir Zortea | D | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| N. Cambiaghi | F | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Orsolini | F | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| T. Pobega | M | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cremonese vs Bologna?
The final score was Cremonese 1–2 Bologna.
What did the model predict before Cremonese vs Bologna?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Cremonese win, 30% to a draw, and 41% to an Bologna win.