← Serie A
Serie A · Regular Season - 35 May 04, 2026 18:30
Cremonese
#18 · 31 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Lazio
#9 · 51 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Lazio
F. Bonazzoli (ast. R. Floriani) 29'
53' (ast. T. Noslin) G. Isaksen
90'+2 (ast. B. Dia) T. Noslin

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lazio a 50% win probability (draw 32%, Cremonese 17%). The final result was Cremonese 1–2 Lazio. In 1 previous meetings, Cremonese have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lazio.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
3
0.51
Actual xG
0.96
1
Saves
4
42%
Possession
58%
3
Corners
3
11
Tackles
2
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
↕ F. Baschirotto / M. Bianchetti
21'
⚽F. Bonazzoli · ast. R. Floriani
29'
40'
O. Provstgaard
46'
N. Rovella / Patric ↕
46'
T. Noslin / D. Maldini ↕
53'
ast. T. Noslin · G. Isaksen⚽
60'
Pedro / M. Zaccagni ↕
↕ A. Sanabria / J. Vardy
61'
↕ A. Grassi / W. Bondo
61'
↕ A. Zerbin / M. Payero
61'
↕ R. Floriani / T. Barbieri
68'
71'
F. Dele-Bashiru / K. Taylor ↕
T. Barbieri
76'
81'
B. Dia / G. Isaksen ↕
88'
N. Tavares
90'+2
ast. B. Dia · T. Noslin⚽
Pre-match prediction
17.67%
Cremonese
32.17%
X
50.15%
Lazio ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lazio) 50.15% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cremonese
0.61
0.51
-0.1
Lazio
1.38
0.96
-0.42
Lazio dominated by xG (0.96 vs 0.51). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Inter Inter 36 85
2 Napoli Napoli 36 70
3 Juventus Juventus 36 68
4 AC Milan AC Milan 36 67
5 AS Roma AS Roma 36 67
6 Como Como 36 65
7 Atalanta Atalanta 36 58
8 Bologna Bologna 36 52
9 Lazio Lazio 36 51
10 Udinese Udinese 36 50
11 Sassuolo Sassuolo 36 49
12 Torino Torino 36 44
13 Parma Parma 36 42
14 Genoa Genoa 36 41
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 36 38
16 Cagliari Cagliari 36 37
17 Lecce Lecce 36 32
18 Cremonese Cremonese 36 31
19 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 36 20
20 Pisa Pisa 36 18
Lineups
Cremonese Cremonese 4-4-2
1
G 6.20
3
D 6.30
5 Sebastiano Luperto Sebastiano Luperto D 6.50
6
F. Baschirotto 21' D 6.70
24 Filippo Terracciano Filippo Terracciano D 6.30
7 Alessio Zerbin Alessio Zerbin 61' M 6.20
29 Youssef Maleh Youssef Maleh M 6.20
33 Alberto Grassi Alberto Grassi 61' M 6.90
22
R. Floriani 1 👟 68' M 6.30
99 A. Sanabria A. Sanabria 61' F 6.50
90 F. Bonazzoli F. Bonazzoli 1 ⚽ F 8.50
Bench
77 David Okereke David Okereke F
9 Milan Đurić Milan Đurić F
2 Morten Thorsby Morten Thorsby M
32 M. Payero M. Payero 37' M 6.30
4 Tommaso Barbieri Tommaso Barbieri 30' D 6.20
38 Warren Bondo Warren Bondo 37' M 6.70
Lazio Lazio 4-3-3
40
G 6.70
17 Nuno Tavares Nuno Tavares D 6.30
25 Oliver Provstgaard Oliver Provstgaard D 7.20
13 Alessio Romagnoli Alessio Romagnoli D 7.50
77 Adam Marušić Adam Marušić D 6.90
24 Kenneth Taylor Kenneth Taylor 71' M 6.20
4 Patric Patric 45' M 6.30
26 Toma Bašić Toma Bašić M 6.50
10 M. Zaccagni M. Zaccagni 60' F 7.20
27 Daniel Maldini Daniel Maldini 45' F 6.20
18 Gustav Isaksen Gustav Isaksen 1 ⚽ 81' F 7.70
Bench
19 Boulaye Dia Boulaye Dia 1 👟 17' F 6.70
3 Luca Pellegrini Luca Pellegrini D
29 Manuel Lazzari Manuel Lazzari M
6 Nicolò Rovella Nicolò Rovella 53' M 7.00
9 Pedro Pedro 38' F 6.20
14 Tijjani Noslin Tijjani Noslin 1 ⚽ 1 👟 53' F 7.90
Best on the pitch
F. Bonazzoli
F. Bonazzoli
F · Cremonese
8.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 30 pass
Tijjani Noslin
Tijjani Noslin
F · Lazio
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 11 pass
Gustav Isaksen
Gustav Isaksen
F · Lazio
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 28 pass
Alessio Romagnoli
Alessio Romagnoli
D · Lazio
7.50
1 shots · 68 pass
M. Zaccagni
M. Zaccagni
F · Lazio
7.20
· 36 pass
Oliver Provstgaard
Oliver Provstgaard
D · Lazio
7.20
2 shots · 86 pass
Cremonese Cremonese — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 98 6.20 — — — 37 21% — — —
D 98 6.30 — — — 25 22% 2 — —
Sebastiano Luperto D 98 6.50 — — — 56 53% 1 — —
F. Baschirotto D 21 6.70 — — — 17 14% — — —
Filippo Terracciano D 98 6.30 — — — 59 53% — — —
Alessio Zerbin M 61 6.20 — — 1 11 7% — — —
Youssef Maleh M 98 6.20 — — 1 38 28% 1 — —
Alberto Grassi M 61 6.90 — — — 34 29% 2 — —
R. Floriani M 68 6.30 — 1 — 18 15% 1 — —
A. Sanabria F 61 6.50 — — — 9 9% — — —
F. Bonazzoli F 98 8.50 1 — 3 30 27% 2 — —
M. Payero M 37 6.30 — — 1 8 6% 1 — —
Tommaso Barbieri D 30 6.20 — — — 11 9% 1 1 —
Warren Bondo M 37 6.70 — — 2 23 21% — — —
Lazio Lazio — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 98 6.70 — — — 19 18% — — —
Nuno Tavares D 98 6.30 — — — 65 54% — 1 —
Oliver Provstgaard D 98 7.20 — — 2 86 78% — 1 —
Alessio Romagnoli D 98 7.50 — — 1 68 66% — — —
Adam Marušić D 98 6.90 — — — 82 77% — — —
Kenneth Taylor M 71 6.20 — — — 27 25% — — —
Patric M 45 6.30 — — 1 45 41% — — —
Toma Bašić M 98 6.50 — — — 70 63% 1 — —
M. Zaccagni F 60 7.20 — — — 36 32% — — —
Daniel Maldini F 45 6.20 — — — 16 14% 1 — —
Gustav Isaksen F 81 7.70 1 — 2 28 24% — — —
Boulaye Dia F 17 6.70 — 1 — 2 2% — — —
Nicolò Rovella M 53 7.00 — — — 56 52% — — —
Pedro F 38 6.20 — — — 12 8% — — —
Tijjani Noslin F 53 7.90 1 1 1 11 9% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cremonese vs Lazio?
The final score was Cremonese 1–2 Lazio.
What did the model predict before Cremonese vs Lazio?
The model assigned 17% probability to a Cremonese win, 32% to a draw, and 50% to an Lazio win.