✓Model correct — prediction Lazio
F. Bonazzoli
(ast. R. Floriani)
29'
53'
(ast. T. Noslin)
G. Isaksen
90'+2
(ast. B. Dia)
T. Noslin
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lazio a 50% win probability (draw 32%, Cremonese 17%). The final result was Cremonese 1–2 Lazio. In 1 previous meetings, Cremonese have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lazio.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
3
0.51
Actual xG
0.96
1
Saves
4
42%
Possession
58%
3
Corners
3
11
Tackles
2
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
F. Baschirotto
/ M. Bianchetti
21'
⚽F. Bonazzoli
· ast. R. Floriani
29'
40'
O. Provstgaard
46'
N. Rovella
/
Patric
46'
T. Noslin
/
D. Maldini
53'
ast. T. Noslin ·
G. Isaksen⚽
60'
Pedro
/
M. Zaccagni
A. Sanabria
/ J. Vardy
61'
A. Grassi
/ W. Bondo
61'
A. Zerbin
/ M. Payero
61'
R. Floriani
/ T. Barbieri
68'
71'
F. Dele-Bashiru
/
K. Taylor
T. Barbieri
76'
81'
B. Dia
/
G. Isaksen
88'
N. Tavares
90'+2
ast. B. Dia ·
T. Noslin⚽
Pre-match prediction
17.67%
Cremonese
32.17%
X
50.15%
Lazio ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Lazio)
50.15%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.61
0.51
-0.1
1.38
0.96
-0.42
Lazio dominated by xG (0.96 vs 0.51).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
3
D
5
Sebastiano Luperto
D
Sebastiano Luperto
D
6
F. Baschirotto
21'
D
24
Filippo Terracciano
D
Filippo Terracciano
D
7
Alessio Zerbin
61'
M
Alessio Zerbin
61'
M
29
Youssef Maleh
M
Youssef Maleh
M
33
Alberto Grassi
61'
M
Alberto Grassi
61'
M
22
Romano Floriani Mussolini
1 👟
68'
M
Romano Floriani Mussolini
1 👟
68'
M
99
A. Sanabria
61'
F
A. Sanabria
61'
F
90
F. Bonazzoli
1 ⚽
F
F. Bonazzoli
1 ⚽
F
Bench
77
David Okereke
F
David Okereke
F
9
Milan Đurić
F
Milan Đurić
F
2
Morten Thorsby
M
Morten Thorsby
M
32
M. Payero
37'
M
M. Payero
37'
M
4
Tommaso Barbieri
30'
D
Tommaso Barbieri
30'
D
38
Warren Bondo
37'
M
Warren Bondo
37'
M
40
G
17
Nuno Tavares
D
Nuno Tavares
D
25
Oliver Provstgaard
D
Oliver Provstgaard
D
13
Alessio Romagnoli
D
Alessio Romagnoli
D
77
Adam Marušić
D
24
Kenneth Taylor
71'
M
Kenneth Taylor
71'
M
4
Patric
45'
M
Patric
45'
M
26
Toma Bašić
M
Toma Bašić
M
10
M. Zaccagni
60'
F
M. Zaccagni
60'
F
27
Daniel Maldini
45'
F
Daniel Maldini
45'
F
18
Gustav Isaksen
1 ⚽
81'
F
Gustav Isaksen
1 ⚽
81'
F
Bench
19
Boulaye Dia
1 👟
17'
F
Boulaye Dia
1 👟
17'
F
3
Luca Pellegrini
D
Luca Pellegrini
D
29
Manuel Lazzari
M
Manuel Lazzari
M
6
Nicolò Rovella
53'
M
Nicolò Rovella
53'
M
9
Pedro
38'
F
Pedro
38'
F
14
Tijjani Noslin
1 ⚽
1 👟
53'
F
Tijjani Noslin
1 ⚽
1 👟
53'
F
Best on the pitch
F. Bonazzoli
F · Cremonese
8.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 30 pass
Tijjani Noslin
F · Lazio
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 11 pass
Gustav Isaksen
F · Lazio
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
Alessio Romagnoli
D · Lazio
7.50
1 shots
· 68 pass
M. Zaccagni
F · Lazio
7.20
· 36 pass
Oliver Provstgaard
D · Lazio
7.20
2 shots
· 86 pass
Cremonese — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 2 | — | — | |
| Sebastiano Luperto | D | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 56 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Baschirotto | D | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Filippo Terracciano | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Alessio Zerbin | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Youssef Maleh | M | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Alberto Grassi | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Romano Floriani Mussolini | M | 68 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Sanabria | F | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| F. Bonazzoli | F | 98 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 30 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Payero | M | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Tommaso Barbieri | D | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Warren Bondo | M | 37 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
Lazio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Nuno Tavares | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 65 | 54% | — | 1 | — |
| Oliver Provstgaard | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 86 | 78% | — | 1 | — |
| Alessio Romagnoli | D | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 66% | — | — | — |
| Adam Marušić | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 82 | 77% | — | — | — |
| Kenneth Taylor | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Patric | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Toma Bašić | M | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 70 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Zaccagni | F | 60 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Maldini | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustav Isaksen | F | 81 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Boulaye Dia | F | 17 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Nicolò Rovella | M | 53 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 56 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Pedro | F | 38 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Tijjani Noslin | F | 53 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cremonese vs Lazio?
The final score was Cremonese 1–2 Lazio.
What did the model predict before Cremonese vs Lazio?
The model assigned 17% probability to a Cremonese win, 32% to a draw, and 50% to an Lazio win.