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Serie A · Regular Season - 35 May 04, 2026 18:30 Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
Cremonese
1 – 2
Final score
Lazio
#1 · 28 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Lazio
F. Bonazzoli (ast. R. Floriani) 29'
53' (ast. T. Noslin) G. Isaksen
90'+2 (ast. B. Dia) T. Noslin
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lazio a 50% win probability (draw 32%, Cremonese 17%). The final result was Cremonese 1–2 Lazio. In 1 previous meetings, Cremonese have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lazio.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
3
0.51
Actual xG
0.96
1
Saves
4
42%
Possession
58%
3
Corners
3
11
Tackles
2
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
↕ F. Baschirotto / M. Bianchetti
21'
⚽F. Bonazzoli · ast. R. Floriani
29'
40'
O. Provstgaard
46'
N. Rovella / Patric ↕
46'
T. Noslin / D. Maldini ↕
53'
ast. T. Noslin · G. Isaksen⚽
60'
Pedro / M. Zaccagni ↕
↕ A. Sanabria / J. Vardy
61'
↕ A. Grassi / W. Bondo
61'
↕ A. Zerbin / M. Payero
61'
↕ R. Floriani / T. Barbieri
68'
71'
F. Dele-Bashiru / K. Taylor ↕
T. Barbieri
76'
81'
B. Dia / G. Isaksen ↕
88'
N. Tavares
90'+2
ast. B. Dia · T. Noslin⚽
Pre-match prediction
17.67%
Cremonese
32.17%
X
50.15%
Lazio ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lazio) 50.15% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cremonese
0.61
0.51
-0.1
Lazio
1.38
0.96
-0.42
Lazio dominated by xG (0.96 vs 0.51). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 10 28
2 Inter Inter 10 25
3 AS Roma AS Roma 10 24
4 Como Como 10 23
5 AC Milan AC Milan 10 21
6 Frosinone Frosinone 10 20
7 Juventus Juventus 10 17
8 Napoli Napoli 10 14
9 Bologna Bologna 10 14
10 Torino Torino 10 13
11 Genoa Genoa 10 13
12 Cagliari Cagliari 10 13
13 Atalanta Atalanta 10 11
14 Lecce Lecce 10 9
15 Parma Parma 10 8
16 Fiorentina Fiorentina 10 8
17 Sassuolo Sassuolo 10 8
18 Monza Monza 10 7
19 Venezia Venezia 11 6
20 Udinese Udinese 11 5
Lineups
Cremonese Cremonese 4-4-2
1
G 6.20
3
D 6.30
5 S. Luperto S. Luperto D 6.50
6 F. Baschirotto F. Baschirotto 21' D 6.70
24 F. Terracciano F. Terracciano D 6.30
7 A. Zerbin A. Zerbin 61' M 6.20
29 Y. Maleh Y. Maleh M 6.20
33 A. Grassi A. Grassi 61' M 6.90
22 R. Floriani Mussolini R. Floriani Mussolini 1 👟 68' M 6.30
99 A. Sanabria A. Sanabria 61' F 6.50
90 F. Bonazzoli F. Bonazzoli 1 ⚽ F 8.50
Bench
77 D. Okereke D. Okereke F
9 M. Đurić M. Đurić F
32 M. Payero M. Payero 37' M 6.30
2 M. Thorsby M. Thorsby M
4 T. Barbieri T. Barbieri 30' D 6.20
38 Warren Bondo Warren Bondo 37' M 6.70
Lazio Lazio 4-3-3
40
G 6.70
17 Nuno Tavares Nuno Tavares D 6.30
25 O. Provstgaard O. Provstgaard D 7.20
13 A. Romagnoli A. Romagnoli D 7.50
77 Adam Marušić Adam Marušić D 6.90
24 K. Taylor K. Taylor 71' M 6.20
4 Patric Patric 45' M 6.30
26 T. Bašić T. Bašić M 6.50
10 M. Zaccagni M. Zaccagni 60' F 7.20
27 D. Maldini D. Maldini 45' F 6.20
18 G. Isaksen G. Isaksen 1 ⚽ 81' F 7.70
Bench
19 B. Dia B. Dia 1 👟 17' F 6.70
3 L. Pellegrini L. Pellegrini D
29 M. Lazzari M. Lazzari M
6 Nicolò Rovella Nicolò Rovella 53' M 7.00
9 Pedro Pedro 38' F 6.20
14 T. Noslin T. Noslin 1 ⚽ 1 👟 53' F 7.90
Best on the pitch
F. Bonazzoli
F. Bonazzoli
F · Cremonese
8.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 30 pass
T. Noslin
T. Noslin
F · Lazio
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 11 pass
G. Isaksen
G. Isaksen
F · Lazio
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 28 pass
A. Romagnoli
A. Romagnoli
D · Lazio
7.50
1 shots · 68 pass
M. Zaccagni
M. Zaccagni
F · Lazio
7.20
· 36 pass
O. Provstgaard
O. Provstgaard
D · Lazio
7.20
2 shots · 86 pass
Cremonese Cremonese — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 98 6.20 — — — 37 21% — — —
D 98 6.30 — — — 25 22% 2 — —
S. Luperto D 98 6.50 — — — 56 53% 1 — —
F. Baschirotto D 21 6.70 — — — 17 14% — — —
F. Terracciano D 98 6.30 — — — 59 53% — — —
A. Zerbin M 61 6.20 — — 1 11 7% — — —
Y. Maleh M 98 6.20 — — 1 38 28% 1 — —
A. Grassi M 61 6.90 — — — 34 29% 2 — —
R. Floriani Mussolini M 68 6.30 — 1 — 18 15% 1 — —
A. Sanabria F 61 6.50 — — — 9 9% — — —
F. Bonazzoli F 98 8.50 1 — 3 30 27% 2 — —
M. Payero M 37 6.30 — — 1 8 6% 1 — —
T. Barbieri D 30 6.20 — — — 11 9% 1 1 —
Warren Bondo M 37 6.70 — — 2 23 21% — — —
Lazio Lazio — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 98 6.70 — — — 19 18% — — —
Nuno Tavares D 98 6.30 — — — 65 54% — 1 —
O. Provstgaard D 98 7.20 — — 2 86 78% — 1 —
A. Romagnoli D 98 7.50 — — 1 68 66% — — —
Adam Marušić D 98 6.90 — — — 82 77% — — —
K. Taylor M 71 6.20 — — — 27 25% — — —
Patric M 45 6.30 — — 1 45 41% — — —
T. Bašić M 98 6.50 — — — 70 63% 1 — —
M. Zaccagni F 60 7.20 — — — 36 32% — — —
D. Maldini F 45 6.20 — — — 16 14% 1 — —
G. Isaksen F 81 7.70 1 — 2 28 24% — — —
B. Dia F 17 6.70 — 1 — 2 2% — — —
Nicolò Rovella M 53 7.00 — — — 56 52% — — —
Pedro F 38 6.20 — — — 12 8% — — —
T. Noslin F 53 7.90 1 1 1 11 9% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cremonese vs Lazio?
The final score was Cremonese 1–2 Lazio.
What did the model predict before Cremonese vs Lazio?
The model assigned 17% probability to a Cremonese win, 32% to a draw, and 50% to an Lazio win.