Liga MX
· Clausura - Semi-finals
May 14, 2026 04:00
C. Rodriguez
(ast. J. Paradela)
37'
C. Ebere
56'
(pen.)
29'
S. Sandoval
50'
(ast. M. Gomez)
A. Sepulveda
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruz Azul a 53% win probability (draw 23%, Guadalajara Chivas 22%). The final result was Cruz Azul 2–2 Guadalajara Chivas. In 4 previous meetings, Cruz Azul have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Guadalajara Chivas.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
5
1.81
Actual xG
1.40
3
Saves
2
46%
Possession
54%
6
Corners
1
15
Tackles
14
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
11'
A. Sepulveda
C. Ebere
17'
29'
S. Sandoval⚽
⚽C. Rodriguez
· ast. J. Paradela
37'
46'
M. Gomez
/
E. Alvarez
50'
ast. M. Gomez ·
A. Sepulveda⚽
⚽C. Ebere
(pen.)
56'
O. Campos
65'
68'
R. Marin
O. Campos
/ L. Romero
68'
69'
S. Aguayo
/
R. Marin
J. Paradela
/ A. Montano
79'
80'
Y. Padilla
/
S. Sandoval
80'
G. Sepulveda
/
J. Castillo
84'
R. Ledezma
A. Palavecino
84'
A. Garcia
88'
C. Ebere
/ M. Levy
90'+1
A. Garcia
/ A. Castro
90'+1
A. Palavecino
/ I. Silva
90'+1
A. Montano
90'+3
90'
M. Tapias
/
R. Ledezma
Pre-match prediction
53.47%
Cruz
23.83%
X ←
22.7%
Guadalajara
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.83%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.98
1.81
-0.18
1.18
1.40
+0.22
Cruz Azul dominated by xG (1.81 vs 1.40).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
23
Kevin Mier
G
Kevin Mier
G
3
Omar Campos
68'
D
Omar Campos
68'
D
33
Gonzalo Piovi
D
Gonzalo Piovi
D
17
Amaury Garcia
89'
D
Amaury Garcia
89'
D
4
Willer Ditta
D
Willer Ditta
D
16
Jeremy Márquez
D
Jeremy Márquez
D
29
Carlos Rotondi
M
Carlos Rotondi
M
19
Carlos Rodríguez
1 ⚽
M
Carlos Rodríguez
1 ⚽
M
8
Agustín Palavecino
89'
M
Agustín Palavecino
89'
M
20
José Paradela
1 👟
79'
M
José Paradela
1 👟
79'
M
11
Osinachi Ebere
1 ⚽
89'
F
Osinachi Ebere
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
194
Amaury Morales
M
Amaury Morales
M
1
Andrés Gudiño
G
Andrés Gudiño
G
10
Andres Montaño
11'
M
Andres Montaño
11'
M
170
Ariel Castro Sevilla
1'
M
Ariel Castro Sevilla
1'
M
32
Cristian Jiménez
M
Cristian Jiménez
M
197
Ivan Silva
1'
M
Ivan Silva
1'
M
209
Josué Díaz
D
Josué Díaz
D
193
Karol Velázquez
M
Karol Velázquez
M
18
Luka Romero
22'
F
Luka Romero
22'
F
214
Mateo Levy
1'
F
Mateo Levy
1'
F
13
Óscar Whalley
G
Óscar Whalley
G
28
Fernando González
D
Fernando González
D
19
Diego Campillo
D
Diego Campillo
D
2
José Castillo
80'
D
José Castillo
80'
D
5
Bryan González
M
Bryan González
M
6
Omar Govea
M
Omar Govea
M
10
Efrain Alvarez
45'
M
Efrain Alvarez
45'
M
37
Richard Ledezma
89'
M
Richard Ledezma
89'
M
226
Santiago Sandoval
80'
F
Santiago Sandoval
80'
F
20
Ángel Sepúlveda
1 ⚽
F
Ángel Sepúlveda
1 ⚽
F
17
Ricardo Marín
69'
F
Ricardo Marín
69'
F
Bench
225
Cristian Samir Inda
M
Cristian Samir Inda
M
198
Diego Reyes
M
Diego Reyes
M
3
Gilberto Sepúlveda
10'
D
Gilberto Sepúlveda
10'
D
26
Hugo Camberos
M
Hugo Camberos
M
18
Jonathan Perez
M
Jonathan Perez
M
201
Juan Liceaga
G
Juan Liceaga
G
24
Miguel Gómez
1 👟
45'
D
Miguel Gómez
1 👟
45'
D
4
Miguel Tapias
1'
D
Miguel Tapias
1'
D
67
Sergio Armando Aguayo Castillo
21'
F
Sergio Armando Aguayo Castillo
21'
F
31
Yael Padilla
10'
F
Yael Padilla
10'
F
Best on the pitch
Carlos Rodríguez
M · Cruz
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 33 pass
Miguel Gómez
D · Guadalajara
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 5 pass
Osinachi Ebere
F · Cruz
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 12 pass
Willer Ditta
D · Cruz
7.20
2 shots
· 28 pass
Gonzalo Piovi
D · Cruz
7.00
· 35 pass
Ángel Sepúlveda
F · Guadalajara
7.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
Cruz Azul — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Mier | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Omar Campos | D | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gonzalo Piovi | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Amaury Garcia | D | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Willer Ditta | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| Jeremy Márquez | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Rotondi | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Rodríguez | M | 90 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 33 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| Agustín Palavecino | M | 89 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| José Paradela | M | 79 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Osinachi Ebere | F | 89 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 12 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Andres Montaño | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Ariel Castro Sevilla | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ivan Silva | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luka Romero | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Levy | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Guadalajara Chivas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Óscar Whalley | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Fernando González | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Diego Campillo | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| José Castillo | D | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Bryan González | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Omar Govea | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Efrain Alvarez | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Richard Ledezma | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Santiago Sandoval | F | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ángel Sepúlveda | F | 90 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Ricardo Marín | F | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Gilberto Sepúlveda | D | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Gómez | D | 45 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5% | 5 | — | — |
| Miguel Tapias | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Armando Aguayo Castillo | F | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Yael Padilla | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas?
The final score was Cruz Azul 2–2 Guadalajara Chivas.
What did the model predict before Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Cruz Azul win, 23% to a draw, and 22% to an Guadalajara Chivas win.