C. Rodriguez
(ast. J. Paradela)
37'
C. Ebere
56'
(pen.)
29'
S. Sandoval
50'
(ast. M. Gomez)
A. Sepulveda
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruz Azul a 53% win probability (draw 23%, Guadalajara Chivas 22%). The final result was Cruz Azul 2–2 Guadalajara Chivas. In 5 previous meetings, Cruz Azul have won 4 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Guadalajara Chivas.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
5
1.81
Actual xG
1.40
3
Saves
2
46%
Possession
54%
6
Corners
1
15
Tackles
14
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
11'
A. Sepulveda
C. Ebere
17'
29'
S. Sandoval⚽
⚽C. Rodriguez
· ast. J. Paradela
37'
46'
M. Gomez
/
E. Alvarez
50'
ast. M. Gomez ·
A. Sepulveda⚽
⚽C. Ebere
(pen.)
56'
O. Campos
65'
68'
R. Marin
O. Campos
/ L. Romero
68'
69'
S. Aguayo
/
R. Marin
J. Paradela
/ A. Montano
79'
80'
Y. Padilla
/
S. Sandoval
80'
G. Sepulveda
/
J. Castillo
84'
R. Ledezma
A. Palavecino
84'
A. Garcia
88'
C. Ebere
/ M. Levy
90'+1
A. Garcia
/ A. Castro
90'+1
A. Palavecino
/ I. Silva
90'+1
A. Montano
90'+3
90'
M. Tapias
/
R. Ledezma
Pre-match prediction
53.47%
Cruz
23.83%
X ←
22.7%
Guadalajara
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.83%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.98
1.81
-0.18
1.18
1.40
+0.22
Cruz Azul dominated by xG (1.81 vs 1.40).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
23
Kevin Mier
G
Kevin Mier
G
3
O. Campos
68'
D
O. Campos
68'
D
33
G. Piovi
D
G. Piovi
D
17
A. García
89'
D
A. García
89'
D
4
W. Ditta
D
W. Ditta
D
16
J. Márquez
D
J. Márquez
D
29
C. Rotondi
M
C. Rotondi
M
19
C. Rodríguez
1 ⚽
M
C. Rodríguez
1 ⚽
M
8
A. Palavecino
89'
M
A. Palavecino
89'
M
20
J. Paradela
1 👟
79'
M
J. Paradela
1 👟
79'
M
11
C. Ebere
1 ⚽
89'
F
C. Ebere
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
1
A. Gudiño
G
A. Gudiño
G
194
Amaury Morales
M
Amaury Morales
M
10
A. Montaño
11'
M
A. Montaño
11'
M
170
Ariel Castro Sevilla
1'
M
Ariel Castro Sevilla
1'
M
32
Cristian Jiménez
M
Cristian Jiménez
M
197
Ivan Silva
1'
M
Ivan Silva
1'
M
209
Josué Díaz
D
Josué Díaz
D
193
Karol Velázquez
M
Karol Velázquez
M
18
L. Romero
22'
F
L. Romero
22'
F
214
Mateo Levy
1'
F
Mateo Levy
1'
F
13
Óscar Whalley
G
Óscar Whalley
G
28
R. González
D
R. González
D
19
D. Campillo
D
D. Campillo
D
2
José Castillo
80'
D
José Castillo
80'
D
5
B. González
M
B. González
M
6
O. Govea
M
O. Govea
M
10
E. Álvarez
45'
M
E. Álvarez
45'
M
37
R. Ledezma
89'
M
R. Ledezma
89'
M
226
Santiago Sandoval
80'
F
Santiago Sandoval
80'
F
20
Á. Sepúlveda
1 ⚽
F
Á. Sepúlveda
1 ⚽
F
17
R. Marín
69'
F
R. Marín
69'
F
Bench
225
C. Inda
M
C. Inda
M
198
Francisco Reyes
M
Francisco Reyes
M
3
G. Sepúlveda
10'
D
G. Sepúlveda
10'
D
26
H. Camberos
M
H. Camberos
M
18
J. Pérez
M
J. Pérez
M
201
Juan Liceaga
G
Juan Liceaga
G
24
Miguel Gómez
1 👟
45'
D
Miguel Gómez
1 👟
45'
D
4
Miguel Tapias
1'
D
Miguel Tapias
1'
D
67
S. Aguayo
21'
F
S. Aguayo
21'
F
31
Y. Padilla
10'
F
Y. Padilla
10'
F
Best on the pitch
C. Rodríguez
M · Cruz
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 33 pass
Miguel Gómez
D · Guadalajara
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 5 pass
C. Ebere
F · Cruz
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 12 pass
W. Ditta
D · Cruz
7.20
2 shots
· 28 pass
G. Piovi
D · Cruz
7.00
· 35 pass
Á. Sepúlveda
F · Guadalajara
7.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
Cruz Azul — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Mier | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 15% | — | — | — |
| O. Campos | D | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Piovi | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| A. García | D | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| W. Ditta | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Márquez | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| C. Rotondi | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Rodríguez | M | 90 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 33 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Palavecino | M | 89 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Paradela | M | 79 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Ebere | F | 89 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 12 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Montaño | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Ariel Castro Sevilla | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ivan Silva | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Romero | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Levy | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Guadalajara Chivas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Óscar Whalley | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | — | — | — |
| R. González | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Campillo | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| José Castillo | D | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | — | — | — |
| B. González | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Govea | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Álvarez | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| R. Ledezma | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Santiago Sandoval | F | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Á. Sepúlveda | F | 90 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Marín | F | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Sepúlveda | D | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Gómez | D | 45 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5% | 5 | — | — |
| Miguel Tapias | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Aguayo | F | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Y. Padilla | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas?
The final score was Cruz Azul 2–2 Guadalajara Chivas.
What did the model predict before Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Cruz Azul win, 23% to a draw, and 22% to an Guadalajara Chivas win.