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Copa Libertadores · Group Stage - 3 April 29, 2026 02:30
Cruzeiro
#2 · 7 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Boca Juniors
#3 · 6 pts
N. Villarreal (ast. Kaio Jorge) 83'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruzeiro a 42% win probability (draw 26%, Boca Juniors 30%). The final result was Cruzeiro 1–0 Boca Juniors.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
0
2
Shots on target
0
1.39
Actual xG
0.00
0
Saves
1
63%
Possession
37%
5
Corners
1
12
Tackles
14
4
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
7'
L. Paredes
Kaio Jorge
25'
Fagner
29'
Gerson
40'
40'
A. Bareiro
45'+1
A. Bareiro
45'+1
A. Bareiro
↕ Fagner / Kaua Moraes
46'
62'
J. Figal / T. Aranda ↕
62'
E. Zeballos / Miguel Merentiel ↕
↕ K. Arroyo / Bruno Rodrigues
75'
↕ L. Romero / N. Villarreal
75'
⚽N. Villarreal · ast. Kaio Jorge
83'
87'
L. Blanco
Matheus Pereira
87'
↕ Kaio Jorge / Matheus Henrique
88'
90'
A. Costa
Pre-match prediction
42.81%
Cruzeiro ←
26.8%
X
30.39%
Boca
we assigned to the actual result (Cruzeiro) 42.81% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cruzeiro
1.41
1.39
-0.02
Boca
1.16
0.00
-1.17
Cruzeiro dominated by xG (1.39 vs 0.00). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 4 7
1 U. Catolica U. Catolica 4 7
1 Mirassol Mirassol 4 9
1 Flamengo Flamengo 3 7
1 Corinthians Corinthians 4 10
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 4 10
1 Rosario Central Rosario Central 4 10
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 4 8
2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4 7
2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4 7
2 Platense Platense 4 7
2 Bolívar Bolívar 4 5
2 Lanus Lanus 4 6
2 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 4 7
2 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 4 7
2 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 4 6
3 UCV UCV 4 6
3 Penarol Penarol 4 2
3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4 6
3 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4 6
3 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3 4
3 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 4 3
3 Universitario Universitario 4 4
3 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 4 6
4 Cusco Cusco 4 1
4 Always Ready Always Ready 4 3
4 Club Nacional Club Nacional 4 4
4 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4 3
4 Fluminense Fluminense 4 2
4 Junior Junior 4 1
4 Santa Fe Santa Fe 4 2
4 Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 4 0
Lineups
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1
81
G 6.90
6
Kaiki D 6.60
34 Jonathan Jesus Jonathan Jesus D 7.30
15 Fabrício Bruno Fabrício Bruno D 7.60
23 Fagner Fagner 45' D 6.30
11 Gerson Gerson M 7.00
29 Lucas Romero Lucas Romero 75' M 6.90
88 Christian Christian M 7.00
10 Matheus Pereira Matheus Pereira M 7.90
99
K. Arroyo 75' M 6.30
19 Kaio Jorge Kaio Jorge 1 👟 88' F 7.20
Bench
9
Bruno Rodrigues 15' F 7.20
2 Kauã Moraes Kauã Moraes 45' D 7.00
16 Lucas Silva Lucas Silva M
25 Lucas Villalba Lucas Villalba D
31 Matheus Cunha Matheus Cunha G
8 Matheus Henrique Matheus Henrique 9' M 6.30
22 Néiser Villarreal Néiser Villarreal 1 ⚽ 15' M 7.30
94 Wanderson Wanderson F
12
William Furtado D
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4-4-2
12 Leandro Brey Leandro Brey G 6.50
3 L. Blanco L. Blanco D 6.70
32 Ayrton Costa Ayrton Costa D 6.70
2 Lautaro Di Lollo Lautaro Di Lollo D 6.90
23 Marcelo Weigandt Marcelo Weigandt D 6.30
36 Tomás Aranda Tomás Aranda 62' M 6.70
18 Milton Delgado Milton Delgado M 6.60
5 L. Paredes L. Paredes M 6.60
25 Santiago Ascacíbar Santiago Ascacíbar M 6.30
28 A. Bareiro A. Bareiro 46' F 5.20
16 M. Merentiel M. Merentiel 62' F 6.60
Bench
20 Alan Velasco Alan Velasco M
29 Ángel Romero Ángel Romero F
7 Exequiel Zeballos Exequiel Zeballos 28' F 6.30
24 Juan Barinaga Juan Barinaga D
27 Malcom Braida Malcom Braida M
9 Milton Giménez Milton Giménez F
30 Tomás Belmonte Tomás Belmonte M
15 Williams Alarcón Williams Alarcón M
Best on the pitch
Matheus Pereira
Matheus Pereira
M · Cruzeiro
7.90
· 56 pass
Fabrício Bruno
Fabrício Bruno
D · Cruzeiro
7.60
2 shots · 55 pass
Néiser Villarreal
Néiser Villarreal
M · Cruzeiro
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
Jonathan Jesus
Jonathan Jesus
D · Cruzeiro
7.30
· 50 pass
Bruno Rodrigues
F · Cruzeiro
7.20
· 6 pass
Kaio Jorge
Kaio Jorge
F · Cruzeiro
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 10 pass
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 18 16% — — —
Kaiki D 90 6.60 — — — 35 26% 2 — —
Jonathan Jesus D 90 7.30 — — — 50 49% 1 — —
Fabrício Bruno D 90 7.60 — — 2 55 52% 1 — —
Fagner D 45 6.30 — — — 13 10% 3 1 —
Gerson M 90 7.00 — — — 70 65% — 1 —
Lucas Romero M 75 6.90 — — — 54 52% 2 — —
Christian M 90 7.00 — — — 28 22% 1 — —
Matheus Pereira M 90 7.90 — — — 56 50% 1 1 —
K. Arroyo M 75 6.30 — — 3 19 13% — — —
Kaio Jorge F 88 7.20 — 1 1 10 8% — 1 —
Bruno Rodrigues F 15 7.20 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
Kauã Moraes D 45 7.00 — — — 26 24% — — —
Matheus Henrique M 9 6.30 — — — 3 2% — — —
Néiser Villarreal M 15 7.30 1 — 1 — — — — —
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Leandro Brey G 90 6.50 — — — 26 5% 1 — —
L. Blanco D 90 6.70 — — — 17 11% 2 1 —
Ayrton Costa D 90 6.70 — — — 16 14% 1 1 —
Lautaro Di Lollo D 90 6.90 — — — 25 17% 2 — —
Marcelo Weigandt D 90 6.30 — — — 26 16% — — —
Tomás Aranda M 62 6.70 — — — 22 22% 2 — —
Milton Delgado M 90 6.60 — — — 32 29% 1 — —
L. Paredes M 90 6.60 — — — 44 38% 2 1 —
Santiago Ascacíbar M 90 6.30 — — — 17 11% 3 — —
A. Bareiro F 46 5.20 — — — 11 8% — 2 1
M. Merentiel F 62 6.60 — — — 15 12% — — —
Exequiel Zeballos F 28 6.30 — — — 6 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Boca Juniors?
The final score was Cruzeiro 1–0 Boca Juniors.
What did the model predict before Cruzeiro vs Boca Juniors?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Cruzeiro win, 26% to a draw, and 30% to an Boca Juniors win.