Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 3
April 29, 2026 02:30
N. Villarreal
(ast. Kaio Jorge)
83'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruzeiro a 42% win probability (draw 26%, Boca Juniors 30%). The final result was Cruzeiro 1–0 Boca Juniors. In 1 previous meetings, Cruzeiro have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Boca Juniors.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
0
2
Shots on target
0
1.39
Actual xG
0.00
0
Saves
1
63%
Possession
37%
5
Corners
1
12
Tackles
14
4
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
7'
L. Paredes
Kaio Jorge
25'
Fagner
29'
Gerson
40'
40'
A. Bareiro
45'+1
A. Bareiro
45'+1
A. Bareiro
Fagner
/ Kaua Moraes
46'
62'
J. Figal
/
T. Aranda
62'
E. Zeballos
/
Miguel Merentiel
K. Arroyo
/ Bruno Rodrigues
75'
L. Romero
/ N. Villarreal
75'
⚽N. Villarreal
· ast. Kaio Jorge
83'
87'
L. Blanco
Matheus Pereira
87'
Kaio Jorge
/ Matheus Henrique
88'
90'
A. Costa
Pre-match prediction
42.81%
Cruzeiro ←
26.8%
X
30.39%
Boca
we assigned to the actual result (Cruzeiro)
42.81%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.41
1.39
-0.02
1.16
0.00
-1.17
Cruzeiro dominated by xG (1.39 vs 0.00).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
81
G
6
Kaiki
D
Kaiki
D
34
Jonathan
D
Jonathan
D
15
Fabrício Bruno
D
Fabrício Bruno
D
23
Fágner
45'
D
Fágner
45'
D
11
Gerson
M
Gerson
M
29
L. Romero
75'
M
L. Romero
75'
M
88
Christian
M
Christian
M
10
Matheus Pereira
M
Matheus Pereira
M
99
K. Arroyo
75'
M
K. Arroyo
75'
M
19
Kaio Jorge
1 👟
88'
F
Kaio Jorge
1 👟
88'
F
Bench
9
Bruno Rodrigues
15'
F
Bruno Rodrigues
15'
F
2
Kauã Moraes
45'
D
Kauã Moraes
45'
D
16
Lucas Silva
M
Lucas Silva
M
25
L. Villalba
D
L. Villalba
D
31
Matheus Cunha
G
Matheus Cunha
G
8
Matheus Henrique
9'
M
Matheus Henrique
9'
M
22
Néiser Villarreal
1 ⚽
15'
M
Néiser Villarreal
1 ⚽
15'
M
94
Wanderson
F
Wanderson
F
12
William
D
William
D
12
L. Brey
G
L. Brey
G
3
L. Blanco
D
L. Blanco
D
32
A. Costa
D
A. Costa
D
2
L. Di Lollo
D
L. Di Lollo
D
23
M. Weigandt
D
M. Weigandt
D
36
Tomás Aranda
62'
M
Tomás Aranda
62'
M
18
M. Delgado
M
M. Delgado
M
5
L. Paredes
M
L. Paredes
M
25
S. Ascacíbar
M
S. Ascacíbar
M
28
A. Bareiro
46'
F
A. Bareiro
46'
F
16
M. Merentiel
62'
F
M. Merentiel
62'
F
Bench
29
Á. Romero
F
Á. Romero
F
20
A. Velasco
M
A. Velasco
M
7
Exequiel Zeballos
28'
F
Exequiel Zeballos
28'
F
24
J. Barinaga
D
J. Barinaga
D
27
M. Braida
M
M. Braida
M
9
M. Giménez
F
M. Giménez
F
30
Tomás Belmonte
M
Tomás Belmonte
M
15
W. Alarcón
M
W. Alarcón
M
Best on the pitch
Matheus Pereira
M · Cruzeiro
7.90
· 56 pass
Fabrício Bruno
D · Cruzeiro
7.60
2 shots
· 55 pass
Néiser Villarreal
M · Cruzeiro
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
Jonathan
D · Cruzeiro
7.30
· 50 pass
Bruno Rodrigues
F · Cruzeiro
7.20
· 6 pass
Kaio Jorge
F · Cruzeiro
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 10 pass
Cruzeiro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Kaiki | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Jonathan | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabrício Bruno | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Fágner | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Gerson | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 70 | 65% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Romero | M | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| Christian | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 50% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Arroyo | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Kaio Jorge | F | 88 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Bruno Rodrigues | F | 15 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Kauã Moraes | D | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Henrique | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Néiser Villarreal | M | 15 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Boca Juniors — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Brey | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Blanco | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Costa | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Di Lollo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Weigandt | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Tomás Aranda | M | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Delgado | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Paredes | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Ascacíbar | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Bareiro | F | 46 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | 2 | 1 |
| M. Merentiel | F | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Exequiel Zeballos | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Boca Juniors?
The final score was Cruzeiro 1–0 Boca Juniors.
What did the model predict before Cruzeiro vs Boca Juniors?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Cruzeiro win, 26% to a draw, and 30% to an Boca Juniors win.