Conference League
· Semi-finals
May 07, 2026 21:00
P. Henrique
25'
(og)
I. Sarr
(ast. T. Mitchell)
52'
34'
(ast. P. Henrique)
Eguinaldo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Crystal Palace a 46% win probability (draw 24%, Shakhtar Donetsk 29%). The final result was Crystal Palace 2–1 Shakhtar Donetsk. In 1 previous meetings, Crystal Palace have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Shakhtar Donetsk.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
5
Shots on target
5
1.35
Actual xG
1.02
4
Saves
4
35%
Possession
65%
1
Corners
5
30
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
10'
15'
V. Bondar
⚽P. Henrique
(og)
25'
27'
A. Ghram
/
V. Tobias
34'
ast. P. Henrique ·
Eguinaldo⚽
46'
Isaque Silva
/
Alisson
⚽I. Sarr
· ast. T. Mitchell
52'
56'
L. Traore
/
Kaua Elias
56'
Newerton
/
O. Ocheretko
J. Mateta
/ J. S. Larsen
66'
75'
Lucas Ferreira
/
Pedrinho
Y. Pino
/ B. Johnson
78'
D. Kamada
/ J. Lerma
88'
D. Munoz
/ N. Clyne
89'
A. Wharton
/ W. Hughes
89'
Pre-match prediction
46.53%
Crystal ←
24.2%
X
29.26%
Shakhtar
we assigned to the actual result (Crystal Palace)
46.53%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.57
1.35
-0.22
1.31
1.02
-0.29
Crystal Palace dominated by xG (1.35 vs 1.02).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Dean Henderson
89'
G
Dean Henderson
89'
G
23
Jaydee Canvot
89'
D
Jaydee Canvot
89'
D
5
Maxence Lacroix
89'
D
Maxence Lacroix
89'
D
26
Chris Richards
89'
D
Chris Richards
89'
D
3
Tyrick Mitchell
1 👟
89'
M
Tyrick Mitchell
1 👟
89'
M
18
Daichi Kamada
88'
M
Daichi Kamada
88'
M
20
Adam Wharton
89'
M
Adam Wharton
89'
M
2
Daniel Muñoz
89'
M
Daniel Muñoz
89'
M
10
Yéremy Pino
78'
F
Yéremy Pino
78'
F
14
Jean Philippe Mateta
66'
F
Jean Philippe Mateta
66'
F
7
Ismaïla Sarr
1 ⚽
89'
F
Ismaïla Sarr
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
11
Brennan Johnson
11'
F
Brennan Johnson
11'
F
34
Chadi Riad
D
Chadi Riad
D
8
Jefferson Lerma
1'
M
Jefferson Lerma
1'
M
22
Jørgen Strand Larsen
23'
F
Jørgen Strand Larsen
23'
F
19
Will Hughes
M
Will Hughes
M
31
89'
G
13
Pedro Henrique
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
D
22
Mykola Matvienko
89'
D
5
Valerii Bondar
89'
D
17
Vinícius Tobias
27'
D
Vinícius Tobias
27'
D
27
Oleg Ocheretko
56'
M
7
Eguinaldo
1 ⚽
89'
M
6
Marlon Gomes
89'
M
10
Pedrinho
75'
M
30
Alisson
45'
M
19
Kauã Elias
56'
F
Bench
18
Alaa Ghram
62'
D
21
Artem Bondarenko
M
16
Irakli Azarovi
D
14
Isaque
44'
M
2
Lassina Traoré
33'
F
49
Luca Meirelles
F
37
Lucas Ferreira
14'
M
11
Newerton Palmares
33'
M
68
Prosper Obah
M
29
Yehor Nazaryna
M
Best on the pitch
G · Shakhtar
8.20
· 20 pass
Ismaïla Sarr
F · Crystal
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
Mykola Matvienko
D · Shakhtar
7.70
2 shots
· 102 pass
Tyrick Mitchell
M · Crystal
7.70
1 👟
· 24 pass
Adam Wharton
M · Crystal
7.50
1 shots
· 28 pass
Dean Henderson
G · Crystal
7.20
· 20 pass
Crystal Palace — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Henderson | G | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Jaydee Canvot | D | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Maxence Lacroix | D | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| Chris Richards | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Tyrick Mitchell | M | 89 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 24 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| Daichi Kamada | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Adam Wharton | M | 89 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | 5 | — | — |
| Daniel Muñoz | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 16% | 5 | — | — |
| Yéremy Pino | F | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| Jean Philippe Mateta | F | 66 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Ismaïla Sarr | F | 89 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Brennan Johnson | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jefferson Lerma | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen | F | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
Shakhtar Donetsk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 89 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Pedro Henrique | D | 89 | 6.00 | 1 | 1 | — | 80 | 75% | 1 | — | — |
| Mykola Matvienko | D | 89 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 102 | 97% | — | — | — |
| Valerii Bondar | D | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 112 | 107% | — | 1 | — |
| Vinícius Tobias | D | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Oleg Ocheretko | M | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Eguinaldo | M | 89 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Marlon Gomes | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedrinho | M | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Alisson | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Kauã Elias | F | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Alaa Ghram | D | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Isaque | M | 44 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Lassina Traoré | F | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Ferreira | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Newerton Palmares | M | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
The final score was Crystal Palace 2–1 Shakhtar Donetsk.
What did the model predict before Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Crystal Palace win, 24% to a draw, and 29% to an Shakhtar Donetsk win.