Conference League
· Semi-finals
May 07, 2026 21:00
P. Henrique
25'
(og)
I. Sarr
(ast. T. Mitchell)
52'
34'
(ast. P. Henrique)
Eguinaldo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Crystal Palace a 46% win probability (draw 24%, Shakhtar Donetsk 29%). The final result was Crystal Palace 2–1 Shakhtar Donetsk. In 1 previous meetings, Crystal Palace have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Shakhtar Donetsk.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
5
Shots on target
5
1.35
Actual xG
1.02
4
Saves
4
35%
Possession
65%
1
Corners
5
30
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
10'
15'
V. Bondar
⚽P. Henrique
(og)
25'
27'
A. Ghram
/
V. Tobias
34'
ast. P. Henrique ·
Eguinaldo⚽
46'
Isaque Silva
/
Alisson
⚽I. Sarr
· ast. T. Mitchell
52'
56'
L. Traore
/
Kaua Elias
56'
Newerton
/
O. Ocheretko
J. Mateta
/ J. S. Larsen
66'
75'
Lucas Ferreira
/
Pedrinho
Y. Pino
/ B. Johnson
78'
D. Kamada
/ J. Lerma
88'
D. Munoz
/ N. Clyne
89'
A. Wharton
/ W. Hughes
89'
Pre-match prediction
46.53%
Crystal ←
24.2%
X
29.26%
Shakhtar
we assigned to the actual result (Crystal Palace)
46.53%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.57
1.35
-0.22
1.31
1.02
-0.29
Crystal Palace dominated by xG (1.35 vs 1.02).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
D. Henderson
89'
G
D. Henderson
89'
G
23
J. Canvot
89'
D
J. Canvot
89'
D
5
M. Lacroix
89'
D
M. Lacroix
89'
D
26
C. Richards
89'
D
C. Richards
89'
D
3
T. Mitchell
1 👟
89'
M
T. Mitchell
1 👟
89'
M
18
D. Kamada
88'
M
D. Kamada
88'
M
20
A. Wharton
89'
M
A. Wharton
89'
M
2
D. Muñoz
89'
M
D. Muñoz
89'
M
10
Yeremy Pino
78'
F
Yeremy Pino
78'
F
14
Jean-Philippe Mateta
66'
F
Jean-Philippe Mateta
66'
F
7
I. Sarr
1 ⚽
89'
F
I. Sarr
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
11
B. Johnson
11'
F
B. Johnson
11'
F
34
Chadi Riad
D
Chadi Riad
D
8
J. Lerma
1'
M
J. Lerma
1'
M
22
J. Strand Larsen
23'
F
J. Strand Larsen
23'
F
19
W. Hughes
M
W. Hughes
M
31
89'
G
13
Pedrinho
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
D
Pedrinho
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
D
22
M. Matvienko
89'
D
M. Matvienko
89'
D
5
V. Bondar
89'
D
V. Bondar
89'
D
17
Vinícius Tobias
27'
D
Vinícius Tobias
27'
D
27
O. Ocheretko
56'
M
O. Ocheretko
56'
M
7
Eguinaldo
1 ⚽
89'
M
Eguinaldo
1 ⚽
89'
M
6
Marlon Gomes
89'
M
Marlon Gomes
89'
M
10
Pedrinho
75'
M
30
Alisson Santana
45'
M
Alisson Santana
45'
M
19
Kauã Elias
56'
F
Kauã Elias
56'
F
Bench
21
A. Bondarenko
M
A. Bondarenko
M
18
A. Ghram
62'
D
A. Ghram
62'
D
29
E. Nazaryna
M
E. Nazaryna
M
16
I. Azarovi
D
I. Azarovi
D
14
Isaque
44'
M
2
L. Traoré
33'
F
L. Traoré
33'
F
49
Luca Meirelles
F
Luca Meirelles
F
37
Lucas Ferreira
14'
M
Lucas Ferreira
14'
M
11
Newertton
33'
M
Newertton
33'
M
68
Prosper Obah
M
Best on the pitch
G · Shakhtar
8.20
· 20 pass
I. Sarr
F · Crystal
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
M. Matvienko
D · Shakhtar
7.70
2 shots
· 102 pass
T. Mitchell
M · Crystal
7.70
1 👟
· 24 pass
A. Wharton
M · Crystal
7.50
1 shots
· 28 pass
D. Henderson
G · Crystal
7.20
· 20 pass
Crystal Palace — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Henderson | G | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Canvot | D | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | — | — | — |
| M. Lacroix | D | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Richards | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Mitchell | M | 89 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 24 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Kamada | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Wharton | M | 89 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Muñoz | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 16% | 5 | — | — |
| Yeremy Pino | F | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | F | 66 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| I. Sarr | F | 89 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Johnson | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Lerma | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Strand Larsen | F | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
Shakhtar Donetsk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 89 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Pedrinho | D | 89 | 6.00 | 1 | 1 | — | 80 | 75% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Matvienko | D | 89 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 102 | 97% | — | — | — |
| V. Bondar | D | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 112 | 107% | — | 1 | — |
| Vinícius Tobias | D | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| O. Ocheretko | M | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Eguinaldo | M | 89 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Marlon Gomes | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedrinho | M | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Alisson Santana | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Kauã Elias | F | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| A. Ghram | D | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Isaque | M | 44 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Traoré | F | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Ferreira | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Newertton | M | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
The final score was Crystal Palace 2–1 Shakhtar Donetsk.
What did the model predict before Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Crystal Palace win, 24% to a draw, and 29% to an Shakhtar Donetsk win.