Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 1
April 09, 2026 02:30
59'
(ast. Ayrton Lucas)
Bruno Henrique
90'+2
G. de Arrascaeta
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Flamengo a 34% win probability (draw 36%, Cusco 28%). The final result was Cusco 0–2 Flamengo.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
14
2
Shots on target
10
0.32
Actual xG
1.04
7
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
5
Corners
7
11
Tackles
5
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
A. Fuentes
37'
59'
ast. Ayrton Lucas ·
Bruno Henrique⚽
N. Silva
/ Herrera Joel
60'
G. Carabajal
/ J. Tevez
60'
L. Colitto
/ J. Manzaneda
61'
65'
71'
Luiz Araujo
/
J. Carrascal
J. Bolivar
/ J. Zevallos
81'
D. Soto
/ I. Colman
85'
85'
Leo Ortiz
/
N. de la Cruz
85'
Pedro
/
Bruno Henrique
85'
G. de Arrascaeta
/
Lucas Paqueta
J. Manzaneda
88'
90'+2
G. de Arrascaeta⚽
Pre-match prediction
28.23%
Cusco
36.95%
X
34.82%
Flamengo ←
we assigned to the actual result (Flamengo)
34.82%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.56
0.32
-0.24
0.76
1.04
+0.28
Flamengo dominated by xG (1.04 vs 0.32).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
28
Pedro Diaz
G
Pedro Diaz
G
15
Jose Bolivar
81'
D
Jose Bolivar
81'
D
6
D
8
Aldair Fuentes
D
Aldair Fuentes
D
24
Marlon Ruidías
D
Marlon Ruidías
D
26
Nicolás Silva
60'
M
Nicolás Silva
60'
M
27
Gabriel Carabajal
60'
M
Gabriel Carabajal
60'
M
16
Oswaldo Valenzuela
M
Oswaldo Valenzuela
M
88
Diego Soto
85'
M
Diego Soto
85'
M
22
Lucas Colitto
61'
M
Lucas Colitto
61'
M
9
Facundo Callejo
F
Facundo Callejo
F
Bench
14
Carlo Diez
M
Carlo Diez
M
10
Iván Colman
14'
M
Iván Colman
14'
M
32
J. Astudillo
D
77
Joel Herrera
30'
M
Joel Herrera
30'
M
7
José Miguel Manzaneda
29'
F
José Miguel Manzaneda
29'
F
21
José Zevallos
9'
D
José Zevallos
9'
D
11
Juan Tévez
30'
F
Juan Tévez
30'
F
1
G
6
Ayrton Lucas
1 👟
D
Ayrton Lucas
1 👟
D
4
Léo Pereira
D
Léo Pereira
D
13
D
22
Emerson Royal
D
Emerson Royal
D
18
N. de la Cruz
85'
M
N. de la Cruz
85'
M
52
Evertton Araujo
M
Evertton Araujo
M
19
Gonzalo Plata
M
Gonzalo Plata
M
20
Lucas Paqueta
85'
M
15
Jorge Carrascal
71'
M
Jorge Carrascal
71'
M
27
Bruno Henrique
1 ⚽
85'
F
Bruno Henrique
1 ⚽
85'
F
Bench
42
Andrew
G
Andrew
G
10
G. de Arrascaeta
1 ⚽
14'
M
G. de Arrascaeta
1 ⚽
14'
M
3
Léo Ortiz
14'
D
Léo Ortiz
14'
D
7
Luiz Araújo
19'
F
Luiz Araújo
19'
F
9
Pedro
14'
F
Pedro
14'
F
16
Samuel Lino
M
Samuel Lino
M
Best on the pitch
G. de Arrascaeta
M · Flamengo
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 9 pass
Bruno Henrique
F · Flamengo
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 9 pass
G · Flamengo
7.30
· 28 pass
Emerson Royal
D · Flamengo
7.20
· 22 pass
Léo Pereira
D · Flamengo
7.20
· 54 pass
Ayrton Lucas
D · Flamengo
7.20
1 👟
· 19 pass
Cusco — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Diaz | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Jose Bolivar | D | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 58% | 2 | — | — | |
| Aldair Fuentes | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 52% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Marlon Ruidías | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolás Silva | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Carabajal | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Oswaldo Valenzuela | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 49 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Diego Soto | M | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Colitto | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Facundo Callejo | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Iván Colman | M | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Joel Herrera | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| José Miguel Manzaneda | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| José Zevallos | D | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Tévez | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Flamengo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| Ayrton Lucas | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Léo Pereira | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 40% | — | — | — | |
| Emerson Royal | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| N. de la Cruz | M | 85 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Evertton Araujo | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 53 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Plata | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Paqueta | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 35 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Jorge Carrascal | M | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Henrique | F | 85 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| G. de Arrascaeta | M | 14 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Léo Ortiz | D | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Luiz Araújo | F | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Pedro | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cusco vs Flamengo?
The final score was Cusco 0–2 Flamengo.
What did the model predict before Cusco vs Flamengo?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Cusco win, 36% to a draw, and 34% to an Flamengo win.