Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 1
April 09, 2026 02:30
59'
(ast. Ayrton Lucas)
Bruno Henrique
90'+2
G. de Arrascaeta
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Flamengo a 34% win probability (draw 36%, Cusco 28%). The final result was Cusco 0–2 Flamengo. In 1 previous meetings, Cusco have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Flamengo.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
14
2
Shots on target
10
0.32
Actual xG
1.04
7
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
5
Corners
7
11
Tackles
5
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
A. Fuentes
37'
59'
ast. Ayrton Lucas ·
Bruno Henrique⚽
N. Silva
/ Herrera Joel
60'
G. Carabajal
/ J. Tevez
60'
L. Colitto
/ J. Manzaneda
61'
65'
71'
Luiz Araujo
/
J. Carrascal
J. Bolivar
/ J. Zevallos
81'
D. Soto
/ I. Colman
85'
85'
Leo Ortiz
/
N. de la Cruz
85'
Pedro
/
Bruno Henrique
85'
G. de Arrascaeta
/
Lucas Paqueta
J. Manzaneda
88'
90'+2
G. de Arrascaeta⚽
Pre-match prediction
28.23%
Cusco
36.95%
X
34.82%
Flamengo ←
we assigned to the actual result (Flamengo)
34.82%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.56
0.32
-0.24
0.76
1.04
+0.28
Flamengo dominated by xG (1.04 vs 0.32).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
28
P. Díaz
G
P. Díaz
G
15
J. Bolívar
81'
D
J. Bolívar
81'
D
6
D
8
A. Fuentes
D
A. Fuentes
D
24
M. Ruidías
D
M. Ruidías
D
26
N. Silva
60'
M
N. Silva
60'
M
27
Gabriel Carabajal
60'
M
Gabriel Carabajal
60'
M
16
O. Valenzuela
M
O. Valenzuela
M
88
D. Soto
85'
M
D. Soto
85'
M
22
L. Colitto
61'
M
L. Colitto
61'
M
9
F. Callejo
F
F. Callejo
F
Bench
14
C. Diez
M
C. Diez
M
10
I. Colman
14'
M
I. Colman
14'
M
77
J. Herrera
30'
M
J. Herrera
30'
M
7
J. Manzaneda
29'
F
J. Manzaneda
29'
F
11
J. Tévez
30'
F
J. Tévez
30'
F
32
Julinho Astudillo
D
Julinho Astudillo
D
21
J. Zevallos
9'
D
J. Zevallos
9'
D
1
G
6
Ayrton Lucas
1 👟
D
Ayrton Lucas
1 👟
D
4
Léo Pereira
D
Léo Pereira
D
13
D
22
Emerson Royal
D
Emerson Royal
D
18
N. de la Cruz
85'
M
N. de la Cruz
85'
M
52
Evertton Araújo
M
Evertton Araújo
M
19
G. Plata
M
G. Plata
M
20
Lucas Paquetá
85'
M
Lucas Paquetá
85'
M
15
J. Carrascal
71'
M
J. Carrascal
71'
M
27
Bruno Henrique
1 ⚽
85'
F
Bruno Henrique
1 ⚽
85'
F
Bench
42
Andrew
G
Andrew
G
10
G. de Arrascaeta
1 ⚽
14'
M
G. de Arrascaeta
1 ⚽
14'
M
3
Léo Ortiz
14'
D
Léo Ortiz
14'
D
7
Luiz Araújo
19'
F
Luiz Araújo
19'
F
9
Pedro
14'
F
Pedro
14'
F
16
Samuel Lino
M
Samuel Lino
M
Best on the pitch
G. de Arrascaeta
M · Flamengo
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 9 pass
Bruno Henrique
F · Flamengo
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 9 pass
G · Flamengo
7.30
· 28 pass
Emerson Royal
D · Flamengo
7.20
· 22 pass
Léo Pereira
D · Flamengo
7.20
· 54 pass
Ayrton Lucas
D · Flamengo
7.20
1 👟
· 19 pass
Cusco — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Díaz | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 28% | — | — | — |
| J. Bolívar | D | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 58% | 2 | — | — | |
| A. Fuentes | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 52% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Ruidías | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Silva | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Carabajal | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| O. Valenzuela | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 49 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Soto | M | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| L. Colitto | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Callejo | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| I. Colman | M | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. Herrera | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Manzaneda | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Tévez | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Zevallos | D | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Flamengo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| Ayrton Lucas | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Léo Pereira | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 40% | — | — | — | |
| Emerson Royal | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| N. de la Cruz | M | 85 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Evertton Araújo | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 53 | 47% | — | — | — |
| G. Plata | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Paquetá | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 35 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Carrascal | M | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Henrique | F | 85 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| G. de Arrascaeta | M | 14 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Léo Ortiz | D | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Luiz Araújo | F | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Pedro | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cusco vs Flamengo?
The final score was Cusco 0–2 Flamengo.
What did the model predict before Cusco vs Flamengo?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Cusco win, 36% to a draw, and 34% to an Flamengo win.