Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 15
April 01, 2026 03:00
✓Model correct — prediction Deportes Tolima
L. Sandoval
43'
L. Sandoval
(ast. J. P. Torres Patino)
49'
J. P. Torres Patino
(ast. L. Sandoval)
70'
L. Sandoval
(ast. J. P. Torres Patino)
73'
(pen.)
27'
J. Rivaldo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportes Tolima a 57% win probability (draw 25%, Águilas Doradas 17%). The final result was Deportes Tolima 4–1 Águilas Doradas.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
5
8
Shots on target
1
2.51
Actual xG
1.01
0
Saves
4
68%
Possession
32%
2
Corners
3
9
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Y. Moreno
19'
E. Valencia
/ J. Mosquera
27'
27'
(pen.)
J. Rivaldo⚽
⚽L. Sandoval
43'
45'+2
H. Lopes
46'
J. E. Avalo Trejos
/
J. Rivaldo
⚽L. Sandoval
· ast. J. P. Torres Patino
49'
56'
J. Pineda
/
H. Lopes
56'
F. A. Suarez Chalare
/
A. Ricaurte
61'
B. Uruena
/
J. Roa
C. Arrieta
/ J. Gonzalez
62'
Y. Moreno
/ J. Mera
62'
L. Sandoval
63'
68'
D. Hernandez
⚽J. P. Torres Patino
· ast. L. Sandoval
70'
⚽L. Sandoval
· ast. J. P. Torres Patino
73'
74'
J. Varela
/
J. Obregon
B. Rovira
/ C. Trujillo
76'
J. P. Torres Patino
/ N. Sanchez
76'
Pre-match prediction
57.71%
Deportes ←
25.05%
X
17.24%
Águilas
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Deportes Tolima)
57.71%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.01
2.51
+0.5
0.78
1.01
+0.23
Deportes Tolima dominated by xG (2.51 vs 1.01).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
8
Ever Valencia
27'
D
Ever Valencia
27'
D
4
Daniel Pedrozo
D
Daniel Pedrozo
D
80
Brayan Rovira
76'
D
Brayan Rovira
76'
D
3
Jan Ángulo
D
Jan Ángulo
D
32
S. Guzmán
M
S. Guzmán
M
17
Cristian Arrieta
62'
M
Cristian Arrieta
62'
M
31
Yoimar Moreno
62'
M
Yoimar Moreno
62'
M
24
Adrián Parra
F
Adrián Parra
F
10
Juan Torres
1 ⚽
2 👟
76'
F
Juan Torres
1 ⚽
2 👟
76'
F
9
L. Sandoval
3 ⚽
1 👟
F
L. Sandoval
3 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
6
Cristian Trujillo
14'
M
7
J. González
28'
F
J. González
28'
F
33
Jherson Mosquera
63'
D
Jherson Mosquera
63'
D
5
J. Mera
28'
D
12
G
5
D. Hernandez
D
2
J. Garcia
D
29
H. Lopes
56'
D
32
J. Mena
M
25
J. Roa
61'
M
19
M
26
D. Lozano
M
99
J. Obregon
74'
F
9
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto
1 ⚽
45'
F
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto
1 ⚽
45'
F
8
Andrés Ricaurte
56'
F
Bench
20
Alberto Higgins
D
10
B. Urueña
29'
M
B. Urueña
29'
M
15
Fabián Suárez
34'
F
16
Jaen Pineda
34'
M
24
J. E. Avalo Trejos
45'
M
3
J. Varela
16'
D
Best on the pitch
L. Sandoval
F · Deportes
10.00
3 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 33 pass
Juan Torres
F · Deportes
8.60
1 ⚽ 2 👟
3 shots
· 37 pass
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto
F · Águilas
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
Adrián Parra
F · Deportes
7.30
3 shots
· 37 pass
Jherson Mosquera
D · Deportes
7.20
1 shots
· 30 pass
S. Guzmán
M · Deportes
7.20
· 79 pass
Deportes Tolima — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| Ever Valencia | D | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Pedrozo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Brayan Rovira | D | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| Jan Ángulo | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 42% | — | — | — |
| S. Guzmán | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 79 | 73% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Arrieta | M | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Yoimar Moreno | M | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Adrián Parra | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 37 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Torres | F | 76 | 8.60 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Sandoval | F | 90 | 10.00 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| Cristian Trujillo | M | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. González | F | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Jherson Mosquera | D | 63 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | — | — | — |
| J. Mera | D | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 23% | — | — | — |
Águilas Doradas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| D. Hernandez | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 4 | 1 | — |
| J. Garcia | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Lopes | D | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Mena | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| J. Roa | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 10% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 8% | 2 | — | — | |
| D. Lozano | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. Obregon | F | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto | F | 45 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Andrés Ricaurte | F | 56 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Urueña | M | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Fabián Suárez | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jaen Pineda | M | 34 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. E. Avalo Trejos | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| J. Varela | D | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas?
The final score was Deportes Tolima 4–1 Águilas Doradas.
What did the model predict before Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Deportes Tolima win, 25% to a draw, and 17% to an Águilas Doradas win.