Liga BetPlay · Apertura - 15 April 01, 2026 03:00

Deportes Tolima

#6 · 31 pts

4 – 1

Final score

Águilas Doradas

#8 · 25 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Deportes Tolima

L. Sandoval 43'

L. Sandoval (ast. J. P. Torres Patino) 49'

J. P. Torres Patino (ast. L. Sandoval) 70'

L. Sandoval (ast. J. P. Torres Patino) 73'

(pen.) 27' J. Rivaldo

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportes Tolima a 57% win probability (draw 25%, Águilas Doradas 17%). The final result was Deportes Tolima 4–1 Águilas Doradas. In 1 previous meetings, Deportes Tolima have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Águilas Doradas.

Match statistics

14

Total shots

5

8

Shots on target

1

2.51

Actual xG

1.01

0

Saves

4

68%

Possession

32%

2

Corners

3

9

Tackles

12

2

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

Y. Moreno

19'

↕ E. Valencia / J. Mosquera

27'

27'

(pen.) J. Rivaldo⚽

⚽L. Sandoval

43'

45'+2

H. Lopes

46'

J. E. Avalo Trejos / J. Rivaldo ↕

⚽L. Sandoval · ast. J. P. Torres Patino

49'

56'

J. Pineda / H. Lopes ↕

56'

F. A. Suarez Chalare / A. Ricaurte ↕

61'

B. Uruena / J. Roa ↕

↕ C. Arrieta / J. Gonzalez

62'

↕ Y. Moreno / J. Mera

62'

L. Sandoval

63'

68'

D. Hernandez

⚽J. P. Torres Patino · ast. L. Sandoval

70'

⚽L. Sandoval · ast. J. P. Torres Patino

73'

74'

J. Varela / J. Obregon ↕

↕ B. Rovira / C. Trujillo

76'

↕ J. P. Torres Patino / N. Sanchez

76'

Pre-match prediction

57.71%

Deportes ←

25.05%

X

17.24%

Águilas

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Deportes Tolima) 57.71% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Deportes

2.01

2.51

+0.5

Águilas

0.78

1.01

+0.23

Deportes Tolima dominated by xG (2.51 vs 1.01). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	40
2	Junior	19	35
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	34
4	America de Cali	19	33
5	Once Caldas	19	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	31
7	Santa Fe	19	29
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	27
10	Millonarios	19	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	23
14	Llaneros	19	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	22
16	Jaguares	19	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	17
18	Chico	19	17
19	Cucuta	19	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	10

Lineups

Deportes Tolima 4-3-3

1

G 6.30

8 Ever Valencia 27' D 6.20

4 D. Pedrozo D 6.90

80 Brayan Rovira 76' D 6.20

3 Jan Ángulo D 6.70

32 S. Guzmán M 7.20

17 C. Arrieta 62' M 6.60

31 Yoimar Moreno 62' M 6.50

24 Adrián Parra F 7.30

10 J. Torres 1 ⚽ 2 👟 76' F 8.60

9 Luis Sandoval 3 ⚽ 1 👟 F 10.00

Bench

6 C. Trujillo 14' M 6.60

7 J. González 28' F 6.70

33 Jherson Mosquera 63' D 7.20

5 Juan Mera 28' D 6.90

Águilas Doradas 3-4-3

12

G 6.60

5 D. Hernández D 5.90

2 John García D 5.90

29 Hernán Lópes 56' D 6.20

32 Javier Mena M 6.70

25 Juan Camilo Roa 61' M 6.30

19

M 6.50

26 Dylan Lozano M 6.00

99 Jorge Obregón 74' F 6.20

9 J. Rivaldo 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.50

8 Andrés Ricaurte 56' F 6.50

Bench

20 Alberto Higgins D

10

B. Urueña 29' M 6.30

15 F. Suárez 34' F 6.30

16

Jaen Pineda 34' M 6.20

3 Joaquin Varela 16' D 6.60

24 Juan Ávalo 45' M 6.20

Best on the pitch

Luis Sandoval

F · Deportes

10.00

3 ⚽ 1 👟

4 shots · 33 pass

J. Torres

F · Deportes

8.60

1 ⚽ 2 👟

3 shots · 37 pass

J. Rivaldo

F · Águilas

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 7 pass

Adrián Parra

F · Deportes

7.30

3 shots · 37 pass

S. Guzmán

M · Deportes

7.20

· 79 pass

Jherson Mosquera

D · Deportes

7.20

1 shots · 30 pass

Deportes Tolima — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	31	26%	—	—	—
Ever Valencia	D	27	6.20	—	—	—	12	12%	—	—	—
D. Pedrozo	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	42	39%	1	—	—
Brayan Rovira	D	76	6.20	—	—	1	65	59%	2	—	—
Jan Ángulo	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	50	42%	—	—	—
S. Guzmán	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	79	73%	—	—	—
C. Arrieta	M	62	6.60	—	—	1	33	27%	—	—	—
Yoimar Moreno	M	62	6.50	—	—	—	14	13%	2	1	—
Adrián Parra	F	90	7.30	—	—	3	37	36%	1	—	—
J. Torres	F	76	8.60	1	2	3	37	30%	1	—	—
Luis Sandoval	F	90	10.00	3	1	4	33	27%	—	1	—
C. Trujillo	M	14	6.60	—	—	—	17	15%	1	—	—
J. González	F	28	6.70	—	—	1	7	6%	1	—	—
Jherson Mosquera	D	63	7.20	—	—	1	30	26%	—	—	—
Juan Mera	D	28	6.90	—	—	—	24	23%	—	—	—

Águilas Doradas — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.60	—	—	—	17	10%	—	—	—
D. Hernández	D	90	5.90	—	—	—	25	19%	4	1	—
John García	D	90	5.90	—	—	—	21	16%	1	—	—
Hernán Lópes	D	56	6.20	—	—	—	16	12%	1	1	—
Javier Mena	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	26	20%	—	—	—
Juan Camilo Roa	M	61	6.30	—	—	—	18	10%	—	—	—
	M	90	6.50	—	—	1	17	8%	2	—	—
Dylan Lozano	M	90	6.00	—	—	—	16	13%	—	—	—
Jorge Obregón	F	74	6.20	—	—	1	14	11%	1	—	—
J. Rivaldo	F	45	7.50	1	—	1	7	7%	—	—	—
Andrés Ricaurte	F	56	6.50	—	—	—	22	15%	1	—	—
B. Urueña	M	29	6.30	—	—	—	5	5%	2	—	—
F. Suárez	F	34	6.30	—	—	1	2	2%	—	—	—
Jaen Pineda	M	34	6.20	—	—	—	12	10%	—	—	—
Joaquin Varela	D	16	6.60	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Juan Ávalo	M	45	6.20	—	—	1	17	16%	—	—	—