Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 15
April 01, 2026 03:00
✓Model correct — prediction Deportes Tolima
L. Sandoval
43'
L. Sandoval
(ast. J. P. Torres Patino)
49'
J. P. Torres Patino
(ast. L. Sandoval)
70'
L. Sandoval
(ast. J. P. Torres Patino)
73'
(pen.)
27'
J. Rivaldo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportes Tolima a 57% win probability (draw 25%, Águilas Doradas 17%). The final result was Deportes Tolima 4–1 Águilas Doradas.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
5
8
Shots on target
1
2.51
Actual xG
1.01
0
Saves
4
68%
Possession
32%
2
Corners
3
9
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Y. Moreno
19'
E. Valencia
/ J. Mosquera
27'
27'
(pen.)
J. Rivaldo⚽
⚽L. Sandoval
43'
45'+2
H. Lopes
46'
J. E. Avalo Trejos
/
J. Rivaldo
⚽L. Sandoval
· ast. J. P. Torres Patino
49'
56'
J. Pineda
/
H. Lopes
56'
F. A. Suarez Chalare
/
A. Ricaurte
61'
B. Uruena
/
J. Roa
C. Arrieta
/ J. Gonzalez
62'
Y. Moreno
/ J. Mera
62'
L. Sandoval
63'
68'
D. Hernandez
⚽J. P. Torres Patino
· ast. L. Sandoval
70'
⚽L. Sandoval
· ast. J. P. Torres Patino
73'
74'
J. Varela
/
J. Obregon
B. Rovira
/ C. Trujillo
76'
J. P. Torres Patino
/ N. Sanchez
76'
Pre-match prediction
57.71%
Deportes ←
25.05%
X
17.24%
Águilas
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Deportes Tolima)
57.71%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.01
2.51
+0.5
0.78
1.01
+0.23
Deportes Tolima dominated by xG (2.51 vs 1.01).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
8
Ever Valencia
27'
D
Ever Valencia
27'
D
4
Daniel Pedrozo
D
Daniel Pedrozo
D
80
Brayan Rovira
76'
D
Brayan Rovira
76'
D
3
Jan Ángulo
D
Jan Ángulo
D
32
Sebastián Guzmán
M
Sebastián Guzmán
M
17
Cristian Arrieta
62'
M
Cristian Arrieta
62'
M
31
Yoimar Moreno
62'
M
Yoimar Moreno
62'
M
24
Adrián Parra
F
Adrián Parra
F
10
Juan Torres
1 ⚽
2 👟
76'
F
Juan Torres
1 ⚽
2 👟
76'
F
9
Luis Sandoval
3 ⚽
1 👟
F
Luis Sandoval
3 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
6
Cristian Trujillo
14'
M
Cristian Trujillo
14'
M
7
Jersson González
28'
F
Jersson González
28'
F
33
Jherson Mosquera
63'
D
Jherson Mosquera
63'
D
5
J. Mera
28'
D
12
G
5
D. Hernandez
D
2
J. Garcia
D
29
H. Lópes
56'
D
H. Lópes
56'
D
32
Javier Mena
M
Javier Mena
M
25
Juan Camilo Roa
61'
M
Juan Camilo Roa
61'
M
19
M
26
Dylan Lozano
M
Dylan Lozano
M
99
Jorge Obregón
74'
F
Jorge Obregón
74'
F
9
Jorge Rivaldo
1 ⚽
45'
F
Jorge Rivaldo
1 ⚽
45'
F
8
Andrés Ricaurte
56'
F
Andrés Ricaurte
56'
F
Bench
20
Alberto Higgins
D
10
B. Urueña
29'
M
B. Urueña
29'
M
15
Fabián Suárez
34'
F
16
Jaen Pineda
34'
M
3
Joaquin Varela
16'
D
Joaquin Varela
16'
D
24
Juan Ávalo
45'
M
Juan Ávalo
45'
M
Best on the pitch
Luis Sandoval
F · Deportes
10.00
3 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 33 pass
Juan Torres
F · Deportes
8.60
1 ⚽ 2 👟
3 shots
· 37 pass
Jorge Rivaldo
F · Águilas
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
Adrián Parra
F · Deportes
7.30
3 shots
· 37 pass
Sebastián Guzmán
M · Deportes
7.20
· 79 pass
Jherson Mosquera
D · Deportes
7.20
1 shots
· 30 pass
Deportes Tolima — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| Ever Valencia | D | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Pedrozo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Brayan Rovira | D | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| Jan Ángulo | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Guzmán | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 79 | 73% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Arrieta | M | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Yoimar Moreno | M | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Adrián Parra | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 37 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Torres | F | 76 | 8.60 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Sandoval | F | 90 | 10.00 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| Cristian Trujillo | M | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Jersson González | F | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Jherson Mosquera | D | 63 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | — | — | — |
| J. Mera | D | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 23% | — | — | — |
Águilas Doradas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| D. Hernandez | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 4 | 1 | — |
| J. Garcia | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Lópes | D | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Javier Mena | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Juan Camilo Roa | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 10% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 8% | 2 | — | — | |
| Dylan Lozano | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Obregón | F | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Jorge Rivaldo | F | 45 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Andrés Ricaurte | F | 56 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Urueña | M | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Fabián Suárez | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jaen Pineda | M | 34 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Joaquin Varela | D | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Juan Ávalo | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas?
The final score was Deportes Tolima 4–1 Águilas Doradas.
What did the model predict before Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Deportes Tolima win, 25% to a draw, and 17% to an Águilas Doradas win.