Deportes Tolima 4–1 Águilas Doradas — pre-match prediction — Liga BetPlay — April 01, 2026

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Liga BetPlay · Apertura - 15 April 01, 2026 03:00

Deportes Tolima

#3 · 16 pts

4 – 1

Final score

Águilas Doradas

#6 · 8 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Deportes Tolima

L. Sandoval 43'

L. Sandoval (ast. J. P. Torres Patino) 49'

J. P. Torres Patino (ast. L. Sandoval) 70'

L. Sandoval (ast. J. P. Torres Patino) 73'

(pen.) 27' J. Rivaldo

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportes Tolima a 57% win probability (draw 25%, Águilas Doradas 17%). The final result was Deportes Tolima 4–1 Águilas Doradas.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.51

Actual xG

1.01

Saves

68%

Possession

32%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

Y. Moreno

19'

↕ E. Valencia / J. Mosquera

27'

(pen.) J. Rivaldo⚽

⚽L. Sandoval

43'

45'+2

H. Lopes

46'

J. E. Avalo Trejos / J. Rivaldo ↕

⚽L. Sandoval · ast. J. P. Torres Patino

49'

56'

J. Pineda / H. Lopes ↕

56'

F. A. Suarez Chalare / A. Ricaurte ↕

61'

B. Uruena / J. Roa ↕

↕ C. Arrieta / J. Gonzalez

62'

↕ Y. Moreno / J. Mera

62'

L. Sandoval

63'

68'

D. Hernandez

⚽J. P. Torres Patino · ast. L. Sandoval

70'

⚽L. Sandoval · ast. J. P. Torres Patino

73'

74'

J. Varela / J. Obregon ↕

↕ B. Rovira / C. Trujillo

76'

↕ J. P. Torres Patino / N. Sanchez

76'

Pre-match prediction

57.71%

Deportes ←

25.05%

17.24%

Águilas

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Deportes Tolima) 57.71% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Deportes

2.01

2.51

+0.5

Águilas

0.78

1.01

+0.23

Deportes Tolima dominated by xG (2.51 vs 1.01). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	America de Cali	8	20
2	Millonarios	10	16
3	Deportes Tolima	8	16
4	Atletico Nacional	6	15
5	Independiente Medellin	7	15
6	Bucaramanga	7	13
7	Santa Fe	8	13
8	Deportivo Cali	8	12
9	Internacional de Bogota	9	11
10	Llaneros	9	11
11	Águilas Doradas	7	10
12	Once Caldas	8	9
13	Cucuta	9	9
14	Fortaleza FC	9	8
15	Chico	7	8
16	Jaguares	8	7
17	Deportivo Pereira	7	6
18	Alianza Valledupar	8	5
19	Junior	7	3
20	Deportivo Pasto	8	2

Lineups

Deportes Tolima 4-3-3

G 6.30

E. Valencia 27' D 6.20

D. Pedrozo D 6.90

Brayan Rovira 76' D 6.20

J. Angulo D 6.70

S. Guzmán M 7.20

C. Arrieta 62' M 6.60

Yoimar Moreno 62' M 6.50

A. Parra F 7.30

J. Torres 1 ⚽ 2 👟 76' F 8.60

L. Sandoval 3 ⚽ 1 👟 F 10.00

Bench

C. Trujillo 14' M 6.60

J. González 28' F 6.70

J. Mosquera 63' D 7.20

Juan Mera 28' D 6.90

Águilas Doradas 3-4-3

G 6.60

D. Hernandez D 5.90

J. Garcia D 5.90

H. Lópes 56' D 6.20

J. Mena M 6.70

Juan Camilo Roa 61' M 6.30

M 6.50

Dylan Lozano M 6.00

Jorge Obregón 74' F 6.20

Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.50

A. Ricaurte 56' F 6.50

Bench

Alberto Higgins D

B. Urueña 29' M 6.30

F. Suárez 34' F 6.30

Jaen Pineda 34' M 6.20

J. Ávalo 45' M 6.20

J. Varela 16' D 6.60

Best on the pitch

L. Sandoval

F · Deportes

10.00

3 ⚽ 1 👟

4 shots · 33 pass

J. Torres

F · Deportes

8.60

1 ⚽ 2 👟

3 shots · 37 pass

Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto

F · Águilas

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 7 pass

A. Parra

F · Deportes

7.30

3 shots · 37 pass

J. Mosquera

D · Deportes

7.20

1 shots · 30 pass

S. Guzmán

M · Deportes

7.20

· 79 pass

Deportes Tolima — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	31	26%	—	—	—
E. Valencia	D	27	6.20	—	—	—	12	12%	—	—	—
D. Pedrozo	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	42	39%	1	—	—
Brayan Rovira	D	76	6.20	—	—	1	65	59%	2	—	—
J. Angulo	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	50	42%	—	—	—
S. Guzmán	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	79	73%	—	—	—
C. Arrieta	M	62	6.60	—	—	1	33	27%	—	—	—
Yoimar Moreno	M	62	6.50	—	—	—	14	13%	2	1	—
A. Parra	F	90	7.30	—	—	3	37	36%	1	—	—
J. Torres	F	76	8.60	1	2	3	37	30%	1	—	—
L. Sandoval	F	90	10.00	3	1	4	33	27%	—	1	—
C. Trujillo	M	14	6.60	—	—	—	17	15%	1	—	—
J. González	F	28	6.70	—	—	1	7	6%	1	—	—
J. Mosquera	D	63	7.20	—	—	1	30	26%	—	—	—
Juan Mera	D	28	6.90	—	—	—	24	23%	—	—	—

Águilas Doradas — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.60	—	—	—	17	10%	—	—	—
D. Hernandez	D	90	5.90	—	—	—	25	19%	4	1	—
J. Garcia	D	90	5.90	—	—	—	21	16%	1	—	—
H. Lópes	D	56	6.20	—	—	—	16	12%	1	1	—
J. Mena	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	26	20%	—	—	—
Juan Camilo Roa	M	61	6.30	—	—	—	18	10%	—	—	—
	M	90	6.50	—	—	1	17	8%	2	—	—
Dylan Lozano	M	90	6.00	—	—	—	16	13%	—	—	—
Jorge Obregón	F	74	6.20	—	—	1	14	11%	1	—	—
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto	F	45	7.50	1	—	1	7	7%	—	—	—
A. Ricaurte	F	56	6.50	—	—	—	22	15%	1	—	—
B. Urueña	M	29	6.30	—	—	—	5	5%	2	—	—
F. Suárez	F	34	6.30	—	—	1	2	2%	—	—	—
Jaen Pineda	M	34	6.20	—	—	—	12	10%	—	—	—
J. Ávalo	M	45	6.20	—	—	1	17	16%	—	—	—
J. Varela	D	16	6.60	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas?

The final score was Deportes Tolima 4–1 Águilas Doradas.

What did the model predict before Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas?

The model assigned 57% probability to a Deportes Tolima win, 25% to a draw, and 17% to an Águilas Doradas win.