Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 3
April 29, 2026 04:00
S. Guzman
59'
(pen.)
L. Sandoval
(ast. J. P. Torres Patino)
66'
J. Gonzalez
78'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportes Tolima a 38% win probability (draw 27%, Coquimbo Unido 33%). The final result was Deportes Tolima 3–0 Coquimbo Unido.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
4
2.13
Actual xG
0.26
5
Saves
1
69%
Possession
31%
1
Corners
4
8
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
18'
C. Zavala
C. Arrieta
18'
56'
G. Vadala
/
B. Chandia
⚽S. Guzman
(pen.)
59'
59'
M. Fernandez
⚽L. Sandoval
· ast. J. P. Torres Patino
66'
67'
L. Riveros
/
A. E. Azocar Machuca
67'
L. Pratto
/
N. Johansen
E. Lopez
/ C. Trujillo
70'
A. Parra Osorio
/ J. Gonzalez
70'
B. Rovira
/ Y. Osorio
70'
J. Angulo
/ S. P. Barbosa Gomez
75'
⚽J. Gonzalez
78'
K. Florez
/ E. Valencia
79'
79'
D. Glaby
/
A. Camargo
84'
G. Vadala
Pre-match prediction
38.87%
Deportes ←
27.56%
X
33.57%
Coquimbo
we assigned to the actual result (Deportes Tolima)
38.87%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.38
2.13
+0.75
1.32
0.26
-1.06
Deportes Tolima dominated by xG (2.13 vs 0.26).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
17
Cristian Arrieta
D
Cristian Arrieta
D
2
Anderson Angulo
D
Anderson Angulo
D
3
Jan Ángulo
75'
D
Jan Ángulo
75'
D
28
Edwar López
70'
D
Edwar López
70'
D
18
Kelvin Florez
79'
M
Kelvin Florez
79'
M
80
Brayan Rovira
70'
M
Brayan Rovira
70'
M
32
S. Guzmán
1 ⚽
M
S. Guzmán
1 ⚽
M
10
Juan Torres
1 👟
M
Juan Torres
1 👟
M
9
L. Sandoval
1 ⚽
F
L. Sandoval
1 ⚽
F
24
Adrián Parra
70'
F
Adrián Parra
70'
F
Bench
6
Cristian Trujillo
23'
M
8
Ever Valencia
14'
F
Ever Valencia
14'
F
11
Jader Valencia
F
Jader Valencia
F
7
J. González
1 ⚽
23'
F
J. González
1 ⚽
23'
F
20
J. Hernandez
D
33
Jherson Mosquera
D
Jherson Mosquera
D
15
Juan Pablo Nieto
M
Juan Pablo Nieto
M
30
Shean Barbosa
18'
D
Shean Barbosa
18'
D
31
Yoimar Moreno
M
Yoimar Moreno
M
71
Y. Osorio
23'
D
13
Diego Sánchez
G
16
D
3
M. Fernández
D
M. Fernández
D
2
Benjamín Gazzolo
D
17
F. Salinas
D
F. Salinas
D
7
Sebastián Galani
M
8
A. Camargo
79'
M
11
A. E. Azocar Machuca
67'
M
30
B. Chandia
56'
M
15
C. Zavala
M
C. Zavala
M
9
Nicolás Johansen
67'
F
Bench
5
D. Escobar
D
6
D. Glaby
14'
M
10
G. Vadala
37'
M
12
L. Pratto
26'
F
27
L. Riveros
26'
F
L. Riveros
26'
F
18
Pablo Rodríguez
M
14
Salvador Cordero
M
28
S. Cabrera
D
Best on the pitch
L. Sandoval
F · Deportes
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 44 pass
Kelvin Florez
M · Deportes
7.70
1 shots
· 18 pass
G · Deportes
7.30
· 41 pass
J. González
F · Deportes
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 2 pass
S. Guzmán
M · Deportes
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 66 pass
Juan Torres
M · Deportes
7.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 48 pass
Deportes Tolima — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 29% | — | — | — | |
| Cristian Arrieta | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Anderson Angulo | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 58 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Jan Ángulo | D | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 58% | — | — | — |
| Edwar López | D | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Kelvin Florez | M | 79 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Brayan Rovira | M | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Guzmán | M | 93 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 66 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Juan Torres | M | 93 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 48 | 41% | — | — | — |
| L. Sandoval | F | 93 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 44 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Adrián Parra | F | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Trujillo | M | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Ever Valencia | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. González | F | 23 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Shean Barbosa | D | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Osorio | D | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
Coquimbo Unido — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Sánchez | G | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 11% | — | — | — |
| D | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 9% | 1 | — | — | |
| M. Fernández | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 11% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Benjamín Gazzolo | D | 93 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Salinas | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastián Galani | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Camargo | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| A. E. Azocar Machuca | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Chandia | M | 56 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| C. Zavala | M | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Nicolás Johansen | F | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. Glaby | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Vadala | M | 37 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Pratto | F | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| L. Riveros | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido?
The final score was Deportes Tolima 3–0 Coquimbo Unido.
What did the model predict before Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Deportes Tolima win, 27% to a draw, and 33% to an Coquimbo Unido win.