Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 3
April 29, 2026 04:00
S. Guzman
59'
(pen.)
L. Sandoval
(ast. J. P. Torres Patino)
66'
J. Gonzalez
78'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportes Tolima a 38% win probability (draw 27%, Coquimbo Unido 33%). The final result was Deportes Tolima 3–0 Coquimbo Unido. In 1 previous meetings, Deportes Tolima have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Coquimbo Unido.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
4
2.13
Actual xG
0.26
5
Saves
1
69%
Possession
31%
1
Corners
4
8
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
18'
C. Zavala
C. Arrieta
18'
56'
G. Vadala
/
B. Chandia
⚽S. Guzman
(pen.)
59'
59'
M. Fernandez
⚽L. Sandoval
· ast. J. P. Torres Patino
66'
67'
L. Riveros
/
A. E. Azocar Machuca
67'
L. Pratto
/
N. Johansen
E. Lopez
/ C. Trujillo
70'
A. Parra Osorio
/ J. Gonzalez
70'
B. Rovira
/ Y. Osorio
70'
J. Angulo
/ S. P. Barbosa Gomez
75'
⚽J. Gonzalez
78'
K. Florez
/ E. Valencia
79'
79'
D. Glaby
/
A. Camargo
84'
G. Vadala
Pre-match prediction
38.87%
Deportes ←
27.56%
X
33.57%
Coquimbo
we assigned to the actual result (Deportes Tolima)
38.87%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.38
2.13
+0.75
1.32
0.26
-1.06
Deportes Tolima dominated by xG (2.13 vs 0.26).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
17
C. Arrieta
D
C. Arrieta
D
2
A. Angulo
D
A. Angulo
D
3
J. Angulo
75'
D
J. Angulo
75'
D
28
E. López
70'
D
E. López
70'
D
18
K. Flórez
79'
M
K. Flórez
79'
M
80
B. Rovira
70'
M
B. Rovira
70'
M
32
S. Guzmán
1 ⚽
M
S. Guzmán
1 ⚽
M
10
J. Torres
1 👟
M
J. Torres
1 👟
M
9
L. Sandoval
1 ⚽
F
L. Sandoval
1 ⚽
F
24
A. Parra
70'
F
A. Parra
70'
F
Bench
6
C. Trujillo
23'
M
C. Trujillo
23'
M
8
E. Valencia
14'
F
E. Valencia
14'
F
7
J. González
1 ⚽
23'
F
J. González
1 ⚽
23'
F
20
J. Hernández
D
J. Hernández
D
33
J. Mosquera
D
J. Mosquera
D
15
J. Nieto
M
J. Nieto
M
11
J. Valencia
F
J. Valencia
F
30
S. P. Barbosa Gomez
18'
D
S. P. Barbosa Gomez
18'
D
31
Yoimar Moreno
M
Yoimar Moreno
M
71
Yordan Osorio
23'
D
Yordan Osorio
23'
D
13
D. Sánchez
G
D. Sánchez
G
16
D
3
M. Fernández
D
M. Fernández
D
2
B. Gazzolo
D
B. Gazzolo
D
17
Francisco Salinas
D
Francisco Salinas
D
7
S. Galani
M
S. Galani
M
8
A. Camargo
79'
M
A. Camargo
79'
M
11
A. Azócar
67'
M
A. Azócar
67'
M
30
B. Chandía
56'
M
B. Chandía
56'
M
15
C. Zavala
M
C. Zavala
M
9
N. Johansen
67'
F
N. Johansen
67'
F
Bench
5
D. Escobar
D
D. Escobar
D
6
D. Glaby
14'
M
D. Glaby
14'
M
10
G. Vadalá
37'
M
G. Vadalá
37'
M
12
L. Pratto
26'
F
L. Pratto
26'
F
27
L. Riveros
26'
F
L. Riveros
26'
F
18
P. Rodriguez
M
P. Rodriguez
M
28
S. Cabrera
D
S. Cabrera
D
14
S. Cordero
M
S. Cordero
M
Best on the pitch
L. Sandoval
F · Deportes
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 44 pass
K. Flórez
M · Deportes
7.70
1 shots
· 18 pass
G · Deportes
7.30
· 41 pass
J. González
F · Deportes
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 2 pass
S. Guzmán
M · Deportes
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 66 pass
J. Torres
M · Deportes
7.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 48 pass
Deportes Tolima — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 29% | — | — | — | |
| C. Arrieta | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Angulo | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 58 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Angulo | D | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 58% | — | — | — |
| E. López | D | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | — | — | — |
| K. Flórez | M | 79 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Rovira | M | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Guzmán | M | 93 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 66 | 56% | — | — | — |
| J. Torres | M | 93 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 48 | 41% | — | — | — |
| L. Sandoval | F | 93 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 44 | 33% | — | — | — |
| A. Parra | F | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 6% | — | — | — |
| C. Trujillo | M | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Valencia | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. González | F | 23 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. P. Barbosa Gomez | D | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Yordan Osorio | D | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
Coquimbo Unido — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Sánchez | G | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 11% | — | — | — |
| D | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 9% | 1 | — | — | |
| M. Fernández | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 11% | 4 | 1 | — |
| B. Gazzolo | D | 93 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Francisco Salinas | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Galani | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Camargo | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Azócar | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Chandía | M | 56 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| C. Zavala | M | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Johansen | F | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. Glaby | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Vadalá | M | 37 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Pratto | F | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| L. Riveros | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido?
The final score was Deportes Tolima 3–0 Coquimbo Unido.
What did the model predict before Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Deportes Tolima win, 27% to a draw, and 33% to an Coquimbo Unido win.