Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 3
April 29, 2026 04:00
S. Guzman
59'
(pen.)
L. Sandoval
(ast. J. P. Torres Patino)
66'
J. Gonzalez
78'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportes Tolima a 38% win probability (draw 27%, Coquimbo Unido 33%). The final result was Deportes Tolima 3–0 Coquimbo Unido. In 1 previous meetings, Deportes Tolima have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Coquimbo Unido.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
4
2.13
Actual xG
0.26
5
Saves
1
69%
Possession
31%
1
Corners
4
8
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
18'
C. Zavala
C. Arrieta
18'
56'
G. Vadala
/
B. Chandia
⚽S. Guzman
(pen.)
59'
59'
M. Fernandez
⚽L. Sandoval
· ast. J. P. Torres Patino
66'
67'
L. Riveros
/
A. E. Azocar Machuca
67'
L. Pratto
/
N. Johansen
E. Lopez
/ C. Trujillo
70'
A. Parra Osorio
/ J. Gonzalez
70'
B. Rovira
/ Y. Osorio
70'
J. Angulo
/ S. P. Barbosa Gomez
75'
⚽J. Gonzalez
78'
K. Florez
/ E. Valencia
79'
79'
D. Glaby
/
A. Camargo
84'
G. Vadala
Pre-match prediction
38.87%
Deportes ←
27.56%
X
33.57%
Coquimbo
we assigned to the actual result (Deportes Tolima)
38.87%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.38
2.13
+0.75
1.32
0.26
-1.06
Deportes Tolima dominated by xG (2.13 vs 0.26).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
17
C. Arrieta
D
C. Arrieta
D
2
Anderson Angulo
D
Anderson Angulo
D
3
Jan Ángulo
75'
D
Jan Ángulo
75'
D
28
Edwar López
70'
D
Edwar López
70'
D
18
K. Flórez
79'
M
K. Flórez
79'
M
80
Brayan Rovira
70'
M
Brayan Rovira
70'
M
32
Sebastián Guzmán
1 ⚽
M
Sebastián Guzmán
1 ⚽
M
10
J. Torres
1 👟
M
J. Torres
1 👟
M
9
L. Sandoval
1 ⚽
F
L. Sandoval
1 ⚽
F
24
Adrián Parra
70'
F
Adrián Parra
70'
F
Bench
6
Cristian Trujillo
23'
M
Cristian Trujillo
23'
M
8
Ever Valencia
14'
F
Ever Valencia
14'
F
11
Jader Valencia
F
Jader Valencia
F
7
J. González
1 ⚽
23'
F
J. González
1 ⚽
23'
F
20
J. Hernández
D
J. Hernández
D
33
Jherson Mosquera
D
Jherson Mosquera
D
15
Juan Pablo Nieto
M
Juan Pablo Nieto
M
30
Shean Barbosa
18'
D
Shean Barbosa
18'
D
31
Yoimar Moreno
M
Yoimar Moreno
M
71
Yordan Osorio
23'
D
Yordan Osorio
23'
D
13
D. Sánchez
G
D. Sánchez
G
16
D
3
M. Fernández
D
M. Fernández
D
2
Benjamín Gazzolo
D
Benjamín Gazzolo
D
17
F. Salinas
D
F. Salinas
D
7
Sebastián Galani
M
Sebastián Galani
M
8
Alejandro Camargo
79'
M
Alejandro Camargo
79'
M
11
Alejandro Azócar
67'
M
Alejandro Azócar
67'
M
30
B. Chandía
56'
M
B. Chandía
56'
M
15
Cristián Zavala
M
Cristián Zavala
M
9
N. Johansen
67'
F
N. Johansen
67'
F
Bench
5
Dylan Escobar
D
Dylan Escobar
D
6
Dylan Glaby
14'
M
Dylan Glaby
14'
M
10
Guido Vadalá
37'
M
Guido Vadalá
37'
M
27
L. Riveros
26'
F
L. Riveros
26'
F
12
Lucas Pratto
26'
F
Lucas Pratto
26'
F
18
Pablo Rodríguez
M
Pablo Rodríguez
M
14
Salvador Cordero
M
Salvador Cordero
M
28
Sebastián Cabrera
D
Sebastián Cabrera
D
Best on the pitch
L. Sandoval
F · Deportes
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 44 pass
K. Flórez
M · Deportes
7.70
1 shots
· 18 pass
G · Deportes
7.30
· 41 pass
J. González
F · Deportes
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 2 pass
Sebastián Guzmán
M · Deportes
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 66 pass
J. Torres
M · Deportes
7.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 48 pass
Deportes Tolima — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 29% | — | — | — | |
| C. Arrieta | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Anderson Angulo | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 58 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Jan Ángulo | D | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 58% | — | — | — |
| Edwar López | D | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | — | — | — |
| K. Flórez | M | 79 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Brayan Rovira | M | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastián Guzmán | M | 93 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 66 | 56% | — | — | — |
| J. Torres | M | 93 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 48 | 41% | — | — | — |
| L. Sandoval | F | 93 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 44 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Adrián Parra | F | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Trujillo | M | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Ever Valencia | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. González | F | 23 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Shean Barbosa | D | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Yordan Osorio | D | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
Coquimbo Unido — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Sánchez | G | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 11% | — | — | — |
| D | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 9% | 1 | — | — | |
| M. Fernández | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 11% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Benjamín Gazzolo | D | 93 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Salinas | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastián Galani | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Alejandro Camargo | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Alejandro Azócar | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Chandía | M | 56 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Cristián Zavala | M | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Johansen | F | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Dylan Glaby | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Guido Vadalá | M | 37 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Riveros | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Pratto | F | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido?
The final score was Deportes Tolima 3–0 Coquimbo Unido.
What did the model predict before Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Deportes Tolima win, 27% to a draw, and 33% to an Coquimbo Unido win.