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Liga BetPlay · Apertura - 14 March 29, 2026 00:10
Deportes Tolima
#6 · 31 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Jaguares
#16 · 18 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Deportes Tolima

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportes Tolima a 58% win probability (draw 26%, Jaguares 15%). The final result was Deportes Tolima 3–1 Jaguares.

Match statistics
9
Shots on target
6
2.37
Actual xG
1.31
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
58.55%
Deportes ←
26.31%
X
15.14%
Jaguares
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Deportes Tolima) 58.55% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Deportes
1.81
2.37
+0.56
Jaguares
0.51
1.31
+0.8
Deportes Tolima dominated by xG (2.37 vs 1.31). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 19 40
2 Junior Junior 19 35
3 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 19 34
4 America de Cali America de Cali 19 33
5 Once Caldas Once Caldas 19 33
6 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 19 31
7 Santa Fe Santa Fe 19 29
8 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 19 28
9 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 19 27
10 Millonarios Millonarios 19 26
11 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 19 26
12 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 19 26
13 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 19 23
14 Llaneros Llaneros 19 22
15 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 19 22
16 Jaguares Jaguares 19 18
17 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 19 17
18 Chico Chico 19 17
19 Cucuta Cucuta 19 16
20 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 19 10
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares?
The final score was Deportes Tolima 3–1 Jaguares.
What did the model predict before Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Deportes Tolima win, 26% to a draw, and 15% to an Jaguares win.