✓Model correct — prediction Deportes Tolima
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportes Tolima a 58% win probability (draw 26%, Jaguares 15%). The final result was Deportes Tolima 3–1 Jaguares.
Match statistics
9
Shots on target
6
2.37
Actual xG
1.31
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
58.55%
Deportes ←
26.31%
X
15.14%
Jaguares
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Deportes Tolima)
58.55%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.81
2.37
+0.56
0.51
1.31
+0.8
Deportes Tolima dominated by xG (2.37 vs 1.31).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares?
The final score was Deportes Tolima 3–1 Jaguares.
What did the model predict before Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Deportes Tolima win, 26% to a draw, and 15% to an Jaguares win.