Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 1
April 09, 2026 00:00
Gabriel Brazão
60'
(og)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportivo Cuenca a 53% win probability (draw 24%, Santos 21%). The final result was Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 Santos.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
12
1
Shots on target
3
0.34
Actual xG
1.14
3
Saves
0
39%
Possession
61%
9
Corners
4
12
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Melvin Diaz
/ Bryan García
46'
46'
Benjamín Rollheiser
/
Moisés
⚽Gabriel Brazão
(og)
60'
64'
Thaciano
/
Rony
64'
Robinho Júnior
/
Christian Oliva
Patricio Boolsen
70'
David González
/ Jorge Ordóñez
72'
Nicolás Leguizamón
/ Germán Rivero
73'
Jeremy Chacon
/ Eddie Guevara
73'
73'
Álvaro Barreal
/
Lautaro Díaz
Mateo Maccari
/ Stalin Morocho
81'
81'
Zé Rafael
/
Rafael Gonzaga
Jorge Ordóñez
86'
86'
Lucas Veríssimo
Pre-match prediction
53.79%
Deportivo ←
24.61%
X
21.6%
Santos
we assigned to the actual result (Deportivo Cuenca)
53.79%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.24
0.34
-1.9
0.53
1.14
+0.61
Santos dominated by xG (1.14 vs 0.34).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Facundo Ferrero
G
Facundo Ferrero
G
37
D
6
Santiago Postel
D
Santiago Postel
D
28
P. Boolsen
D
P. Boolsen
D
14
Jeremy Chacon
73'
D
Jeremy Chacon
73'
D
30
Mateo Maccari
81'
M
Mateo Maccari
81'
M
19
Melvin Diaz
45'
M
Melvin Diaz
45'
M
49
David González
72'
M
David González
72'
M
8
Edison Vega
M
Edison Vega
M
7
L. Mancinelli
M
9
Nicolás Leguizamón
73'
F
Nicolás Leguizamón
73'
F
Bench
25
A. Lopez
D
20
Bryan García
45'
M
Bryan García
45'
M
23
Eddie Guevara
17'
D
Eddie Guevara
17'
D
11
G. Rivero
17'
F
G. Rivero
17'
F
43
J. Ordoñez
18'
F
J. Ordoñez
18'
F
18
Mateo Piedra
D
29
M. Klimowicz
F
M. Klimowicz
F
10
Romario Ibarra
M
21
Stalin Morocho
9'
D
Stalin Morocho
9'
D
77
Gabriel Brazao
1 ⚽
G
38
Rafael Gonzaga
81'
D
Rafael Gonzaga
81'
D
14
Luan Peres
D
4
Lucas Veríssimo
D
Lucas Veríssimo
D
48
Gustavo Henrique
D
15
Willian Arão
M
Willian Arão
M
21
Moisés
45'
M
Moisés
45'
M
28
Christian Oliva
64'
M
Christian Oliva
64'
M
49
Gabriel Bontempo
M
Gabriel Bontempo
M
19
Lautaro Díaz
73'
M
11
Rony
64'
F
Rony
64'
F
Bench
22
Álvaro Barreal
17'
M
Álvaro Barreal
17'
M
32
B. Rollheiser
45'
F
B. Rollheiser
45'
F
1
Diogenes
G
Diogenes
G
18
Igor Vinícius
D
Igor Vinícius
D
5
João Schmidt
M
João Schmidt
M
16
Thaciano
26'
M
2
Ze Ivaldo
D
Best on the pitch
Santiago Postel
D · Deportivo
8.20
· 30 pass
Willian Arão
M · Santos
7.50
· 82 pass
Luan Peres
D · Santos
7.50
· 53 pass
P. Boolsen
D · Deportivo
7.30
· 37 pass
Gustavo Henrique
D · Santos
7.20
· 44 pass
Facundo Ferrero
G · Deportivo
7.20
· 37 pass
Deportivo Cuenca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Facundo Ferrero | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 24% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | 3 | — | — | |
| Santiago Postel | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Boolsen | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| Jeremy Chacon | D | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Maccari | M | 81 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Melvin Diaz | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| David González | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Edison Vega | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Mancinelli | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Leguizamón | F | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Bryan García | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Eddie Guevara | D | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Rivero | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Ordoñez | F | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Stalin Morocho | D | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Santos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Brazao | G | 90 | 6.30 | 1 | — | — | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Gonzaga | D | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Luan Peres | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 53 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Veríssimo | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 50% | — | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 40% | 5 | — | — |
| Willian Arão | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 82 | 71% | 2 | — | — |
| Moisés | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Christian Oliva | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 47 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Lautaro Díaz | M | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Rony | F | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Barreal | M | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| B. Rollheiser | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Thaciano | M | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Santos?
The final score was Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 Santos.
What did the model predict before Deportivo Cuenca vs Santos?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Deportivo Cuenca win, 24% to a draw, and 21% to an Santos win.