Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 1
April 09, 2026 00:00
Gabriel Brazão
60'
(og)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportivo Cuenca a 53% win probability (draw 24%, Santos 21%). The final result was Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 Santos. In 1 previous meetings, Deportivo Cuenca have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Santos.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
12
1
Shots on target
3
0.34
Actual xG
1.14
3
Saves
0
39%
Possession
61%
9
Corners
4
12
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Melvin Diaz
/ Bryan García
46'
46'
Benjamín Rollheiser
/
Moisés
⚽Gabriel Brazão
(og)
60'
64'
Thaciano
/
Rony
64'
Robinho Júnior
/
Christian Oliva
Patricio Boolsen
70'
David González
/ Jorge Ordóñez
72'
Nicolás Leguizamón
/ Germán Rivero
73'
Jeremy Chacon
/ Eddie Guevara
73'
73'
Álvaro Barreal
/
Lautaro Díaz
Mateo Maccari
/ Stalin Morocho
81'
81'
Zé Rafael
/
Rafael Gonzaga
Jorge Ordóñez
86'
86'
Lucas Veríssimo
Pre-match prediction
53.79%
Deportivo ←
24.61%
X
21.6%
Santos
we assigned to the actual result (Deportivo Cuenca)
53.79%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.24
0.34
-1.9
0.53
1.14
+0.61
Santos dominated by xG (1.14 vs 0.34).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Facundo Ferrero
G
Facundo Ferrero
G
37
D
6
Santiago Postel
D
Santiago Postel
D
28
P. Boolsen
D
P. Boolsen
D
14
Jeremy Chacon
73'
D
Jeremy Chacon
73'
D
30
M. Maccari
81'
M
M. Maccari
81'
M
19
Melvin Diaz
45'
M
Melvin Diaz
45'
M
49
David González
72'
M
David González
72'
M
8
Edison Vega
M
Edison Vega
M
7
Lucas Eduardo Mancinelli
M
Lucas Eduardo Mancinelli
M
9
Nicolás Leguizamón
73'
F
Nicolás Leguizamón
73'
F
Bench
20
Bryan García
45'
M
Bryan García
45'
M
23
Eddie Guevara
17'
D
Eddie Guevara
17'
D
11
Germán Rivero
17'
F
Germán Rivero
17'
F
43
Jorge Ordóñez
18'
F
Jorge Ordóñez
18'
F
25
Marcos Andrés López
D
Marcos Andrés López
D
18
Mateo Piedra
D
Mateo Piedra
D
29
Matías Klimowicz
F
Matías Klimowicz
F
10
Romario Ibarra
M
Romario Ibarra
M
21
Stalin Morocho
9'
D
Stalin Morocho
9'
D
77
Gabriel Brazão
1 ⚽
G
Gabriel Brazão
1 ⚽
G
38
Rafael Gonzaga
81'
D
Rafael Gonzaga
81'
D
14
Luan Peres
D
Luan Peres
D
4
Lucas Veríssimo
D
Lucas Veríssimo
D
48
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
D
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
D
15
Willian Arão
M
Willian Arão
M
21
Moisés
45'
M
Moisés
45'
M
28
C. Oliva
64'
M
C. Oliva
64'
M
49
Gabriel Bontempo
M
Gabriel Bontempo
M
19
L. Díaz
73'
M
L. Díaz
73'
M
11
Rony
64'
F
Rony
64'
F
Bench
22
Á. Barreal
17'
M
Á. Barreal
17'
M
32
B. Rollheiser
45'
F
B. Rollheiser
45'
F
1
Diógenes
G
Diógenes
G
18
Igor Vinicius
D
Igor Vinicius
D
5
João Schmidt
M
João Schmidt
M
16
Thaciano
26'
M
Thaciano
26'
M
2
Zé Ivaldo
D
Zé Ivaldo
D
Best on the pitch
Santiago Postel
D · Deportivo
8.20
· 30 pass
Willian Arão
M · Santos
7.50
· 82 pass
Luan Peres
D · Santos
7.50
· 53 pass
P. Boolsen
D · Deportivo
7.30
· 37 pass
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
D · Santos
7.20
· 44 pass
Facundo Ferrero
G · Deportivo
7.20
· 37 pass
Deportivo Cuenca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Facundo Ferrero | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 24% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | 3 | — | — | |
| Santiago Postel | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Boolsen | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| Jeremy Chacon | D | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| M. Maccari | M | 81 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Melvin Diaz | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| David González | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Edison Vega | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Eduardo Mancinelli | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Leguizamón | F | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Bryan García | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Eddie Guevara | D | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Germán Rivero | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Ordóñez | F | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Stalin Morocho | D | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Santos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Brazão | G | 90 | 6.30 | 1 | — | — | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Gonzaga | D | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Luan Peres | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 53 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Veríssimo | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 50% | — | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Henrique Pereira | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 40% | 5 | — | — |
| Willian Arão | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 82 | 71% | 2 | — | — |
| Moisés | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| C. Oliva | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 47 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Díaz | M | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Rony | F | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Á. Barreal | M | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| B. Rollheiser | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Thaciano | M | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Santos?
The final score was Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 Santos.
What did the model predict before Deportivo Cuenca vs Santos?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Deportivo Cuenca win, 24% to a draw, and 21% to an Santos win.