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Liga BetPlay · Apertura - Quarter-finals May 14, 2026 01:00
Deportivo Pasto
#3 · 34 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Deportes Tolima
#6 · 31 pts
30' J. Gonzalez
90'+2 (ast. S. Guzman) J. P. Torres Patino

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportivo Pasto a 36% win probability (draw 29%, Deportes Tolima 33%). The final result was Deportivo Pasto 0–2 Deportes Tolima. In 2 previous meetings, Deportivo Pasto have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Deportes Tolima.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
11
1
Shots on target
4
0.44
Actual xG
1.12
2
Saves
1
50%
Possession
50%
9
Corners
2
11
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
7'
S. Guzman
J. Risueno
22'
30'
J. Gonzalez⚽
46'
J. P. Torres Patino / K. Florez ↕
46'
L. Sandoval / J. Valencia ↕
↕ J. Micolta Piedahita / M. Gil
46'
↕ M. Garavito / W. Morelo
57'
A. Estupinan
57'
69'
J. Nieto / B. Rovira ↕
70'
S. P. Barbosa Gomez / C. Arrieta ↕
↕ E. Velasco / H. Goyes
70'
76'
J. Mosquera / E. Lopez ↕
80'
J. Mosquera
90'+2
ast. S. Guzman · J. P. Torres Patino⚽
Pre-match prediction
36.85%
Deportivo
29.19%
X
33.96%
Deportes ←
we assigned to the actual result (Deportes Tolima) 33.96% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Deportivo
1.06
0.44
-0.62
Deportes
1.07
1.12
+0.05
Deportes Tolima dominated by xG (1.12 vs 0.44). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 19 40
2 Junior Junior 19 35
3 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 19 34
4 America de Cali America de Cali 19 33
5 Once Caldas Once Caldas 19 33
6 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 19 31
7 Santa Fe Santa Fe 19 29
8 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 19 28
9 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 19 27
10 Millonarios Millonarios 19 26
11 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 19 26
12 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 19 26
13 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 19 23
14 Llaneros Llaneros 19 22
15 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 19 22
16 Jaguares Jaguares 19 18
17 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 19 17
18 Chico Chico 19 17
19 Cucuta Cucuta 19 16
20 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 19 10
Lineups
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 4-2-3-1
1 Iago Herrerín Iago Herrerín G 6.00
21 Edwin Velasco Edwin Velasco 70' D 6.50
5 Nicolas Gil Uribe Nicolas Gil Uribe D 6.30
8 Enrique Serje Enrique Serje D 6.70
33 Mateo Garavito Mateo Garavito 57' D 6.30
23 Yeiler Góez Yeiler Góez M 6.30
10 Diego Chávez Diego Chávez M 6.60
11 Andrey Estupiñán Andrey Estupiñán 57' M 5.90
32 Matías Pisano Matías Pisano M 7.20
18 Joider Micolta Joider Micolta 45' M 6.20
29 Santiago Córdoba Santiago Córdoba F 6.30
Bench
13 Frank Martínez Frank Martínez M
12 Geovanni Banguera Geovanni Banguera G
15 Harrinson Mancilla Harrinson Mancilla M
27 Hervin Goyes Hervin Goyes 20' F 6.90
6 Johan Caicedo Johan Caicedo M
7 Jonathan Perlaza Jonathan Perlaza M
17 Jose Bernal Jose Bernal M
16 Mayer Gil Mayer Gil 45' M 6.70
19 Wilson Morelo Wilson Morelo 33' F 6.30
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 4-2-3-1
1 Neto Volpi Neto Volpi G 6.70
17 Cristian Arrieta Cristian Arrieta 70' D 6.90
2 Anderson Angulo Anderson Angulo D 7.70
3 Jan Ángulo Jan Ángulo D 7.20
28 Edwar López Edwar López 76' D 7.50
80 Brayan Rovira Brayan Rovira 69' M 6.90
32 S. Guzmán S. Guzmán 1 👟 M 7.90
18 Kelvin Florez Kelvin Florez 45' M 6.30
24 Adrián Parra Adrián Parra M 6.90
7 J. González J. González 1 ⚽ M 7.30
11 Jader Valencia Jader Valencia 45' F 6.90
Bench
4 Daniel Pedrozo Daniel Pedrozo D
33 Jherson Mosquera Jherson Mosquera 14' D 6.30
15 Juan Pablo Nieto Juan Pablo Nieto 21' M 6.70
10 Juan Torres Juan Torres 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.70
9 L. Sandoval L. Sandoval 45' F 6.60
22 Luis Marquinez Luis Marquinez G
19 Santiago Joven Santiago Joven F
30 Shean Barbosa Shean Barbosa 20' D 6.90
31 Yoimar Moreno Yoimar Moreno M
Best on the pitch
S. Guzmán
S. Guzmán
M · Deportes
7.90
1 👟
2 shots · 69 pass
Juan Torres
Juan Torres
M · Deportes
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 34 pass
Anderson Angulo
Anderson Angulo
D · Deportes
7.70
· 37 pass
Edwar López
Edwar López
D · Deportes
7.50
· 38 pass
J. González
J. González
M · Deportes
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 27 pass
Matías Pisano
Matías Pisano
M · Deportivo
7.20
· 48 pass
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Iago Herrerín G 90 6.00 — — — 26 22% — — —
Edwin Velasco D 70 6.50 — — — 27 25% 1 — —
Nicolas Gil Uribe D 90 6.30 — — — 40 36% — — —
Enrique Serje D 90 6.70 — — — 52 48% 1 — —
Mateo Garavito D 57 6.30 — — — 27 18% 1 — —
Yeiler Góez M 90 6.30 — — — 56 47% 3 — —
Diego Chávez M 90 6.60 — — 2 66 54% — — —
Andrey Estupiñán M 57 5.90 — — — 16 11% 1 — 1
Matías Pisano M 90 7.20 — — — 48 42% 1 — —
Joider Micolta M 45 6.20 — — — 12 9% — — —
Santiago Córdoba F 90 6.30 — — 1 17 13% — — —
Hervin Goyes F 20 6.90 — — — 8 8% 2 — —
Mayer Gil M 45 6.70 — — 4 8 7% 1 — —
Wilson Morelo F 33 6.30 — — — 6 6% — — —
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Neto Volpi G 90 6.70 — — — 31 16% — — —
Cristian Arrieta D 70 6.90 — — — 21 19% 2 — —
Anderson Angulo D 90 7.70 — — — 37 32% 1 — —
Jan Ángulo D 90 7.20 — — — 24 21% 1 — —
Edwar López D 76 7.50 — — — 38 31% 4 — —
Brayan Rovira M 69 6.90 — — — 38 33% — — —
S. Guzmán M 90 7.90 — 1 2 69 64% — 1 —
Kelvin Florez M 45 6.30 — — 1 11 10% — — —
Adrián Parra M 90 6.90 — — 1 39 33% 2 — —
J. González M 90 7.30 1 — 3 27 22% — — —
Jader Valencia F 45 6.90 — — 2 5 3% 1 — —
Jherson Mosquera D 14 6.30 — — — 11 8% — 1 —
Juan Pablo Nieto M 21 6.70 — — — 22 21% — — —
Juan Torres M 45 7.70 1 — 1 34 30% 1 — —
L. Sandoval F 45 6.60 — — 1 27 21% — — —
Shean Barbosa D 20 6.90 — — — 10 10% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima?
The final score was Deportivo Pasto 0–2 Deportes Tolima.
What did the model predict before Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Deportivo Pasto win, 29% to a draw, and 33% to an Deportes Tolima win.