Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - Quarter-finals
May 14, 2026 01:00
30'
J. Gonzalez
90'+2
(ast. S. Guzman)
J. P. Torres Patino
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportivo Pasto a 36% win probability (draw 29%, Deportes Tolima 33%). The final result was Deportivo Pasto 0–2 Deportes Tolima. In 3 previous meetings, Deportivo Pasto have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Deportes Tolima.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
11
1
Shots on target
4
0.44
Actual xG
1.12
2
Saves
1
50%
Possession
50%
9
Corners
2
11
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
7'
S. Guzman
J. Risueno
22'
30'
J. Gonzalez⚽
46'
J. P. Torres Patino
/
K. Florez
46'
L. Sandoval
/
J. Valencia
J. Micolta Piedahita
/ M. Gil
46'
M. Garavito
/ W. Morelo
57'
A. Estupinan
57'
69'
J. Nieto
/
B. Rovira
70'
S. P. Barbosa Gomez
/
C. Arrieta
E. Velasco
/ H. Goyes
70'
76'
J. Mosquera
/
E. Lopez
80'
J. Mosquera
90'+2
ast. S. Guzman ·
J. P. Torres Patino⚽
Pre-match prediction
36.85%
Deportivo
29.19%
X
33.96%
Deportes ←
we assigned to the actual result (Deportes Tolima)
33.96%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.06
0.44
-0.62
1.07
1.12
+0.05
Deportes Tolima dominated by xG (1.12 vs 0.44).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Iago Herrerín
G
Iago Herrerín
G
21
Edwin Velasco
70'
D
Edwin Velasco
70'
D
5
Nicolas Gil Uribe
D
Nicolas Gil Uribe
D
8
Enrique Serje
D
Enrique Serje
D
33
Mateo Garavito
57'
D
Mateo Garavito
57'
D
23
Yeiler Góez
M
Yeiler Góez
M
10
D. Chávez
M
D. Chávez
M
11
Andrey Estupiñán
57'
M
Andrey Estupiñán
57'
M
32
Matías Pisano
M
Matías Pisano
M
18
Joider Micolta
45'
M
Joider Micolta
45'
M
29
Santiago Córdoba
F
Santiago Córdoba
F
Bench
13
F. Martinez
M
F. Martinez
M
12
Geovanni Banguera
G
Geovanni Banguera
G
15
Harrinson Mancilla
M
Harrinson Mancilla
M
27
Hervin Goyes
20'
F
Hervin Goyes
20'
F
6
J. Caicedo
M
J. Caicedo
M
7
Jonathan Perlaza
M
Jonathan Perlaza
M
17
Jose Bernal
M
Jose Bernal
M
16
Mayer Gil
45'
M
Mayer Gil
45'
M
19
Wilson Morelo
33'
F
Wilson Morelo
33'
F
1
Neto Volpi
G
Neto Volpi
G
17
C. Arrieta
70'
D
C. Arrieta
70'
D
2
A. Angulo
D
A. Angulo
D
3
Jan Ángulo
D
Jan Ángulo
D
28
Edwar López
76'
D
Edwar López
76'
D
80
Brayan Rovira
69'
M
Brayan Rovira
69'
M
32
S. Guzmán
1 👟
M
S. Guzmán
1 👟
M
18
K. Flórez
45'
M
K. Flórez
45'
M
24
Adrián Parra
M
Adrián Parra
M
7
J. González
1 ⚽
M
J. González
1 ⚽
M
11
Jader Valencia
45'
F
Jader Valencia
45'
F
Bench
4
D. Pedrozo
D
D. Pedrozo
D
33
Jherson Mosquera
14'
D
Jherson Mosquera
14'
D
10
J. Torres
1 ⚽
45'
M
J. Torres
1 ⚽
45'
M
15
Juan Pablo Nieto
21'
M
Juan Pablo Nieto
21'
M
22
Luis Marquinez
G
Luis Marquinez
G
9
Luis Sandoval
45'
F
Luis Sandoval
45'
F
19
Santiago Joven
F
Santiago Joven
F
30
Shean Barbosa
20'
D
Shean Barbosa
20'
D
31
Yoimar Moreno
M
Yoimar Moreno
M
Best on the pitch
S. Guzmán
M · Deportes
7.90
1 👟
2 shots
· 69 pass
J. Torres
M · Deportes
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 34 pass
A. Angulo
D · Deportes
7.70
· 37 pass
Edwar López
D · Deportes
7.50
· 38 pass
J. González
M · Deportes
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 27 pass
Matías Pisano
M · Deportivo
7.20
· 48 pass
Deportivo Pasto — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iago Herrerín | G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Edwin Velasco | D | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolas Gil Uribe | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Enrique Serje | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 52 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateo Garavito | D | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Yeiler Góez | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Chávez | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 66 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Andrey Estupiñán | M | 57 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Matías Pisano | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Joider Micolta | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Córdoba | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Hervin Goyes | F | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Mayer Gil | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 4 | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Wilson Morelo | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
Deportes Tolima — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neto Volpi | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 16% | — | — | — |
| C. Arrieta | D | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Angulo | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Jan Ángulo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Edwar López | D | 76 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| Brayan Rovira | M | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | — | — | — |
| S. Guzmán | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 69 | 64% | — | 1 | — |
| K. Flórez | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Adrián Parra | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| J. González | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Jader Valencia | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Jherson Mosquera | D | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Torres | M | 45 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Pablo Nieto | M | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Luis Sandoval | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Shean Barbosa | D | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima?
The final score was Deportivo Pasto 0–2 Deportes Tolima.
What did the model predict before Deportivo Pasto vs Deportes Tolima?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Deportivo Pasto win, 29% to a draw, and 33% to an Deportes Tolima win.