← Copa Sudamericana
#3 · 4 pts
0 – 3
Final score
#2 · 7 pts
(pen.) 30' Carlos Vinicius
59' (ast. Gabriel Mec) F. Amuzu
73' (ast. C. Pavon) M. Braithwaite

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gremio a 31% win probability (draw 41%, Deportivo Riestra 26%). The final result was Deportivo Riestra 0–3 Gremio. In 1 previous meetings, Deportivo Riestra have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Gremio.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
1
Shots on target
5
0.80
Actual xG
1.66
2
Saves
1
40%
Possession
60%
6
Corners
3
13
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
8'
Wagner Leonardo
25'
Fabian Balbuena / Wagner Leonardo
30'
(pen.) Carlos Vinicius
43'
Viery
N. Watson / B. Perez
46'
A. Stringa / P. Ramirez
46'
G. Flores / J. Herrera
46'
46'
E. Noriega / L. Perez
59'
ast. Gabriel Mec · F. Amuzu
64'
Tiago / Willian
65'
M. Braithwaite / F. Amuzu
C. Paz
66'
A. Diaz / M. Smarra
66'
F. Mino
72'
73'
ast. C. Pavon · M. Braithwaite
75'
Caio Paulista / Pedro Gabriel
F. Mino / N. Sansotre
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
26.74%
Deportivo
41.7%
X
31.56%
Gremio ←
we assigned to the actual result (Gremio) 31.56% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Deportivo
0.48
0.80
+0.32
Gremio
0.60
1.66
+1.07
Gremio dominated by xG (1.66 vs 0.80). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 4 9
1 Cienciano Cienciano 4 7
1 Botafogo Botafogo 4 10
1 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 4 7
1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 4 8
1 River Plate River Plate 4 10
1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 4 6
1 Macara Macara 4 8
2 Gremio Gremio 4 7
2 Olimpia Olimpia 4 7
2 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 4 6
2 America de Cali America de Cali 4 7
2 Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello 4 6
2 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 4 5
2 O'Higgins O'Higgins 4 7
2 Caracas FC Caracas FC 4 8
3 Racing Club Racing Club 4 4
3 Juventud Juventud 4 5
3 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 4 4
3 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 4 4
3 Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 4 6
3 Tigre Tigre 4 5
3 A. Italiano A. Italiano 4 4
3 Millonarios Millonarios 4 7
4 Barracas Central Barracas Central 4 3
4 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 4 1
4 Santos Santos 4 3
4 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 4 4
4 Boston River Boston River 4 0
4 Blooming Blooming 4 1
4 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 4 0
4 Palestino Palestino 4 2
Lineups
1
G 5.60
36
M. Bracamonte D 5.30
19 J. Randazzo J. Randazzo D 5.90
22
C. Paz D 6.50
24
Facundo Miño 89' D 6.20
35
Ángel Stringa 45' D 5.90
27
Jonathan Goitia M 6.50
16
Nicolas Watson 45' M 6.30
14
P. Monje M 6.20
32
G. Flores 45' M 6.30
10
A. Diaz 66' F 6.20
Bench
7
A. Alonso F
40
Gabriel Obredor M
9
J. Herrera 45' F 6.30
31
Mauro Smarra 24' M 6.30
5
Pedro Ramírez 45' D 6.70
28
Rodrigo Sayavedra F
Gremio Gremio 3-4-3
1
G 6.90
44 Viery Viery D 7.30
3 Wagner Leonardo Wagner Leonardo 25' D 6.50
6 Gustavo Martins Gustavo Martins D 7.20
54 Pedro Gabriel Pedro Gabriel 75' M 6.60
10 Willian Willian 64' M 6.70
33 Leonel Pérez Leonel Pérez 45' M 6.90
7 Cristian Pavón Cristian Pavón 1 👟 M 7.30
9 F. Amuzu F. Amuzu 1 ⚽ 65' F 7.90
95 Carlos Vinícius Carlos Vinícius 1 ⚽ F 6.90
37 Gabriel Mec Gabriel Mec 1 👟 F 8.20
Bench
38 Caio Paulista Caio Paulista 15' D 6.60
19 Erick Noriega Erick Noriega 45' M 6.60
2 Fabián Balbuena Fabián Balbuena 65' D 7.20
99 José Enamorado José Enamorado F
14 Marcos Rocha Marcos Rocha D
22 Martin Braithwaite Martin Braithwaite 1 ⚽ 25' F 7.50
65
Riquelme M
21 Tetê Tetê F
4 Walter Kannemann Walter Kannemann D
Best on the pitch
Gabriel Mec
Gabriel Mec
F · Gremio
8.20
1 👟
2 shots · 23 pass
F. Amuzu
F. Amuzu
F · Gremio
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 18 pass
Martin Braithwaite
Martin Braithwaite
F · Gremio
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
Cristian Pavón
Cristian Pavón
M · Gremio
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 45 pass
Viery
Viery
D · Gremio
7.30
· 53 pass
Fabián Balbuena
Fabián Balbuena
D · Gremio
7.20
1 shots · 27 pass
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.60 27 10%
M. Bracamonte D 90 5.30 3 20 12%
J. Randazzo D 90 5.90 21 13%
C. Paz D 90 6.50 14 6% 3 1
Facundo Miño D 89 6.20 1 10 5% 4 1
Ángel Stringa D 45 5.90 11 3% 1
Jonathan Goitia M 90 6.50 1 18 10% 2
Nicolas Watson M 45 6.30 2 18 14%
P. Monje M 90 6.20 34 20%
G. Flores M 45 6.30 8 4%
A. Diaz F 66 6.20 2 15 13%
J. Herrera F 45 6.30 9 4%
Mauro Smarra M 24 6.30 4 3% 2
Pedro Ramírez D 45 6.70 15 13% 1
Gremio Gremio — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 30 10%
Viery D 90 7.30 53 30% 3 1
Wagner Leonardo D 25 6.50 13 12% 1
Gustavo Martins D 90 7.20 37 32% 2
Pedro Gabriel M 75 6.60 15 10%
Willian M 64 6.70 23 17% 1
Leonel Pérez M 45 6.90 14 10% 2
Cristian Pavón M 90 7.30 1 1 45 40% 1
F. Amuzu F 65 7.90 1 3 18 12%
Carlos Vinícius F 90 6.90 1 2 13 11% 1
Gabriel Mec F 90 8.20 1 2 23 20% 1
Caio Paulista D 15 6.60 9 7% 2
Erick Noriega M 45 6.60 32 26%
Fabián Balbuena D 65 7.20 1 27 18% 2
Martin Braithwaite F 25 7.50 1 1 7 6%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo Riestra vs Gremio?
The final score was Deportivo Riestra 0–3 Gremio.
What did the model predict before Deportivo Riestra vs Gremio?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Deportivo Riestra win, 41% to a draw, and 31% to an Gremio win.