Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 4
May 06, 2026 00:00
(pen.)
30'
Carlos Vinicius
59'
(ast. Gabriel Mec)
F. Amuzu
73'
(ast. C. Pavon)
M. Braithwaite
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gremio a 31% win probability (draw 41%, Deportivo Riestra 26%). The final result was Deportivo Riestra 0–3 Gremio. In 1 previous meetings, Deportivo Riestra have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Gremio.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
1
Shots on target
5
0.80
Actual xG
1.66
2
Saves
1
40%
Possession
60%
6
Corners
3
13
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
8'
Wagner Leonardo
25'
Fabian Balbuena
/
Wagner Leonardo
30'
(pen.)
Carlos Vinicius⚽
43'
Viery
N. Watson
/ B. Perez
46'
A. Stringa
/ P. Ramirez
46'
G. Flores
/ J. Herrera
46'
46'
E. Noriega
/
L. Perez
59'
ast. Gabriel Mec ·
F. Amuzu⚽
64'
Tiago
/
Willian
65'
M. Braithwaite
/
F. Amuzu
C. Paz
66'
A. Diaz
/ M. Smarra
66'
F. Mino
72'
73'
ast. C. Pavon ·
M. Braithwaite⚽
75'
Caio Paulista
/
Pedro Gabriel
F. Mino
/ N. Sansotre
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
26.74%
Deportivo
41.7%
X
31.56%
Gremio ←
we assigned to the actual result (Gremio)
31.56%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.48
0.80
+0.32
0.60
1.66
+1.07
Gremio dominated by xG (1.66 vs 0.80).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
36
Mariano Bracamonte
D
Mariano Bracamonte
D
19
J. Randazzo
D
J. Randazzo
D
22
Cristian Paz
D
Cristian Paz
D
24
Facundo Miño
89'
D
Facundo Miño
89'
D
35
Ángel Stringa
45'
D
Ángel Stringa
45'
D
27
J. Goitía
M
J. Goitía
M
16
Nicolas Watson
45'
M
Nicolas Watson
45'
M
14
Pablo Monje
M
Pablo Monje
M
32
Gonzalo Flores
45'
M
Gonzalo Flores
45'
M
10
Alexander Díaz
66'
F
Alexander Díaz
66'
F
Bench
7
Antony Alonso
F
Antony Alonso
F
40
Gabriel Obredor
M
Gabriel Obredor
M
9
Jonathan Herrera
45'
F
Jonathan Herrera
45'
F
31
Mauro Smarra
24'
M
Mauro Smarra
24'
M
5
Pedro Ramírez
45'
D
Pedro Ramírez
45'
D
28
Rodrigo Sayavedra
F
Rodrigo Sayavedra
F
1
G
44
Viery
D
Viery
D
3
Wagner Leonardo
25'
D
Wagner Leonardo
25'
D
6
Gustavo Martins
D
Gustavo Martins
D
54
Pedro Gabriel
75'
M
Pedro Gabriel
75'
M
10
Willian
64'
M
Willian
64'
M
33
Leonel Pérez
45'
M
Leonel Pérez
45'
M
7
Cristian Pavón
1 👟
M
Cristian Pavón
1 👟
M
9
F. Amuzu
1 ⚽
65'
F
F. Amuzu
1 ⚽
65'
F
95
Carlos Vinícius
1 ⚽
F
Carlos Vinícius
1 ⚽
F
37
Gabriel Mec
1 👟
F
Gabriel Mec
1 👟
F
Bench
38
Caio Paulista
15'
D
Caio Paulista
15'
D
19
Erick Noriega
45'
M
Erick Noriega
45'
M
2
F. Balbuena
65'
D
F. Balbuena
65'
D
99
José Enamorado
F
José Enamorado
F
14
Marcos Rocha
D
Marcos Rocha
D
22
Martin Braithwaite
1 ⚽
25'
F
Martin Braithwaite
1 ⚽
25'
F
65
Riquelme Freitas
M
Riquelme Freitas
M
21
Tetê
F
Tetê
F
4
Walter Kannemann
D
Walter Kannemann
D
Best on the pitch
Gabriel Mec
F · Gremio
8.20
1 👟
2 shots
· 23 pass
F. Amuzu
F · Gremio
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 18 pass
Martin Braithwaite
F · Gremio
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
Cristian Pavón
M · Gremio
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 45 pass
Viery
D · Gremio
7.30
· 53 pass
F. Balbuena
D · Gremio
7.20
1 shots
· 27 pass
Deportivo Riestra — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| Mariano Bracamonte | D | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Randazzo | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Paz | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 6% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Facundo Miño | D | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 5% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Ángel Stringa | D | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Goitía | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Nicolas Watson | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Pablo Monje | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Flores | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Alexander Díaz | F | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Herrera | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Mauro Smarra | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Ramírez | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
Gremio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| Viery | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 30% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Wagner Leonardo | D | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Martins | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Gabriel | M | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Willian | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Leonel Pérez | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Cristian Pavón | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 45 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Amuzu | F | 65 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Vinícius | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Mec | F | 90 | 8.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Caio Paulista | D | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Erick Noriega | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | — | — | — |
| F. Balbuena | D | 65 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Martin Braithwaite | F | 25 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo Riestra vs Gremio?
The final score was Deportivo Riestra 0–3 Gremio.
What did the model predict before Deportivo Riestra vs Gremio?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Deportivo Riestra win, 41% to a draw, and 31% to an Gremio win.