Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 4
May 06, 2026 00:00
(pen.)
30'
Carlos Vinicius
59'
(ast. Gabriel Mec)
F. Amuzu
73'
(ast. C. Pavon)
M. Braithwaite
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gremio a 31% win probability (draw 41%, Deportivo Riestra 26%). The final result was Deportivo Riestra 0–3 Gremio. In 1 previous meetings, Deportivo Riestra have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Gremio.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
1
Shots on target
5
0.80
Actual xG
1.66
2
Saves
1
40%
Possession
60%
6
Corners
3
13
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
8'
Wagner Leonardo
25'
Fabian Balbuena
/
Wagner Leonardo
30'
(pen.)
Carlos Vinicius⚽
43'
Viery
N. Watson
/ B. Perez
46'
A. Stringa
/ P. Ramirez
46'
G. Flores
/ J. Herrera
46'
46'
E. Noriega
/
L. Perez
59'
ast. Gabriel Mec ·
F. Amuzu⚽
64'
Tiago
/
Willian
65'
M. Braithwaite
/
F. Amuzu
C. Paz
66'
A. Diaz
/ M. Smarra
66'
F. Mino
72'
73'
ast. C. Pavon ·
M. Braithwaite⚽
75'
Caio Paulista
/
Pedro Gabriel
F. Mino
/ N. Sansotre
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
26.74%
Deportivo
41.7%
X
31.56%
Gremio ←
we assigned to the actual result (Gremio)
31.56%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.48
0.80
+0.32
0.60
1.66
+1.07
Gremio dominated by xG (1.66 vs 0.80).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
36
M. Bracamonte
D
M. Bracamonte
D
19
J. Randazzo
D
J. Randazzo
D
22
C. Paz
D
C. Paz
D
24
F. Miño
89'
D
F. Miño
89'
D
35
Á. Stringa
45'
D
Á. Stringa
45'
D
27
J. Goitía
M
J. Goitía
M
16
N. Watson
45'
M
N. Watson
45'
M
14
P. Monje
M
P. Monje
M
32
Gonzalo Flores
45'
M
Gonzalo Flores
45'
M
10
A. Díaz
66'
F
A. Díaz
66'
F
Bench
7
Antony Daniel Alonso Espinoza
F
Antony Daniel Alonso Espinoza
F
40
G. Obredor
M
G. Obredor
M
9
J. Herrera
45'
F
J. Herrera
45'
F
31
Mauro Smarra
24'
M
Mauro Smarra
24'
M
5
P. Ramírez
45'
D
P. Ramírez
45'
D
28
Rodrigo Sayavedra
F
Rodrigo Sayavedra
F
1
G
44
Viery
D
Viery
D
3
Wagner Leonardo
25'
D
Wagner Leonardo
25'
D
6
Gustavo Martins
D
Gustavo Martins
D
54
Pedro Gabriel
75'
M
Pedro Gabriel
75'
M
10
Willian
64'
M
Willian
64'
M
33
L. Pérez
45'
M
L. Pérez
45'
M
7
C. Pavón
1 👟
M
C. Pavón
1 👟
M
9
F. Amuzu
1 ⚽
65'
F
F. Amuzu
1 ⚽
65'
F
95
Carlos Vinícius
1 ⚽
F
Carlos Vinícius
1 ⚽
F
37
Gabriel Mec
1 👟
F
Gabriel Mec
1 👟
F
Bench
38
Caio Paulista
15'
D
Caio Paulista
15'
D
19
E. Noriega
45'
M
E. Noriega
45'
M
2
F. Balbuena
65'
D
F. Balbuena
65'
D
99
J. Enamorado
F
J. Enamorado
F
14
Marcos Rocha
D
Marcos Rocha
D
22
M. Braithwaite
1 ⚽
25'
F
M. Braithwaite
1 ⚽
25'
F
65
Riquelme Freitas
M
Riquelme Freitas
M
21
Tetê
F
Tetê
F
4
W. Kannemann
D
W. Kannemann
D
Best on the pitch
Gabriel Mec
F · Gremio
8.20
1 👟
2 shots
· 23 pass
F. Amuzu
F · Gremio
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 18 pass
M. Braithwaite
F · Gremio
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
C. Pavón
M · Gremio
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 45 pass
Viery
D · Gremio
7.30
· 53 pass
F. Balbuena
D · Gremio
7.20
1 shots
· 27 pass
Deportivo Riestra — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| M. Bracamonte | D | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Randazzo | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| C. Paz | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 6% | 3 | 1 | — |
| F. Miño | D | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 5% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Á. Stringa | D | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Goitía | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Watson | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| P. Monje | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Flores | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Díaz | F | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. Herrera | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Mauro Smarra | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Ramírez | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
Gremio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| Viery | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 30% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Wagner Leonardo | D | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Martins | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Gabriel | M | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Willian | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Pérez | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Pavón | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 45 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Amuzu | F | 65 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Vinícius | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Mec | F | 90 | 8.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Caio Paulista | D | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Noriega | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | — | — | — |
| F. Balbuena | D | 65 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Braithwaite | F | 25 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo Riestra vs Gremio?
The final score was Deportivo Riestra 0–3 Gremio.
What did the model predict before Deportivo Riestra vs Gremio?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Deportivo Riestra win, 41% to a draw, and 31% to an Gremio win.