HNL
· Regular Season - 30
April 18, 2026 18:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Dinamo Zagreb, result Pareggio
D. Beljo
(ast. M. Bakrar)
5'
D. Beljo
86'
(pen.)
(pen.)
51'
T. Dantas
(pen.)
71'
T. Dantas
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dinamo Zagreb a 77% win probability (draw 12%, HNK Rijeka 9%). The final result was Dinamo Zagreb 2–2 HNK Rijeka. In 3 previous meetings, Dinamo Zagreb have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for HNK Rijeka.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
4
1.54
Actual xG
1.77
2
Saves
0
55%
Possession
45%
7
Corners
7
13
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽D. Beljo
· ast. M. Bakrar
5'
16'
B. Pavic
/
A. Husic
G. Vidovic
/ A. Hoxha
23'
S. McKenna
/ M. Valincic
46'
50'
T. Dantas
51'
(pen.)
T. Dantas⚽
57'
A. Orec
59'
D. Cop
/
M. Ndockyt
M. Valincic
64'
M. Zajc
/ M. Soldo
71'
M. Bakrar
/ M. Lisica
71'
71'
(pen.)
T. Dantas⚽
73'
B. Goda
/ M. Perez Vinlof
76'
84'
A. Orec
84'
A. Orec
85'
S. Radeljic
⚽D. Beljo
(pen.)
86'
88'
N. Bodetic
/
D. Adu Adjei
Pre-match prediction
77.76%
Dinamo
12.45%
X ←
9.79%
HNK
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
12.45%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.38
1.54
-1.84
0.96
1.77
+0.81
xG dominance was balanced (1.54 – 1.77).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
40
G
3
B. Goda
76'
D
26
S. McKenna
45'
D
36
S. Dominguez
D
15
N. Galesic
D
8
M. Zajc
71'
M
M. Zajc
71'
M
27
J. Mišić
M
J. Mišić
M
7
L. Stojković
M
L. Stojković
M
10
G. Vidović
23'
F
G. Vidović
23'
F
9
D. Beljo
2 ⚽
F
D. Beljo
2 ⚽
F
71
M. Bakrar
1 👟
71'
F
M. Bakrar
1 👟
71'
F
Bench
11
A. Hoxha
73'
F
A. Hoxha
73'
F
21
M. Lisica
25'
F
M. Lisica
25'
F
22
M. Perez Vinlof
20'
D
14
M. Soldo
25'
M
25
M. Valincic
51'
D
13
G
24
D. Legbo
D
6
S. Radeljić
D
S. Radeljić
D
45
A. Majstorović
D
A. Majstorović
D
22
Ante Oreč
84'
D
51
A. Husic
16'
M
26
Tiago Dantas
2 ⚽
M
Tiago Dantas
2 ⚽
M
23
J. Lasickas
M
14
A. Gojak
M
20
M. Ndockyt
59'
M
18
D. Adu-Adjei
88'
F
D. Adu-Adjei
88'
F
Bench
9
D. Cop
37'
F
Best on the pitch
Tiago Dantas
M · HNK
8.00
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 30 pass
D. Beljo
F · Dinamo
7.70
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 9 pass
A. Hoxha
F · Dinamo
7.30
2 shots
· 8 pass
D. Cop
F · HNK
7.20
· 3 pass
D. Adu-Adjei
F · HNK
7.20
· 2 pass
J. Mišić
M · Dinamo
7.20
1 shots
· 34 pass
Dinamo Zagreb — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| B. Goda | D | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 5 | — | — |
| S. McKenna | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 33% | — | — | — |
| S. Dominguez | D | 96 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 61 | 57% | — | — | — |
| N. Galesic | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 55 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Zajc | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Mišić | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Stojković | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | — | — | — |
| G. Vidović | F | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| D. Beljo | F | 96 | 7.70 | 2 | — | 3 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Bakrar | F | 71 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Hoxha | F | 73 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| M. Lisica | F | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| M. Perez Vinlof | D | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Soldo | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Valincic | D | 51 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
HNK Rijeka — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| D. Legbo | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Radeljić | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 50 | 44% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Majstorović | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 55 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Ante Oreč | D | 84 | 5.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| A. Husic | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Tiago Dantas | M | 96 | 8.00 | 2 | — | 2 | 30 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Lasickas | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Gojak | M | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ndockyt | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| D. Adu-Adjei | F | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Cop | F | 37 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka?
The final score was Dinamo Zagreb 2–2 HNK Rijeka.
What did the model predict before Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka?
The model assigned 77% probability to a Dinamo Zagreb win, 12% to a draw, and 9% to an HNK Rijeka win.