✗Model wrong — prediction Dinamo Zagreb, result Draw
D. Beljo
(ast. M. Bakrar)
5'
D. Beljo
86'
(pen.)
(pen.)
51'
T. Dantas
(pen.)
71'
T. Dantas
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dinamo Zagreb a 77% win probability (draw 12%, HNK Rijeka 9%). The final result was Dinamo Zagreb 2–2 HNK Rijeka. In 3 previous meetings, Dinamo Zagreb have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for HNK Rijeka.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
4
1.54
Actual xG
1.77
2
Saves
0
55%
Possession
45%
7
Corners
7
13
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽D. Beljo
· ast. M. Bakrar
5'
16'
B. Pavic
/
A. Husic
G. Vidovic
/ A. Hoxha
23'
S. McKenna
/ M. Valincic
46'
50'
T. Dantas
51'
(pen.)
T. Dantas⚽
57'
A. Orec
59'
D. Cop
/
M. Ndockyt
M. Valincic
64'
M. Zajc
/ M. Soldo
71'
M. Bakrar
/ M. Lisica
71'
71'
(pen.)
T. Dantas⚽
73'
B. Goda
/ M. Perez Vinlof
76'
84'
A. Orec
84'
A. Orec
85'
S. Radeljic
⚽D. Beljo
(pen.)
86'
88'
N. Bodetic
/
D. Adu Adjei
Pre-match prediction
77.76%
Dinamo
12.45%
X ←
9.79%
HNK
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
12.45%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.38
1.54
-1.84
0.96
1.77
+0.81
xG dominance was balanced (1.54 – 1.77).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
40
G
3
Bruno Goda
76'
D
Bruno Goda
76'
D
26
Scott McKenna
45'
D
Scott McKenna
45'
D
36
Sergi Domínguez
D
Sergi Domínguez
D
15
Niko Galešić
D
Niko Galešić
D
8
Miha Zajc
71'
M
Miha Zajc
71'
M
27
Josip Mišić
M
Josip Mišić
M
7
L. Stojković
M
L. Stojković
M
10
Gabriel Vidović
23'
F
Gabriel Vidović
23'
F
9
Dion Drena Beljo
2 ⚽
F
Dion Drena Beljo
2 ⚽
F
71
Monsef Bakrar
1 👟
71'
F
Monsef Bakrar
1 👟
71'
F
Bench
11
Arber Hoxha
73'
F
Arber Hoxha
73'
F
21
Mateo Lisica
25'
F
Mateo Lisica
25'
F
22
Matteo Pérez Vinlöf
20'
D
Matteo Pérez Vinlöf
20'
D
25
Moris Valinčić
51'
D
Moris Valinčić
51'
D
14
M. Soldo
25'
M
M. Soldo
25'
M
13
G
24
Christian Ouguehi Legbo
D
Christian Ouguehi Legbo
D
6
Stjepan Radeljić
D
Stjepan Radeljić
D
45
Ante Majstorović
D
22
Ante Oreč
84'
D
51
Anel Husić
16'
M
26
Tiago Dantas
2 ⚽
M
23
Justas Lasickas
M
14
Amer Gojak
M
20
Merveille Ndockyt
59'
M
Merveille Ndockyt
59'
M
18
Daniel Adu-Adjei
88'
F
Bench
9
Duje Čop
37'
F
Duje Čop
37'
F
Best on the pitch
Tiago Dantas
M · HNK
8.00
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 30 pass
Dion Drena Beljo
F · Dinamo
7.70
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 9 pass
Arber Hoxha
F · Dinamo
7.30
2 shots
· 8 pass
Duje Čop
F · HNK
7.20
· 3 pass
Daniel Adu-Adjei
F · HNK
7.20
· 2 pass
Josip Mišić
M · Dinamo
7.20
1 shots
· 34 pass
Dinamo Zagreb — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Bruno Goda | D | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 5 | — | — |
| Scott McKenna | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Sergi Domínguez | D | 96 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 61 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Niko Galešić | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 55 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Miha Zajc | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Josip Mišić | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Stojković | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Vidović | F | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Dion Drena Beljo | F | 96 | 7.70 | 2 | — | 3 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Monsef Bakrar | F | 71 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Arber Hoxha | F | 73 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Lisica | F | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Matteo Pérez Vinlöf | D | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Moris Valinčić | D | 51 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Soldo | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
HNK Rijeka — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Christian Ouguehi Legbo | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Stjepan Radeljić | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 50 | 44% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ante Majstorović | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 55 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Ante Oreč | D | 84 | 5.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Anel Husić | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Tiago Dantas | M | 96 | 8.00 | 2 | — | 2 | 30 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Justas Lasickas | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Amer Gojak | M | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Merveille Ndockyt | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Adu-Adjei | F | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Duje Čop | F | 37 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka?
The final score was Dinamo Zagreb 2–2 HNK Rijeka.
What did the model predict before Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka?
The model assigned 77% probability to a Dinamo Zagreb win, 12% to a draw, and 9% to an HNK Rijeka win.