League One
· Regular Season - 45
April 25, 2026 13:30
B. Sharp
(ast. H. Adelakun)
69'
9'
M. Phillips
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Doncaster a 35% win probability (draw 36%, Stevenage 28%). The final result was Doncaster 1–1 Stevenage. In 1 previous meetings, Doncaster have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Stevenage.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
4
3
Saves
2
63%
Possession
37%
4
Corners
3
7
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
9'
M. Phillips⚽
J. McGrath
45'+3
S. Grehan
/ H. Adelakun
46'
E. Lee
/ B. Sharp
46'
T. Nixon
/ J. Sterry
46'
60'
S. Earley
67'
D. Butler
/
S. Earley
⚽B. Sharp
· ast. H. Adelakun
69'
J. Senior
72'
76'
B. Lubala
/
M. Phillips
76'
J. Houghton
/
L. Thompson
D. Robinson
/ B. McCann
77'
Pre-match prediction
35.4%
Doncaster
36.23%
X ←
28.37%
Stevenage
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
36.23%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.81
—
—
0.67
—
—
Lineups
29
T. Lo-Tutala
G
6
Jay McGrath
D
5
Matthew Pearson
D
27
S. Grehan
45'
D
23
J. Senior
M
20
D. Robinson
77'
M
4
O. Bailey
M
O. Bailey
M
8
G. Broadbent
M
16
T. Nixon
45'
M
18
E. Lee
45'
F
9
B. Hanlan
F
Bench
14
B. Sharp
1 ⚽
45'
F
47
H. Adelakun
1 👟
45'
F
15
H. Clifton
M
2
J. Sterry
45'
D
1
G
14
Saxon Earley
67'
D
Saxon Earley
67'
D
5
C. Piergianni
D
C. Piergianni
D
15
C. Goode
D
C. Goode
D
17
Jasper Pattenden
D
Jasper Pattenden
D
11
Jordan Roberts
M
Jordan Roberts
M
18
H. White
M
H. White
M
23
Louis Thompson
76'
M
Louis Thompson
76'
M
10
Daniel Kemp
M
Daniel Kemp
M
19
J. Reid
F
J. Reid
F
25
Matt Phillips
1 ⚽
76'
F
Matt Phillips
1 ⚽
76'
F
Bench
6
Dan Sweeney
D
Dan Sweeney
D
Best on the pitch
C. Goode
D · Stevenage
7.70
1 shots
· 16 pass
C. Piergianni
D · Stevenage
7.70
1 shots
· 35 pass
H. Adelakun
F · Doncaster
7.60
1 👟
· 10 pass
T. Lo-Tutala
G · Doncaster
7.30
· 24 pass
Matt Phillips
F · Stevenage
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
J. Senior
M · Doncaster
7.30
1 shots
· 35 pass
Doncaster — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lo-Tutala | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Jay McGrath | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 38% | — | 1 | — |
| Matthew Pearson | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 45% | — | — | — |
| S. Grehan | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 21% | — | — | — |
| J. Senior | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Robinson | M | 77 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 38% | — | — | — |
| O. Bailey | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Broadbent | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Nixon | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Lee | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| B. Hanlan | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Sharp | F | 45 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| H. Adelakun | F | 45 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Sterry | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
Stevenage — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 5% | — | — | — | |
| Saxon Earley | D | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 3 | 1 | — |
| C. Piergianni | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 19% | — | — | — |
| C. Goode | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Jasper Pattenden | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Jordan Roberts | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| H. White | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Louis Thompson | M | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Kemp | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Reid | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Matt Phillips | F | 76 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Doncaster vs Stevenage?
The final score was Doncaster 1–1 Stevenage.
What did the model predict before Doncaster vs Stevenage?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Doncaster win, 36% to a draw, and 28% to an Stevenage win.