League One
· Regular Season - 45
April 25, 2026 13:30
B. Sharp
(ast. H. Adelakun)
69'
9'
M. Phillips
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Doncaster a 35% win probability (draw 36%, Stevenage 28%). The final result was Doncaster 1–1 Stevenage. In 2 previous meetings, Doncaster have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Stevenage.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
4
3
Saves
2
63%
Possession
37%
4
Corners
3
7
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
9'
M. Phillips⚽
J. McGrath
45'+3
S. Grehan
/ H. Adelakun
46'
E. Lee
/ B. Sharp
46'
T. Nixon
/ J. Sterry
46'
60'
S. Earley
67'
D. Butler
/
S. Earley
⚽B. Sharp
· ast. H. Adelakun
69'
J. Senior
72'
76'
B. Lubala
/
M. Phillips
76'
J. Houghton
/
L. Thompson
D. Robinson
/ B. McCann
77'
Pre-match prediction
35.4%
Doncaster
36.23%
X ←
28.37%
Stevenage
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
36.23%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.81
—
—
0.67
—
—
Lineups
29
Thimothee Lo-Tutala
G
Thimothee Lo-Tutala
G
6
J. McGrath
D
J. McGrath
D
5
M. Pearson
D
M. Pearson
D
27
S. Grehan
45'
D
S. Grehan
45'
D
23
J. Senior
M
J. Senior
M
20
D. Robinson
77'
M
D. Robinson
77'
M
4
O. Bailey
M
O. Bailey
M
8
G. Broadbent
M
G. Broadbent
M
16
T. Nixon
45'
M
18
E. Lee
45'
F
9
B. Hanlan
F
B. Hanlan
F
Bench
14
B. Sharp
1 ⚽
45'
F
47
H. Adelakun
1 👟
45'
F
H. Adelakun
1 👟
45'
F
15
H. Clifton
M
H. Clifton
M
2
Jamie Sterry
45'
D
Jamie Sterry
45'
D
1
G
14
S. Earley
67'
D
S. Earley
67'
D
5
C. Piergianni
D
C. Piergianni
D
15
C. Goode
D
C. Goode
D
17
Jasper Pattenden
D
Jasper Pattenden
D
11
J. Roberts
M
J. Roberts
M
18
H. White
M
H. White
M
23
L. Thompson
76'
M
L. Thompson
76'
M
10
D. Kemp
M
D. Kemp
M
19
J. Reid
F
J. Reid
F
25
Matt Phillips
1 ⚽
76'
F
Matt Phillips
1 ⚽
76'
F
Bench
6
D. Sweeney
D
D. Sweeney
D
Best on the pitch
C. Goode
D · Stevenage
7.70
1 shots
· 16 pass
C. Piergianni
D · Stevenage
7.70
1 shots
· 35 pass
H. Adelakun
F · Doncaster
7.60
1 👟
· 10 pass
Thimothee Lo-Tutala
G · Doncaster
7.30
· 24 pass
Matt Phillips
F · Stevenage
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
J. Senior
M · Doncaster
7.30
1 shots
· 35 pass
Doncaster — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thimothee Lo-Tutala | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. McGrath | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 38% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Pearson | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 45% | — | — | — |
| S. Grehan | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 21% | — | — | — |
| J. Senior | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Robinson | M | 77 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 38% | — | — | — |
| O. Bailey | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Broadbent | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Nixon | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Lee | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| B. Hanlan | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Sharp | F | 45 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| H. Adelakun | F | 45 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Jamie Sterry | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
Stevenage — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 5% | — | — | — | |
| S. Earley | D | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 3 | 1 | — |
| C. Piergianni | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 19% | — | — | — |
| C. Goode | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Jasper Pattenden | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Roberts | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| H. White | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | — | — | — |
| L. Thompson | M | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 10% | — | — | — |
| D. Kemp | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Reid | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Matt Phillips | F | 76 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Doncaster vs Stevenage?
The final score was Doncaster 1–1 Stevenage.
What did the model predict before Doncaster vs Stevenage?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Doncaster win, 36% to a draw, and 28% to an Stevenage win.