Premier Division
· Regular Season - 11
April 10, 2026 22:45
✗Model wrong — prediction Dundalk, result Pareggio
T. Wilson
(ast. D. McDaid)
35'
R. Teahan
(ast. T. Wilson)
79'
14'
(ast. B. Doherty)
J. Clarke
45'+1
(ast. B. Doherty)
D. Akinyemi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundalk a 57% win probability (draw 23%, Derry City 19%). The final result was Dundalk 2–2 Derry City. In 1 previous meetings, Dundalk have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Derry City.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
5
10
Shots on target
3
0
Saves
6
66%
Possession
34%
6
Corners
0
16
Tackles
28
2
🟨 Yellow cards
7
Match Events
14'
ast. B. Doherty ·
J. Clarke⚽
⚽T. Wilson
· ast. D. McDaid
35'
37'
A. O'Reilly
45'+1
ast. B. Doherty ·
D. Akinyemi⚽
B. Burns
45'
53'
C. Winchester
55'
C. Dummigan
/
R. Slevin
K. Buckley
/ R. Teahan
60'
H. Groome
/ S. Tracey
60'
B. Burns
/ A. Dervin
60'
61'
J. Olayinka
/
J. Clarke
61'
J. McClean
/
A. O'Reilly
62'
E. Beach
64'
B. Doherty
70'
D. Akinyemi
73'
K. Santos
/
D. Akinyemi
73'
J. Thomas
/
B. Cotter
75'
J. Stott
H. Warren
76'
⚽R. Teahan
· ast. T. Wilson
79'
83'
J. Thomas
A. Dervin
90'+2
90'+2
J. McClean
90'+5
J. McClean
90'+5
J. McClean
Pre-match prediction
57.45%
Dundalk
23.5%
X ←
19.05%
Derry
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.5%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.33
—
—
0.69
—
—
Lineups
1
G
22
T. Wilson
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
5
H. Warren
D
4
M. Animasahun
D
31
John Ross Wilson
D
3
B. Burns
60'
M
8
H. Groome
60'
M
16
E. Kenny
M
E. Kenny
M
18
K. Buckley
60'
M
K. Buckley
60'
M
27
D. McDaid
1 👟
M
D. McDaid
1 👟
M
9
G. Arubi
F
G. Arubi
F
Bench
6
A. Dervin
32'
M
A. Dervin
32'
M
19
S. Spaight
D
17
S. Tracey
32'
M
11
Y. Acheampong
1 ⚽
32'
M
13
E. Beach
G
6
Robert Slevin
55'
D
4
J. Stott
D
22
C. Barr
D
19
B. Fleming
M
20
Carl Winchester
M
8
A. O'Reilly
61'
M
2
Barry Cotter
73'
M
14
B. Doherty
2 👟
F
15
James Clarke
1 ⚽
61'
F
9
D. Akinyemi
1 ⚽
73'
F
D. Akinyemi
1 ⚽
73'
F
Bench
23
C. Dummigan
37'
D
10
D. Markey
M
D. Markey
M
28
James Olayinka
31'
M
16
J. McClean
31'
D
J. McClean
31'
D
17
Josh Thomas
19'
F
21
K. Santos
19'
M
Best on the pitch
E. Beach
G · Derry
9.00
· 28 pass
T. Wilson
D · Dundalk
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 70 pass
Y. Acheampong
M · Dundalk
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
James Clarke
F · Derry
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
Barry Cotter
M · Derry
7.30
· 15 pass
B. Doherty
F · Derry
7.20
2 👟
1 shots
· 23 pass
Dundalk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| T. Wilson | D | 92 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 70 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Warren | D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 54% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Animasahun | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| John Ross Wilson | D | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 39% | — | — | — |
| B. Burns | M | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 23% | 3 | 1 | — |
| H. Groome | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| E. Kenny | M | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Buckley | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| D. McDaid | M | 92 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 22 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Arubi | F | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Dervin | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Tracey | M | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Acheampong | M | 32 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Derry City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Beach | G | 92 | 9.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| Robert Slevin | D | 55 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. Stott | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 12% | 3 | 1 | — |
| C. Barr | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Fleming | M | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Carl Winchester | M | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | 5 | 1 | — |
| A. O'Reilly | M | 61 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Barry Cotter | M | 73 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 6 | — | — |
| B. Doherty | F | 92 | 7.20 | — | 2 | 1 | 23 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| James Clarke | F | 61 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Akinyemi | F | 73 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Dummigan | D | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| James Olayinka | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. McClean | D | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
| Josh Thomas | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Santos | M | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dundalk vs Derry City?
The final score was Dundalk 2–2 Derry City.
What did the model predict before Dundalk vs Derry City?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Dundalk win, 23% to a draw, and 19% to an Derry City win.