✗Model wrong — prediction Dundalk, result Draw
T. Wilson
(ast. D. McDaid)
35'
R. Teahan
(ast. T. Wilson)
79'
14'
(ast. B. Doherty)
J. Clarke
45'+1
(ast. B. Doherty)
D. Akinyemi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundalk a 57% win probability (draw 23%, Derry City 19%). The final result was Dundalk 2–2 Derry City. In 2 previous meetings, Dundalk have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Derry City.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
5
10
Shots on target
3
0
Saves
6
66%
Possession
34%
6
Corners
0
16
Tackles
28
2
🟨 Yellow cards
7
Match Events
14'
ast. B. Doherty ·
J. Clarke⚽
⚽T. Wilson
· ast. D. McDaid
35'
37'
A. O'Reilly
45'+1
ast. B. Doherty ·
D. Akinyemi⚽
B. Burns
45'
53'
C. Winchester
55'
C. Dummigan
/
R. Slevin
K. Buckley
/ R. Teahan
60'
H. Groome
/ S. Tracey
60'
B. Burns
/ A. Dervin
60'
61'
J. Olayinka
/
J. Clarke
61'
J. McClean
/
A. O'Reilly
62'
E. Beach
64'
B. Doherty
70'
D. Akinyemi
73'
K. Santos
/
D. Akinyemi
73'
J. Thomas
/
B. Cotter
75'
J. Stott
H. Warren
76'
⚽R. Teahan
· ast. T. Wilson
79'
83'
J. Thomas
A. Dervin
90'+2
90'+2
J. McClean
90'+5
J. McClean
90'+5
J. McClean
Pre-match prediction
57.45%
Dundalk
23.5%
X ←
19.05%
Derry
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.5%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.33
—
—
0.69
—
—
Lineups
1
G
22
Tyreke Wilson
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
Tyreke Wilson
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
5
H. Warren
D
H. Warren
D
4
M. Animasahun
D
M. Animasahun
D
31
T. Wilson
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
T. Wilson
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
3
B. Burns
60'
M
B. Burns
60'
M
8
H. Groome
60'
M
H. Groome
60'
M
16
E. Kenny
M
E. Kenny
M
18
K. Buckley
60'
M
K. Buckley
60'
M
27
D. McDaid
1 👟
M
D. McDaid
1 👟
M
9
G. Arubi
F
G. Arubi
F
Bench
6
A. Dervin
32'
M
A. Dervin
32'
M
19
Sean Spaight
D
Sean Spaight
D
17
S. Tracey
32'
M
S. Tracey
32'
M
11
Y. Acheampong
1 ⚽
32'
M
13
E. Beach
G
E. Beach
G
6
R. Slevin
55'
D
4
J. Stott
D
J. Stott
D
22
C. Barr
D
C. Barr
D
19
B. Fleming
M
B. Fleming
M
20
Carl Winchester
M
8
A. O'Reilly
61'
M
A. O'Reilly
61'
M
2
B. Cotter
73'
M
14
B. Doherty
2 👟
F
15
J. Clarke
1 ⚽
61'
F
J. Clarke
1 ⚽
61'
F
9
Afolabi Akinyemi
1 ⚽
73'
F
Afolabi Akinyemi
1 ⚽
73'
F
Bench
23
C. Dummigan
37'
D
C. Dummigan
37'
D
10
D. Markey
M
D. Markey
M
16
J. McClean
31'
D
J. McClean
31'
D
28
J. Olayinka
31'
M
J. Olayinka
31'
M
17
Joshua Thomas
19'
F
Joshua Thomas
19'
F
21
Kévin Santos
19'
M
Kévin Santos
19'
M
Best on the pitch
E. Beach
G · Derry
9.00
· 28 pass
Tyreke Wilson
D · Dundalk
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 70 pass
Y. Acheampong
M · Dundalk
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
J. Clarke
F · Derry
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
B. Cotter
M · Derry
7.30
· 15 pass
B. Doherty
F · Derry
7.20
2 👟
1 shots
· 23 pass
Dundalk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Tyreke Wilson | D | 92 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 70 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Warren | D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 54% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Animasahun | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Wilson | D | 92 | 7.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 55 | 39% | — | — | — |
| B. Burns | M | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 23% | 3 | 1 | — |
| H. Groome | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| E. Kenny | M | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Buckley | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| D. McDaid | M | 92 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 22 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Arubi | F | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Dervin | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Tracey | M | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Acheampong | M | 32 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Derry City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Beach | G | 92 | 9.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Slevin | D | 55 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. Stott | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 12% | 3 | 1 | — |
| C. Barr | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Fleming | M | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Carl Winchester | M | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | 5 | 1 | — |
| A. O'Reilly | M | 61 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Cotter | M | 73 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 6 | — | — |
| B. Doherty | F | 92 | 7.20 | — | 2 | 1 | 23 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Clarke | F | 61 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Afolabi Akinyemi | F | 73 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Dummigan | D | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| J. McClean | D | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Olayinka | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Joshua Thomas | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kévin Santos | M | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dundalk vs Derry City?
The final score was Dundalk 2–2 Derry City.
What did the model predict before Dundalk vs Derry City?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Dundalk win, 23% to a draw, and 19% to an Derry City win.