✗Model wrong — prediction Dundalk, result Draw
T. Wilson
(ast. D. McDaid)
35'
R. Teahan
(ast. T. Wilson)
79'
14'
(ast. B. Doherty)
J. Clarke
45'+1
(ast. B. Doherty)
D. Akinyemi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundalk a 57% win probability (draw 23%, Derry City 19%). The final result was Dundalk 2–2 Derry City. In 2 previous meetings, Dundalk have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Derry City.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
5
10
Shots on target
3
0
Saves
6
66%
Possession
34%
6
Corners
0
16
Tackles
28
2
🟨 Yellow cards
7
Match Events
14'
ast. B. Doherty ·
J. Clarke⚽
⚽T. Wilson
· ast. D. McDaid
35'
37'
A. O'Reilly
45'+1
ast. B. Doherty ·
D. Akinyemi⚽
B. Burns
45'
53'
C. Winchester
55'
C. Dummigan
/
R. Slevin
K. Buckley
/ R. Teahan
60'
H. Groome
/ S. Tracey
60'
B. Burns
/ A. Dervin
60'
61'
J. Olayinka
/
J. Clarke
61'
J. McClean
/
A. O'Reilly
62'
E. Beach
64'
B. Doherty
70'
D. Akinyemi
73'
K. Santos
/
D. Akinyemi
73'
J. Thomas
/
B. Cotter
75'
J. Stott
H. Warren
76'
⚽R. Teahan
· ast. T. Wilson
79'
83'
J. Thomas
A. Dervin
90'+2
90'+2
J. McClean
90'+5
J. McClean
90'+5
J. McClean
Pre-match prediction
57.45%
Dundalk
23.5%
X ←
19.05%
Derry
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.5%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.33
—
—
0.69
—
—
Lineups
1
G
22
Tyreke Wilson
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
Tyreke Wilson
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
5
Harvey Warren
D
Harvey Warren
D
4
Mayowa Animasahun
D
Mayowa Animasahun
D
31
T. Wilson
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
T. Wilson
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
3
Bobby Burns
60'
M
Bobby Burns
60'
M
8
Harry Groome
60'
M
Harry Groome
60'
M
16
Eoin Kenny
M
Eoin Kenny
M
18
Keith Buckley
60'
M
Keith Buckley
60'
M
27
Declan McDaid
1 👟
M
Declan McDaid
1 👟
M
9
G. Arubi
F
G. Arubi
F
Bench
6
Aodh Dervin
32'
M
Aodh Dervin
32'
M
11
Ronan Teahan
1 ⚽
32'
M
Ronan Teahan
1 ⚽
32'
M
19
Sean Spaight
D
Sean Spaight
D
17
Shane Tracey
32'
M
Shane Tracey
32'
M
13
Eddie Beach
G
Eddie Beach
G
6
Robert Slevin
55'
D
Robert Slevin
55'
D
4
Jamie Stott
D
Jamie Stott
D
22
Conor Barr
D
Conor Barr
D
19
B. Fleming
M
B. Fleming
M
20
Carl Winchester
M
8
Adam O'Reilly
61'
M
Adam O'Reilly
61'
M
2
Barry Cotter
73'
M
Barry Cotter
73'
M
14
Ben Doherty
2 👟
F
15
James Clarke
1 ⚽
61'
F
James Clarke
1 ⚽
61'
F
9
Afolabi Akinyemi
1 ⚽
73'
F
Afolabi Akinyemi
1 ⚽
73'
F
Bench
23
Cameron Dummigan
37'
D
Cameron Dummigan
37'
D
10
D. Markey
M
D. Markey
M
28
James Olayinka
31'
M
James Olayinka
31'
M
16
J. McClean
31'
D
J. McClean
31'
D
17
Josh Thomas
19'
F
Josh Thomas
19'
F
21
Kévin Santos
19'
M
Best on the pitch
Eddie Beach
G · Derry
9.00
· 28 pass
Tyreke Wilson
D · Dundalk
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 70 pass
Ronan Teahan
M · Dundalk
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
James Clarke
F · Derry
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
Barry Cotter
M · Derry
7.30
· 15 pass
Ben Doherty
F · Derry
7.20
2 👟
1 shots
· 23 pass
Dundalk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Tyreke Wilson | D | 92 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 70 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Harvey Warren | D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 54% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Mayowa Animasahun | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Wilson | D | 92 | 7.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 55 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Bobby Burns | M | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 23% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Harry Groome | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Eoin Kenny | M | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Keith Buckley | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Declan McDaid | M | 92 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 22 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Arubi | F | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Aodh Dervin | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Ronan Teahan | M | 32 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Shane Tracey | M | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
Derry City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Beach | G | 92 | 9.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| Robert Slevin | D | 55 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Jamie Stott | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 12% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Conor Barr | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Fleming | M | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Carl Winchester | M | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Adam O'Reilly | M | 61 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Barry Cotter | M | 73 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 6 | — | — |
| Ben Doherty | F | 92 | 7.20 | — | 2 | 1 | 23 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| James Clarke | F | 61 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Afolabi Akinyemi | F | 73 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Cameron Dummigan | D | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| James Olayinka | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. McClean | D | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
| Josh Thomas | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kévin Santos | M | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dundalk vs Derry City?
The final score was Dundalk 2–2 Derry City.
What did the model predict before Dundalk vs Derry City?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Dundalk win, 23% to a draw, and 19% to an Derry City win.