Dundalk - Shamrock Rovers
Premier Division
May 15, 2026 21:00
Weather at kick-off
☁️
Overcast
10.1°C
💨 9 km/h
· Dundalk
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.25%
Win
Dundalk
23.88%
Draw
40.87%
Win
Shamrock Rovers
1.89
2.0
Expected xG
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Shamrock Rovers a 40% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Dundalk. Expected goals are 1.9 for Dundalk and 2.0 for Shamrock Rovers (total 3.9), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 7.7% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Dundalk have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Shamrock Rovers.
Score Matrix
↕ Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 3.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Dundalk
Attack
54
Defence
53
Form
47
Shamrock Rovers
Attack
50
Defence
73
Form
67
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
1
Draw
0
D
23 Feb 2026
1–1
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Shamrock Rovers
|
16 | 34 |
| 2 |
St Patrick's Athl.
|
16 | 31 |
| 3 |
Bohemians
|
16 | 25 |
| 4 |
Dundalk
|
16 | 22 |
| 5 |
Derry City
|
16 | 19 |
| 6 |
Drogheda United
|
15 | 19 |
| 7 |
Shelbourne
|
15 | 18 |
| 8 |
Galway United
|
15 | 17 |
| 9 |
Sligo Rovers
|
16 | 16 |
| 10 |
Waterford
|
15 | 6 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
The model gives Dundalk a 35% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 40% for an Shamrock Rovers win.
How many goals are expected in Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
Expected goals: Dundalk 1.9, Shamrock Rovers 2.0 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.7%.